Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
98 UC Irvine 0.0%   21 - 11 13 - 3 21 - 11 13 - 3 +4.7      -1.7 217 +6.3 37 64.9 251 +3.8 115 +7.1 1
108 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   19 - 9 12 - 4 19 - 9 12 - 4 +4.0      +3.3 94 +0.6 151 62.6 298 +5.4 94 +5.1 2
135 Hawaii 0.0%   18 - 11 9 - 7 18 - 11 9 - 7 +2.1      +3.8 84 -1.7 220 73.5 59 +1.6 144 +0.1 4
140 Long Beach St. 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 6 13 - 17 10 - 6 +1.8      +0.1 174 +1.7 124 67.6 176 +0.5 157 +1.8 3
178 Cal Poly 100.0%   16   11 - 19 6 - 10 11 - 19 6 - 10 -0.9      -1.2 205 +0.3 161 56.6 347 -2.1 198 -4.5 7
213 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 9 15 - 18 7 - 9 -2.9      +1.5 137 -4.4 286 72.4 69 -3.0 214 -2.5 5
233 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   11 - 20 6 - 10 11 - 20 6 - 10 -4.1      -2.1 230 -2.1 226 69.1 145 -4.3 241 -4.0 6
268 UC Riverside 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 11 8 - 21 5 - 11 -5.8      -4.0 275 -1.8 221 70.6 107 -7.7 281 -5.5 8
304 UC Davis 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 12 7 - 22 4 - 12 -9.5      -1.9 225 -7.7 336 68.6 154 -8.8 297 -6.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 2.0 100.0
Hawaii 4.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 3.0 100.0
Cal Poly 6.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 5.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 6.0 100.0
UC Riverside 8.0 100.0
UC Davis 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Irvine 13 - 3 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 12 - 4 100.0
Hawaii 9 - 7 100.0
Long Beach St. 10 - 6 100.0
Cal Poly 6 - 10 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 7 - 9 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 6 - 10 100.0
UC Riverside 5 - 11 100.0
UC Davis 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC Santa Barbara
Hawaii
Long Beach St.
Cal Poly
Cal St. Northridge
Cal St. Fullerton
UC Riverside
UC Davis


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.3 99.7
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 100.0% 92.8% 64.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 64.5% 0.6 35.5 64.5
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0