Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Kentucky 100.0%   4   25 - 8 10 - 6 25 - 8 10 - 6 +16.8      +8.5 9 +8.3 7 69.2 145 +14.9 18 +10.5 3
18 Florida 100.0%   3   26 - 7 13 - 3 26 - 7 13 - 3 +13.7      +6.9 18 +6.8 19 62.1 306 +15.1 16 +16.4 1
31 Vanderbilt 99.9%   7   23 - 10 9 - 7 23 - 10 9 - 7 +12.1      +6.2 29 +5.9 33 70.7 104 +11.6 35 +8.7 5
56 Tennessee 96.6%   9   19 - 14 8 - 8 19 - 14 8 - 8 +8.9      +4.4 59 +4.5 56 69.4 140 +8.8 60 +7.7 6
58 Alabama 10.4%   21 - 11 12 - 4 21 - 11 12 - 4 +8.8      +4.3 62 +4.6 55 65.0 249 +7.9 68 +12.4 2
64 Georgia 54.7%   12   21 - 11 9 - 7 21 - 11 9 - 7 +8.2      +4.1 66 +4.2 61 64.8 251 +9.8 48 +10.0 4
76 Mississippi 0.2%   20 - 13 7 - 9 20 - 13 7 - 9 +6.5      +3.4 76 +3.1 76 70.4 112 +5.9 87 +3.2 9
103 Arkansas 0.0%   18 - 13 7 - 9 18 - 13 7 - 9 +4.0      +2.0 103 +2.0 102 70.8 101 +4.5 103 +3.6 8
126 Mississippi St. 0.0%   17 - 14 9 - 7 17 - 14 9 - 7 +2.6      +1.4 122 +1.2 129 70.3 115 +3.8 111 +7.4 7
130 South Carolina 0.0%   14 - 16 5 - 11 14 - 16 5 - 11 +2.4      +1.1 136 +1.3 124 72.7 65 +3.8 113 +3.2 10
211 Auburn 0.0%   10 - 20 4 - 12 10 - 20 4 - 12 -2.9      -1.6 221 -1.3 205 66.9 205 -4.5 237 -0.8 11
225 LSU 0.0%   11 - 21 3 - 13 11 - 21 3 - 13 -3.3      -1.8 230 -1.5 214 67.6 184 -3.6 221 -3.4 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Florida 1.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 4.0 100.0
Tennessee 7.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 100.0
Georgia 4.0 100.0
Mississippi 8.0 100.0
Arkansas 8.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 4.0 100.0
South Carolina 10.0 100.0
Auburn 11.0 100.0
LSU 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Kentucky 10 - 6 100.0
Florida 13 - 3 100.0
Vanderbilt 9 - 7 100.0
Tennessee 8 - 8 100.0
Alabama 12 - 4 100.0
Georgia 9 - 7 100.0
Mississippi 7 - 9 100.0
Arkansas 7 - 9 100.0
Mississippi St. 9 - 7 100.0
South Carolina 5 - 11 100.0
Auburn 4 - 12 100.0
LSU 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Vanderbilt
Tennessee
Alabama
Georgia
Mississippi
Arkansas
Mississippi St.
South Carolina
Auburn
LSU


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4   0.1 1.5 14.3 55.1 28.6 0.4
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.6 19.4 50.5 26.5 1.0 100.0%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 7   0.0 1.7 24.1 39.1 27.4 7.2 0.3 0.1 99.9%
Tennessee 96.6% 0.0% 96.6% 9   0.1 1.6 19.8 46.0 27.2 1.9 0.0 3.4 96.6%
Alabama 10.4% 0.0% 10.4% 0.1 0.8 8.9 0.7 89.6 10.4%
Georgia 54.7% 0.0% 54.7% 12   0.1 1.3 6.6 17.4 28.9 0.4 45.3 54.7%
Mississippi 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2 0.1 99.8 0.2%
Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.6% 53.4% 25.1% 13.6% 6.6% 3.1%
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.6% 46.1% 18.8% 7.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 55.3% 17.9% 7.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Tennessee 96.6% 0.0% 96.6% 37.4% 6.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Alabama 10.4% 8.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 54.7% 20.8% 43.2% 14.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.6 1.3 40.8 52.8 5.1 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 4.5 1.6 53.2 43.1 2.2
2nd Round 99.1% 2.7 0.9 8.5 31.0 40.7 16.8 2.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 82.2% 1.3 17.8 43.6 31.2 7.0 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 45.5% 0.5 54.5 37.2 7.9 0.4 0.0
Final Four 22.4% 0.2 77.6 21.1 1.3 0.0
Final Game 9.8% 0.1 90.2 9.6 0.1
Champion 4.2% 0.0 95.8 4.2