Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Ohio Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#50
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#54
Pace70.0#110
Improvement-2.5#275

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#37
Improvement+0.2#159

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#83
Improvement-2.7#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round38.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 304   @ Lipscomb W 89-60 92%     1 - 0 +22.9 +6.7 +14.5
  Nov 18, 2012 46   @ Stanford W 70-62 37%     2 - 0 +21.3 -4.9 +25.3
  Nov 23, 2012 178   Northeastern L 71-74 84%     2 - 1 -3.6 +3.8 -7.8
  Nov 24, 2012 163   Oral Roberts W 70-67 82%     3 - 1 +3.1 -2.7 +5.9
  Dec 01, 2012 20   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-75 26%     3 - 2 +6.7 -0.6 +7.3
  Dec 04, 2012 304   Lipscomb W 100-66 97%     4 - 2 +21.5 +14.3 +5.3
  Dec 13, 2012 52   Middle Tennessee W 64-49 63%     5 - 2 +21.6 +4.0 +19.4
  Dec 15, 2012 5   @ Kansas L 60-89 14%     5 - 3 -7.5 -8.1 +4.0
  Dec 19, 2012 107   South Dakota St. W 76-49 80%     6 - 3 +28.0 +2.2 +27.0
  Dec 28, 2012 144   Boston University W 64-48 79%     7 - 3 +17.4 -6.5 +24.7
  Dec 29, 2012 134   Central Florida L 63-66 77%     7 - 4 -0.8 -6.3 +5.3
  Jan 03, 2013 213   @ Jacksonville St. W 73-62 81%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +11.6 +5.3 +7.2
  Jan 05, 2013 278   @ Tennessee Tech W 83-52 89%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +27.3 +7.3 +19.2
  Jan 10, 2013 225   Southeast Missouri St. W 107-72 93%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +28.1 +16.5 +7.9
  Jan 12, 2013 334   Tennessee Martin W 90-53 99%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +19.6 +2.8 +14.8
  Jan 17, 2013 122   Eastern Kentucky W 83-76 83%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +6.7 +1.7 +4.7
  Jan 19, 2013 166   Tennessee St. W 78-66 89%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +8.8 +4.1 +5.0
  Jan 24, 2013 230   @ Morehead St. W 64-63 84%     14 - 4 7 - 0 +0.3 -8.2 +8.5
  Jan 26, 2013 122   @ Eastern Kentucky W 85-74 64%     15 - 4 8 - 0 +17.2 +17.8 +0.3
  Jan 31, 2013 230   Morehead St. W 93-74 93%     16 - 4 9 - 0 +11.8 +7.1 +2.8
  Feb 02, 2013 278   Tennessee Tech W 74-52 96%     17 - 4 10 - 0 +11.8 +2.3 +11.1
  Feb 07, 2013 139   @ Murray St. L 74-79 69%     17 - 5 10 - 1 -0.1 +10.4 -11.1
  Feb 09, 2013 314   @ Austin Peay W 78-65 93%     18 - 5 11 - 1 +6.3 +1.3 +5.3
  Feb 14, 2013 166   @ Tennessee St. L 69-80 74%     18 - 6 11 - 2 -7.8 -7.9 +0.7
  Feb 20, 2013 271   @ Eastern Illinois W 80-49 89%     19 - 6 12 - 2 +27.7 +12.3 +18.9
  Feb 23, 2013 80   Ohio W 81-62 76%     20 - 6 +21.7 +12.0 +10.2
  Feb 27, 2013 306   SIU Edwardsville W 73-43 97%     21 - 6 13 - 2 +17.3 +0.4 +18.8
  Mar 02, 2013 213   Jacksonville St. W 78-71 92%     22 - 6 14 - 2 +1.1 +11.2 -9.1
  Mar 08, 2013 166   Tennessee St. W 82-73 82%     23 - 6 +9.0 +5.5 +3.3
  Mar 09, 2013 139   Murray St. W 70-68 OT 78%     24 - 6 +3.6 -5.5 +9.1
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.7 0.1 0.9 5.4 21.9 68.6 3.1
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 0.9 5.4 21.9 68.6 3.1