Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#169
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#160
Pace68.4#147
Improvement+4.0#37

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#173
Improvement+4.8#25

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#176
Improvement-0.8#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 157   @ College of Charleston L 58-75 35%     0 - 1 -13.2 -8.5 -5.6
  Nov 16, 2012 297   Radford W 75-67 80%     1 - 1 -0.9 -0.9 -0.3
  Nov 17, 2012 122   @ Eastern Kentucky L 69-71 OT 27%     1 - 2 +4.2 -3.4 +7.6
  Nov 18, 2012 336   Kennesaw St. W 69-63 90%     2 - 2 -8.5 -6.6 -1.5
  Nov 26, 2012 128   @ Loyola Maryland L 53-65 29%     2 - 3 -6.3 -15.8 +9.2
  Dec 01, 2012 303   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62-66 71%     2 - 4 -10.0 -13.7 +3.7
  Dec 05, 2012 137   @ Vermont W 68-64 31%     3 - 4 +9.0 +1.3 +7.9
  Dec 08, 2012 13   @ Georgetown L 40-46 5%     3 - 5 +12.4 -14.4 +26.0
  Dec 12, 2012 58   @ Temple L 61-72 14%     3 - 6 +0.6 -9.3 +10.0
  Dec 15, 2012 94   North Dakota St. L 48-65 43%     3 - 7 -15.2 -12.7 -6.1
  Dec 19, 2012 317   Coppin St. L 61-64 89%     3 - 8 -16.4 -12.1 -4.6
  Dec 29, 2012 103   @ Oregon St. W 67-66 OT 23%     4 - 8 +8.8 -5.5 +14.2
  Jan 02, 2013 285   @ UNC Wilmington W 79-74 67%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +0.3 -3.3 +3.3
  Jan 05, 2013 174   @ Drexel W 69-66 39%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +5.7 -6.4 +11.9
  Jan 09, 2013 216   William & Mary W 99-86 2OT 72%     7 - 8 3 - 0 +6.7 -2.4 +6.4
  Jan 12, 2013 178   Northeastern L 59-70 64%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -14.9 -15.0 -0.6
  Jan 16, 2013 168   @ Delaware W 69-66 37%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +6.2 +1.5 +4.9
  Jan 19, 2013 182   James Madison W 73-47 65%     9 - 9 5 - 1 +21.9 +1.6 +20.9
  Jan 21, 2013 191   Georgia St. L 69-71 66%     9 - 10 5 - 2 -6.5 -1.4 -5.3
  Jan 23, 2013 145   George Mason L 67-77 57%     9 - 11 5 - 3 -11.9 -5.0 -7.1
  Jan 26, 2013 216   @ William & Mary L 56-63 49%     9 - 12 5 - 4 -6.8 -15.5 +8.0
  Jan 30, 2013 276   @ Old Dominion W 68-66 63%     10 - 12 6 - 4 -1.6 -5.5 +3.9
  Feb 04, 2013 285   UNC Wilmington W 81-68 85%     11 - 12 7 - 4 +1.8 +10.6 -7.3
  Feb 06, 2013 168   Delaware W 85-65 62%     12 - 12 8 - 4 +16.7 +5.2 +10.6
  Feb 09, 2013 191   @ Georgia St. W 90-82 OT 42%     13 - 12 9 - 4 +10.0 +10.4 -0.8
  Feb 12, 2013 182   @ James Madison L 70-75 40%     13 - 13 9 - 5 -2.7 +2.9 -5.7
  Feb 16, 2013 293   @ Hofstra W 57-50 69%     14 - 13 10 - 5 +1.8 -8.3 +10.7
  Feb 23, 2013 174   Drexel W 72-71 64%     15 - 13 11 - 5 -2.8 +4.6 -7.3
  Feb 26, 2013 145   @ George Mason W 85-81 OT 32%     16 - 13 12 - 5 +8.6 +5.7 +2.4
  Mar 02, 2013 293   Hofstra W 67-64 86%     17 - 13 13 - 5 -8.7 -4.6 -4.0
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%