Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Big South
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#269
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#286
Pace67.4#175
Improvement+7.3#4

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#203
Improvement+7.1#4

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#307
Improvement+0.2#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round39.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 82   @ Richmond L 42-84 8%     0 - 1 -33.0 -30.2 -1.8
  Nov 12, 2012 216   William & Mary L 59-71 50%     0 - 2 -18.3 -20.2 +1.7
  Nov 14, 2012 13   @ Georgetown L 59-68 2%     0 - 3 +9.4 +4.9 +3.7
  Nov 19, 2012 135   UC Irvine L 46-64 21%     0 - 4 -15.8 -19.9 +2.3
  Nov 20, 2012 235   @ Sam Houston St. L 50-64 30%     0 - 5 -15.0 -17.3 +1.6
  Nov 21, 2012 59   Southern Miss L 56-74 9%     0 - 6 -9.8 -10.0 -1.1
  Nov 29, 2012 211   Morgan St. L 62-67 48%     0 - 7 -10.7 -9.8 -1.1
  Dec 02, 2012 191   Georgia St. L 66-67 43%     0 - 8 -5.5 -5.9 +0.3
  Dec 15, 2012 327   @ Howard L 53-60 60%     0 - 9 -15.9 -8.7 -8.5
  Dec 18, 2012 90   @ Iona L 69-87 9%     0 - 10 -9.5 -2.5 -7.8
  Dec 31, 2012 256   @ Western Carolina W 63-62 35%     1 - 10 -1.2 -10.8 +9.6
  Jan 05, 2013 215   UNC Asheville L 69-83 50%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -20.2 -12.0 -7.2
  Jan 09, 2013 294   @ VMI L 69-82 46%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -18.3 -5.6 -13.5
  Jan 12, 2013 241   Coastal Carolina W 64-56 56%     2 - 12 1 - 2 +0.2 -9.6 +10.0
  Jan 16, 2013 220   @ High Point L 72-77 2OT 28%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -5.1 -5.8 +1.1
  Jan 19, 2013 338   @ Presbyterian L 60-68 69%     2 - 14 1 - 4 -19.3 -19.0 -0.6
  Jan 22, 2013 341   Longwood W 74-47 87%     3 - 14 2 - 4 +8.6 -9.2 +18.4
  Jan 26, 2013 189   Charleston Southern L 75-79 43%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -8.4 -3.6 -4.7
  Jan 29, 2013 298   Campbell W 89-72 71%     4 - 15 3 - 5 +4.8 +6.8 -2.4
  Feb 02, 2013 277   @ Winthrop L 56-66 40%     4 - 16 3 - 6 -13.7 -12.1 -2.5
  Feb 05, 2013 297   Radford W 75-70 71%     5 - 16 4 - 6 -7.2 -2.8 -4.5
  Feb 09, 2013 198   @ Gardner-Webb L 68-71 23%     5 - 17 4 - 7 -1.4 +4.2 -5.9
  Feb 13, 2013 298   @ Campbell W 82-80 48%     6 - 17 5 - 7 -3.7 +2.3 -6.1
  Feb 16, 2013 220   High Point L 68-73 51%     6 - 18 5 - 8 -11.6 -0.2 -11.9
  Feb 19, 2013 341   @ Longwood L 101-102 71%     6 - 19 5 - 9 -12.9 +3.3 -16.0
  Feb 23, 2013 314   Austin Peay W 79-73 OT 75%     7 - 19 -7.2 -8.7 +1.0
  Feb 26, 2013 294   VMI L 66-83 70%     7 - 20 5 - 10 -28.8 -15.8 -13.0
  Mar 02, 2013 297   @ Radford W 73-56 48%     8 - 20 6 - 10 +11.3 +3.6 +8.2
  Mar 05, 2013 241   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-61 32%     9 - 20 +15.7 +7.9 +8.2
  Mar 07, 2013 220   High Point W 61-60 39%     10 - 20 -2.3 -8.8 +6.6
  Mar 09, 2013 198   Gardner-Webb W 65-62 33%     11 - 20 +1.3 +8.2 -6.1
  Mar 10, 2013 189   Charleston Southern W 87-76 31%     12 - 20 +9.8 +11.2 -1.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0