Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2002-03 - 2003-04 - 2004-05
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#164
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#162
Pace75.3#105
Improvement-1.5#226

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#107

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#240


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating
  Nov 21, 2003 117   @ Mississippi W 74-69 25%     1 - 0 +11.4
  Dec 03, 2003 115   Toledo L 63-64 51%     1 - 1 -1.8
  Dec 06, 2003 274   Sam Houston St. W 106-87 85%     2 - 1 +7.2
  Dec 08, 2003 183   @ Liberty W 64-63 41%     3 - 1 +2.9
  Dec 13, 2003 173   Southern Miss W 78-71 66%     4 - 1 +2.2
  Dec 17, 2003 326   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-52 99%     5 - 1 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2003 153   @ TCU W 64-58 33%     6 - 1 +9.9
  Dec 28, 2003 211   Penn St. L 61-73 61%     6 - 2 -15.3
  Dec 29, 2003 259   Northwestern St. W 80-77 72%     7 - 2 -3.6
  Jan 03, 2004 309   @ Florida International W 55-46 80%     8 - 2 1 - 0 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2004 126   Western Kentucky W 79-76 54%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +1.5
  Jan 10, 2004 150   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-75 32%     9 - 3 2 - 1 -5.6
  Jan 15, 2004 136   @ Middle Tennessee L 86-92 OT 29%     9 - 4 2 - 2 -0.8
  Jan 17, 2004 126   @ Western Kentucky L 66-74 27%     9 - 5 2 - 3 -2.0
  Jan 22, 2004 175   Denver L 65-66 66%     9 - 6 2 - 4 -5.9
  Jan 24, 2004 214   North Texas L 73-87 74%     9 - 7 2 - 5 -21.1
  Jan 31, 2004 150   Arkansas Little Rock W 57-56 60%     10 - 7 3 - 5 -2.1
  Feb 04, 2004 169   New Orleans W 94-74 65%     11 - 7 4 - 5 +15.5
  Feb 07, 2004 190   @ South Alabama W 56-54 44%     12 - 7 5 - 5 +3.1
  Feb 11, 2004 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-70 55%     12 - 8 -4.8
  Feb 16, 2004 309   Florida International W 82-57 93%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +8.2
  Feb 19, 2004 136   Middle Tennessee L 69-70 57%     13 - 9 6 - 6 -3.3
  Feb 26, 2004 65   @ Louisiana L 62-82 14%     13 - 10 6 - 7 -8.9
  Feb 28, 2004 194   @ New Mexico St. W 82-73 OT 44%     14 - 10 7 - 7 +10.0
  Mar 01, 2004 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-70 80%     15 - 10 +3.7
  Mar 06, 2004 150   Arkansas Little Rock L 78-83 OT 46%     15 - 11 -4.4
Projected Record 15 - 11 7 - 7