Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#174
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#123
Pace58.1#333
Improvement-0.3#193

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#174
Improvement+1.7#84

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#174
Improvement-2.0#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 279   St. Francis (PA) W 62-52 83%     1 - 0 -0.5 -5.6 -4.4
  Nov 15, 2010 241   @ Albany W 57-44 53%     2 - 0 +11.7 -0.7 +0.1
  Nov 17, 2010 334   Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-58 94%     3 - 0 -11.3 -9.1 -8.8
  Nov 20, 2010 185   @ Florida Atlantic W 82-72 40%     4 - 0 +12.1 +1.3 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2010 340   @ Howard W 66-54 88%     5 - 0 -1.1 -6.7 -5.8
  Nov 28, 2010 212   Columbia L 62-64 70%     5 - 1 -8.1 -3.3 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2010 17   @ West Virginia L 50-71 6%     5 - 2 -3.8 +8.1 +7.9
  Dec 05, 2010 18   Florida L 48-67 10%     5 - 3 -5.3 +6.0 +6.6
  Dec 14, 2010 333   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 66-53 85%     6 - 3 +1.2 -5.9 -5.2
  Dec 16, 2010 55   @ Northwestern L 62-78 12%     6 - 4 -3.9 +5.6 +5.8
  Dec 20, 2010 252   @ Mount St. Mary's W 69-64 57%     7 - 4 +2.6 -0.9 -1.3
  Dec 22, 2010 4   @ Pittsburgh L 46-61 3%     7 - 5 +6.7 +10.1 +10.8
  Dec 29, 2010 290   Fordham W 73-57 76%     8 - 5 +8.0 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 30, 2010 200   Delaware W 83-71 57%     9 - 5 +9.6 -0.3 -1.4
  Jan 03, 2011 238   Brown W 77-67 75%     10 - 5 +2.5 -3.5 -3.6
  Jan 08, 2011 190   Lehigh W 82-75 65%     11 - 5 1 - 0 +2.4 -1.9 -2.3
  Jan 12, 2011 93   Bucknell L 60-75 42%     11 - 6 1 - 1 -13.5 +0.5 +0.3
  Jan 15, 2011 313   @ Colgate W 66-57 73%     12 - 6 2 - 1 +2.0 -3.7 -2.9
  Jan 19, 2011 280   Army W 65-62 83%     13 - 6 3 - 1 -7.6 -5.5 -5.0
  Jan 22, 2011 229   @ Holy Cross W 60-57 49%     14 - 6 4 - 1 +2.8 -0.3 +0.2
  Jan 26, 2011 275   @ Navy L 53-72 62%     14 - 7 4 - 2 -22.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 29, 2011 226   Lafayette W 73-60 72%     15 - 7 5 - 2 +6.5 -3.0 -2.9
  Feb 06, 2011 190   @ Lehigh W 62-61 41%     16 - 7 6 - 2 +2.8 +0.8 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2011 93   @ Bucknell L 60-66 21%     16 - 8 6 - 3 +1.9 +3.6 +4.0
  Feb 12, 2011 313   Colgate W 69-60 88%     17 - 8 7 - 3 -4.4 -6.2 -6.7
  Feb 16, 2011 280   @ Army W 65-59 64%     18 - 8 8 - 3 +1.7 -2.1 -1.8
  Feb 20, 2011 229   Holy Cross W 64-60 72%     19 - 8 9 - 3 -2.6 -3.2 -3.1
  Feb 23, 2011 275   Navy W 69-58 81%     20 - 8 10 - 3 +0.9 -4.8 -4.8
  Feb 26, 2011 226   @ Lafayette W 95-92 2OT 48%     21 - 8 11 - 3 +2.8 +0.5 -0.6
  Mar 02, 2011 313   Colgate W 69-53 88%     22 - 8 +2.6 -6.6 -6.0
  Mar 06, 2011 226   Lafayette L 71-73 2OT 72%     22 - 9 -8.5 -3.6 -3.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 11.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%