Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#144
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#185
Pace73.5#53
Improvement+4.6#21

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#148
Improvement+1.3#101

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#142
Improvement+3.3#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four33.2% n/a n/a
First Round89.0% n/a n/a
Second Round3.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 211   @ Auburn W 70-69 OT 54%     1 - 0 +1.3 -0.1 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2010 151   @ Furman L 67-69 39%     1 - 1 +2.2 +1.8 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2010 13   @ North Carolina L 69-80 6%     1 - 2 +8.2 +9.2 +9.6
  Nov 27, 2010 22   @ Georgetown L 72-87 9%     1 - 3 +1.2 +7.5 +8.1
  Nov 29, 2010 319   @ South Carolina Upstate L 91-93 2OT 81%     1 - 4 -9.9 -3.9 -4.1
  Dec 02, 2010 331   @ Radford W 70-50 87%     2 - 4 1 - 0 +9.2 -5.4 -4.5
  Dec 04, 2010 307   @ High Point L 73-76 78%     2 - 5 1 - 1 -9.5 -3.5 -3.1
  Dec 21, 2010 1   @ Ohio St. L 49-96 3%     2 - 6 -22.4 +11.0 +11.5
  Dec 28, 2010 193   Western Carolina W 85-79 OT 72%     3 - 6 +1.2 -2.5 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2010 198   VMI L 72-83 74%     3 - 7 1 - 2 -16.3 -3.3 -2.5
  Jan 02, 2011 228   Liberty L 55-59 78%     3 - 8 1 - 3 -10.5 -3.8 -2.9
  Jan 06, 2011 227   @ Winthrop W 88-67 56%     4 - 8 2 - 3 +20.8 +0.3 +0.4
  Jan 08, 2011 250   @ Presbyterian W 74-48 63%     5 - 8 3 - 3 +23.9 -0.7 -0.1
  Jan 15, 2011 267   Gardner-Webb W 68-59 85%     6 - 8 4 - 3 -0.6 -4.9 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2011 106   Coastal Carolina L 59-80 53%     6 - 9 4 - 4 -20.5 -0.3 -0.1
  Jan 22, 2011 215   Charleston Southern W 77-69 77%     7 - 9 5 - 4 +1.9 -2.9 -2.8
  Jan 27, 2011 228   @ Liberty L 81-83 OT 56%     7 - 10 5 - 5 -2.2 +0.2 -0.4
  Jan 29, 2011 198   @ VMI W 100-87 52%     8 - 10 6 - 5 +14.0 +1.0 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2011 250   Presbyterian W 88-55 82%     9 - 10 7 - 5 +24.5 -3.6 -3.4
  Feb 05, 2011 227   Winthrop L 53-57 78%     9 - 11 7 - 6 -10.5 -3.9 -2.8
  Feb 12, 2011 267   @ Gardner-Webb W 57-54 67%     10 - 11 8 - 6 -0.2 -2.0 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2011 215   @ Charleston Southern L 70-79 55%     10 - 12 8 - 7 -8.8 -0.3 +0.2
  Feb 19, 2011 191   Northeastern L 82-83 72%     10 - 13 -5.6 -2.2 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2011 106   @ Coastal Carolina W 61-58 30%     11 - 13 9 - 7 +9.9 +3.3 +3.8
  Feb 24, 2011 307   High Point W 76-62 90%     12 - 13 10 - 7 +1.1 -6.1 -6.1
  Feb 26, 2011 331   Radford W 81-58 95%     13 - 13 11 - 7 +5.8 -8.3 -7.9
  Mar 01, 2011 215   Charleston Southern W 72-63 77%     14 - 13 +2.9 -3.2 -2.5
  Mar 03, 2011 307   High Point W 62-45 85%     15 - 13 +7.3 -4.8 -4.0
  Mar 05, 2011 106   @ Coastal Carolina W 60-47 30%     16 - 13 +19.9 +3.1 +4.4
Projected Record 16.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.9 0.0 11.6 88.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 11.6 88.3