Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
171 Weber St. 100.0%   15   17 - 11 14 - 6 17 - 11 14 - 6 -0.4      +1.0 146 -1.4 212 63.8 278 -1.4 185 -0.9 1
218 Northern Colorado 0.0%   16 - 13 11 - 9 16 - 13 11 - 9 -3.2      +3.0 101 -6.2 326 62.9 290 -3.0 215 -4.5 6
219 Montana 0.0%   15 - 13 12 - 8 15 - 13 12 - 8 -3.2      +1.8 130 -5.0 299 58.2 343 -2.7 210 -3.2 4
228 Eastern Washington 0.0%   13 - 16 10 - 10 13 - 16 10 - 10 -4.0      +0.3 168 -4.3 284 78.0 17 -4.6 247 -5.6 8
254 Idaho St. 0.0%   9 - 18 8 - 12 9 - 18 8 - 12 -4.9      -1.0 197 -3.8 274 64.7 258 -8.1 286 -8.0 10
255 North Dakota 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 8 15 - 16 12 - 8 -5.0      0.0 179 -5.0 298 73.9 51 -3.3 220 -3.0 3
256 Northern Arizona 0.0%   14 - 17 12 - 8 14 - 17 12 - 8 -5.1      -3.0 258 -2.0 225 62.7 295 -4.6 248 -3.0 2
265 Portland St. 0.0%   15 - 14 11 - 9 15 - 14 11 - 9 -5.7      -1.3 208 -4.5 289 67.1 190 -4.5 245 -4.2 5
267 Sacramento St. 0.0%   12 - 16 10 - 10 12 - 16 10 - 10 -5.7      -0.1 183 -5.6 318 62.2 306 -5.9 264 -5.4 7
294 Montana St. 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 11 12 - 17 9 - 11 -8.6      -6.1 312 -2.5 237 66.2 216 -6.3 269 -6.3 9
347 Southern Utah 0.0%   1 - 27 1 - 19 1 - 27 1 - 19 -16.5      -10.6 349 -5.8 321 65.6 232 -21.5 351 -20.9 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Weber St. 1.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 5.0 100.0
Montana 2.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 7.0 100.0
Idaho St. 10.0 100.0
North Dakota 2.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 2.0 100.0
Portland St. 5.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 7.0 100.0
Montana St. 9.0 100.0
Southern Utah 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Weber St. 14 - 6 100.0
Northern Colorado 11 - 9 100.0
Montana 12 - 8 100.0
Eastern Washington 10 - 10 100.0
Idaho St. 8 - 12 100.0
North Dakota 12 - 8 100.0
Northern Arizona 12 - 8 100.0
Portland St. 11 - 9 100.0
Sacramento St. 10 - 10 100.0
Montana St. 9 - 11 100.0
Southern Utah 1 - 19 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Weber St. 100.0% 100.0
Northern Colorado
Montana
Eastern Washington
Idaho St.
North Dakota
Northern Arizona
Portland St.
Sacramento St.
Montana St.
Southern Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Weber St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 64.0 36.0
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Weber St. 100.0% 1.7% 99.3% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.3% 1.0 0.7 99.3
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0