Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
2 Florida 100.0%   3   26 - 7 14 - 4 26 - 7 14 - 4 +20.3      +10.0 8 +10.3 4 60.8 298 +14.3 17 +13.8 1
19 Missouri 97.7%   9   23 - 10 11 - 7 23 - 10 11 - 7 +13.5      +8.5 13 +5.0 46 70.6 106 +11.5 38 +9.7 6
32 Mississippi 100.0%   11   26 - 8 12 - 6 26 - 8 12 - 6 +11.7      +6.8 33 +4.9 48 80.4 6 +11.8 35 +10.1 3
42 Kentucky 53.7%   12   21 - 11 12 - 6 21 - 11 12 - 6 +10.2      +6.7 34 +3.5 82 71.3 89 +9.9 49 +11.6 2
60 Tennessee 47.9%   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 +8.1      +4.7 63 +3.5 84 63.0 268 +9.1 55 +9.9 5
68 Alabama 11.2%   20 - 12 12 - 6 20 - 12 12 - 6 +7.4      +1.2 144 +6.2 33 59.2 320 +8.3 59 +10.0 4
74 Arkansas 3.5%   19 - 13 10 - 8 19 - 13 10 - 8 +7.0      +3.1 95 +3.9 74 79.0 11 +7.4 68 +8.5 7
84 Vanderbilt 0.0%   16 - 17 8 - 10 16 - 17 8 - 10 +5.7      +1.2 143 +4.5 62 57.3 335 +4.5 103 +4.1 10
92 LSU 0.2%   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 +5.1      +2.6 110 +2.5 103 74.3 45 +7.3 70 +6.0 9
95 Texas A&M 0.0%   18 - 15 7 - 11 18 - 15 7 - 11 +4.9      +1.5 134 +3.4 86 58.4 325 +5.4 92 +4.1 11
101 Georgia 0.0%   15 - 17 9 - 9 15 - 17 9 - 9 +4.6      0.0 176 +4.6 53 60.4 304 +3.6 119 +7.0 8
194 South Carolina 0.0%   14 - 18 4 - 14 14 - 18 4 - 14 -1.3      -0.4 181 -1.0 197 68.3 151 -0.8 185 -2.1 13
195 Auburn 0.0%   9 - 23 3 - 15 9 - 23 3 - 15 -1.5      -2.0 225 +0.6 153 68.7 137 -3.6 222 -2.4 14
237 Mississippi St. 0.0%   10 - 22 4 - 14 10 - 22 4 - 14 -4.4      -6.7 317 +2.3 108 71.8 80 -2.7 210 -0.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Missouri 5.0 100.0
Mississippi 2.0 100.0
Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Tennessee 5.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 100.0
Arkansas 7.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 10.0 100.0
LSU 8.0 100.0
Texas A&M 11.0 100.0
Georgia 8.0 100.0
South Carolina 12.0 100.0
Auburn 14.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 14 - 4 100.0
Missouri 11 - 7 100.0
Mississippi 12 - 6 100.0
Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Tennessee 11 - 7 100.0
Alabama 12 - 6 100.0
Arkansas 10 - 8 100.0
Vanderbilt 8 - 10 100.0
LSU 9 - 9 100.0
Texas A&M 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia 9 - 9 100.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 100.0
Auburn 3 - 15 100.0
Mississippi St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Missouri
Mississippi
Kentucky
Tennessee
Alabama
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
LSU
Texas A&M
Georgia
South Carolina
Auburn
Mississippi St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   3.0 6.5 40.8 39.5 9.3 0.9 0.0 100.0%
Missouri 97.7% 0.0% 97.7% 9   0.0 0.3 4.1 21.0 31.8 29.4 10.3 0.8 2.3 97.7%
Mississippi 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11   0.0 0.2 3.8 10.7 26.0 40.6 18.7 0.0
Kentucky 53.7% 0.0% 53.7% 12   0.0 0.2 1.1 3.7 15.7 32.5 0.5 46.3 53.7%
Tennessee 47.9% 0.0% 47.9% 0.0 0.2 1.7 11.5 34.1 0.4 52.1 47.9%
Alabama 11.2% 0.0% 11.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.0 2.1 0.0 88.8 11.2%
Arkansas 3.5% 0.0% 3.5% 0.0 2.9 0.5 96.5 3.5%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2 0.1 99.8 0.2%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 92.6% 73.4% 48.7% 32.5% 20.8% 12.8%
Missouri 97.7% 0.8% 97.4% 54.0% 20.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Mississippi 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 46.5% 17.2% 6.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Kentucky 53.7% 33.4% 37.9% 14.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Tennessee 47.9% 34.5% 28.5% 9.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama 11.2% 11.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 3.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.1 0.3 19.0 49.8 28.3 2.6 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 3.7 0.8 39.7 47.9 11.1 0.4
2nd Round 98.7% 2.2 1.3 20.0 43.4 28.8 6.1 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 84.8% 1.2 15.2 54.4 26.3 3.9 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 58.5% 0.7 41.5 50.1 8.0 0.4
Final Four 37.4% 0.4 62.7 35.5 1.8
Final Game 22.9% 0.2 77.1 22.7 0.2
Champion 13.6% 0.1 86.4 13.6