Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
91 Long Beach St. 0.0%   20 - 11 14 - 2 20 - 11 14 - 2 +4.8      +2.4 91 +2.4 92 74.4 42 +6.0 86 +9.0 1
128 UC Santa Barbara 100.0%   15   16 - 13 8 - 8 16 - 13 8 - 8 +2.5      +1.2 128 +1.3 128 65.1 245 +1.5 145 -2.1 5
149 Pacific 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 8 14 - 15 8 - 8 +1.2      +0.6 146 +0.5 149 57.3 335 -0.2 169 -1.9 4
164 Cal Poly 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 6 15 - 14 10 - 6 +0.1      -0.1 170 +0.2 159 57.0 337 -0.8 178 +1.4 2
210 UC Irvine 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 10 12 - 19 6 - 10 -2.9      -1.4 205 -1.5 216 77.6 24 -4.7 242 -4.5 8
222 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 7 12 - 18 9 - 7 -3.2      -1.6 222 -1.6 220 73.2 60 -3.0 209 +0.2 3
239 UC Davis 0.0%   8 - 20 4 - 12 8 - 20 4 - 12 -4.4      -2.1 235 -2.3 243 69.8 124 -6.5 264 -7.8 9
257 UC Riverside 0.0%   10 - 19 6 - 10 10 - 19 6 - 10 -5.7      -2.9 256 -2.9 259 66.4 217 -4.3 232 -4.1 7
259 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 9 10 - 20 7 - 9 -5.9      -2.8 252 -3.1 263 73.4 54 -6.0 259 -2.5 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Long Beach St. 1.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 4.0 100.0
Pacific 4.0 100.0
Cal Poly 2.0 100.0
UC Irvine 7.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 3.0 100.0
UC Davis 9.0 100.0
UC Riverside 7.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 6.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Long Beach St. 14 - 2 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 8 - 8 100.0
Pacific 8 - 8 100.0
Cal Poly 10 - 6 100.0
UC Irvine 6 - 10 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 9 - 7 100.0
UC Davis 4 - 12 100.0
UC Riverside 6 - 10 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 7 - 9 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Long Beach St. 100.0% 100.0
UC Santa Barbara
Pacific
Cal Poly
UC Irvine
Cal St. Northridge
UC Davis
UC Riverside
Cal St. Fullerton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.5 65.1 34.4
Pacific 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 2.3% 99.3% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.3% 1.0 0.7 99.3
2nd Round 5.9% 0.1 94.1 5.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0