Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
179 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   14 - 13 10 - 6 14 - 13 10 - 6 -0.9      -0.4 179 -0.5 181 67.1 200 -2.5 204 -2.8 4
197 McNeese St. 0.0%   17 - 11 11 - 5 17 - 11 11 - 5 -2.0      -0.9 194 -1.2 197 67.9 173 -1.0 180 -1.3 1
209 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   14 - 11 9 - 7 14 - 11 9 - 7 -2.8      -1.6 219 -1.3 203 56.4 341 -3.8 225 -3.9 6
231 Texas San Antonio 100.0%   16   16 - 13 9 - 7 16 - 13 9 - 7 -3.5      -1.7 227 -1.8 233 70.6 106 -2.3 199 -3.8 5
242 Lamar 0.0%   9 - 17 7 - 9 9 - 17 7 - 9 -4.6      -2.3 244 -2.3 244 86.4 3 -8.1 289 -7.4 10
243 Nicholls St. 0.0%   10 - 14 8 - 8 10 - 14 8 - 8 -4.6      -2.4 245 -2.2 239 57.4 334 -5.2 250 -5.9 8
248 Texas St. 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 6 14 - 15 10 - 6 -5.1      -2.5 246 -2.6 249 85.1 5 -5.0 247 -2.2 2
253 SE Louisiana 0.0%   12 - 14 9 - 7 12 - 14 9 - 7 -5.7      -2.8 254 -2.8 257 65.6 237 -4.9 246 -4.2 7
258 Texas Arlington 0.0%   9 - 16 7 - 9 9 - 16 7 - 9 -5.8      -3.0 261 -2.8 255 71.2 90 -7.6 283 -6.5 9
262 Northwestern St. 0.0%   16 - 13 10 - 6 16 - 13 10 - 6 -6.1      -3.0 262 -3.1 264 81.3 9 -3.4 218 -2.6 3
311 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   7 - 21 5 - 11 7 - 21 5 - 11 -10.1      -5.1 314 -5.0 309 64.8 253 -9.1 298 -9.4 11
338 Central Arkansas 0.0%   2 - 24 1 - 15 2 - 24 1 - 15 -16.0      -8.1 338 -8.0 338 77.3 27 -20.4 341 -19.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Sam Houston St. 2.0 100.0
McNeese St. 1.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 5.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 5.0 100.0
Lamar 9.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 8.0 100.0
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 5.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 9.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 2.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 11.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Sam Houston St. 10 - 6 100.0
McNeese St. 11 - 5 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 9 - 7 100.0
Texas San Antonio 9 - 7 100.0
Lamar 7 - 9 100.0
Nicholls St. 8 - 8 100.0
Texas St. 10 - 6 100.0
SE Louisiana 9 - 7 100.0
Texas Arlington 7 - 9 100.0
Northwestern St. 10 - 6 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 5 - 11 100.0
Central Arkansas 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Sam Houston St.
McNeese St. 100.0% 100.0
Stephen F. Austin
Texas San Antonio
Lamar
Nicholls St.
Texas St.
SE Louisiana
Texas Arlington
Northwestern St.
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Central Arkansas


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 100.0% 99.9% 67.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 67.2% 0.7 32.8 67.2
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0