Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
104 LIU Brooklyn 100.0%   14   27 - 5 16 - 2 27 - 5 16 - 2 +3.9      +2.1 102 +1.8 107 86.1 4 +6.5 77 +7.6 1
157 Robert Morris 0.0%   18 - 14 12 - 6 18 - 14 12 - 6 +0.7      +0.3 156 +0.4 156 64.8 252 +0.9 149 -0.3 3
163 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 7 19 - 12 11 - 7 +0.1      0.0 167 +0.1 162 68.9 150 -0.8 177 -1.8 4
170 Quinnipiac 0.0%   22 - 9 13 - 5 22 - 9 13 - 5 -0.3      -0.1 169 -0.2 170 72.2 70 +0.7 153 +0.8 2
204 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 8 15 - 15 10 - 8 -2.6      -1.4 206 -1.2 202 69.7 127 -3.4 216 -2.5 5
234 Wagner 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -3.8      -1.9 232 -1.9 235 69.7 128 -3.0 208 -3.5 7
252 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   11 - 21 9 - 9 11 - 21 9 - 9 -5.6      -2.9 259 -2.7 250 65.4 240 -6.1 261 -3.3 6
264 Sacred Heart 0.0%   11 - 18 6 - 12 11 - 18 6 - 12 -6.1      -3.1 265 -3.1 262 68.2 163 -6.7 267 -9.0 10
273 Monmouth 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 13 9 - 21 5 - 13 -6.8      -3.5 274 -3.3 271 62.7 296 -8.3 294 -10.2 11
279 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 9 - 21 7 - 11 -7.4      -3.6 276 -3.8 282 67.4 187 -7.2 274 -6.6 9
309 Bryant 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 11 8 - 21 7 - 11 -10.0      -4.9 307 -5.1 311 67.4 188 -7.7 284 -6.4 8
320 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   5 - 24 3 - 15 5 - 24 3 - 15 -11.2      -5.7 321 -5.6 321 69.5 135 -13.8 329 -13.4 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
LIU Brooklyn 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 3.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 4.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 2.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.0 100.0
Wagner 6.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 10.0 100.0
Monmouth 11.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 8.0 100.0
Bryant 8.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
LIU Brooklyn 16 - 2 100.0
Robert Morris 12 - 6 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 7 100.0
Quinnipiac 13 - 5 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 10 - 8 100.0
Wagner 9 - 9 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 9 - 9 100.0
Sacred Heart 6 - 12 100.0
Monmouth 5 - 13 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 7 - 11 100.0
Bryant 7 - 11 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
Central Connecticut St.
Quinnipiac
St. Francis Brooklyn
Wagner
Mount St. Mary's
Sacred Heart
Monmouth
St. Francis (PA)
Bryant
Fairleigh Dickinson


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 26.4 64.6 9.0
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.7% 0.1 88.3 11.7
Sweet Sixteen 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0