Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
Conference USA
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#181
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#199
Pace63.6#259
Improvement-1.0#216

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#216
Improvement-2.4#272

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
Improvement+1.4#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 207   Loyola Marymount W 73-58 67%     1 - 0 +9.5 +3.5 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2012 254   @ TCU W 64-61 55%     2 - 0 +0.9 -1.7 +2.8
  Nov 17, 2012 252   @ Texas St. W 78-75 55%     3 - 0 +0.9 -3.2 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2012 151   Rider W 83-70 56%     4 - 0 +10.5 +14.8 -3.7
  Nov 24, 2012 223   Arkansas Little Rock L 56-69 60%     4 - 1 -16.5 -9.8 -8.1
  Nov 25, 2012 197   Missouri St. W 62-61 53%     5 - 1 -0.6 -7.2 +6.7
  Nov 28, 2012 114   Utah W 62-55 45%     6 - 1 +7.4 -6.6 +14.3
  Dec 01, 2012 293   @ Hofstra W 73-47 66%     7 - 1 +20.8 +1.2 +19.1
  Dec 15, 2012 185   @ Rhode Island L 50-72 38%     7 - 2 -19.7 -15.2 -7.0
  Dec 18, 2012 114   @ Utah L 53-62 23%     7 - 3 -2.2 -9.9 +6.7
  Dec 21, 2012 184   Wagner L 53-63 50%     7 - 4 -10.9 -10.8 -1.4
  Dec 22, 2012 330   Alcorn St. W 67-52 86%     8 - 4 +2.3 -5.4 +8.2
  Dec 30, 2012 340   Furman W 72-53 94%     9 - 4 +0.9 +0.5 +3.3
  Jan 02, 2013 89   Wyoming L 56-59 38%     9 - 5 -0.8 -4.0 +2.6
  Jan 06, 2013 175   Tulsa L 47-48 61%     9 - 6 0 - 1 -4.8 -21.7 +16.8
  Jan 09, 2013 180   @ Houston L 67-78 37%     9 - 7 0 - 2 -8.5 -9.0 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2013 156   Tulane W 59-53 57%     10 - 7 1 - 2 +3.4 -14.0 +17.7
  Jan 16, 2013 59   Southern Miss L 70-74 28%     10 - 8 1 - 3 +1.0 +8.0 -7.5
  Jan 19, 2013 110   @ UTEP L 54-63 22%     10 - 9 1 - 4 -1.8 -8.9 +6.2
  Jan 26, 2013 134   @ Central Florida L 65-74 27%     10 - 10 1 - 5 -3.5 -3.6 -0.3
  Jan 30, 2013 224   @ Marshall W 68-57 48%     11 - 10 2 - 5 +10.7 -2.3 +13.6
  Feb 02, 2013 180   Houston L 80-84 OT 62%     11 - 11 2 - 6 -8.0 +3.3 -11.4
  Feb 06, 2013 33   Memphis L 52-60 19%     11 - 12 2 - 7 +0.4 -13.0 +13.1
  Feb 09, 2013 321   @ Rice W 61-39 74%     12 - 12 3 - 7 +14.4 -6.5 +24.8
  Feb 16, 2013 156   @ Tulane L 67-78 32%     12 - 13 3 - 8 -7.2 -2.3 -5.6
  Feb 23, 2013 158   East Carolina L 69-72 57%     12 - 14 3 - 9 -5.7 -12.0 +6.4
  Feb 27, 2013 321   Rice W 67-55 89%     13 - 14 4 - 9 -2.1 -7.5 +6.6
  Mar 02, 2013 167   @ UAB L 69-74 34%     13 - 15 4 - 10 -1.8 +5.2 -7.4
  Mar 06, 2013 175   @ Tulsa W 71-65 36%     14 - 15 5 - 10 +8.7 +1.0 +7.7
  Mar 09, 2013 110   UTEP L 63-76 44%     14 - 16 5 - 11 -12.3 +0.6 -14.7
  Mar 13, 2013 167   UAB L 52-53 47%     14 - 17 -1.0 -15.3 +14.2
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%