Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
114 Delaware 100.0%   14   25 - 9 14 - 2 25 - 9 14 - 2 +3.7      +4.4 66 -0.7 195 80.5 10 +6.3 80 +9.0 1
138 Towson 0.0%   22 - 10 13 - 3 22 - 10 13 - 3 +2.0      +4.1 73 -2.1 227 66.3 213 +3.6 120 +6.6 2
147 Drexel 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 8 16 - 14 8 - 8 +1.5      -0.6 191 +2.0 114 63.5 284 +1.3 147 -2.1 4
169 William & Mary 0.0%   19 - 12 10 - 6 19 - 12 10 - 6 -0.3      +5.7 42 -6.0 322 64.0 274 +1.6 142 +1.3 3
194 College of Charleston 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 10 13 - 18 6 - 10 -1.7      -5.1 292 +3.4 86 60.8 329 -3.9 230 -4.8 7
205 Northeastern 0.0%   11 - 21 7 - 9 11 - 21 7 - 9 -2.4      -2.7 246 +0.3 163 64.9 253 -3.8 226 -3.1 5
259 Hofstra 0.0%   10 - 23 5 - 11 10 - 23 5 - 11 -5.4      +0.2 171 -5.6 314 65.5 237 -7.1 277 -5.9 8
262 James Madison 0.0%   11 - 20 6 - 10 11 - 20 6 - 10 -5.6      -4.5 281 -1.2 208 65.8 228 -4.6 249 -4.2 6
279 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   7 - 23 3 - 13 7 - 23 3 - 13 -6.6      -6.4 315 -0.2 174 63.7 280 -7.8 283 -9.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Delaware 1.0 100.0
Towson 2.0 100.0
Drexel 4.0 100.0
William & Mary 3.0 100.0
College of Charleston 6.0 100.0
Northeastern 5.0 100.0
Hofstra 8.0 100.0
James Madison 6.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Delaware 14 - 2 100.0
Towson 13 - 3 100.0
Drexel 8 - 8 100.0
William & Mary 10 - 6 100.0
College of Charleston 6 - 10 100.0
Northeastern 7 - 9 100.0
Hofstra 5 - 11 100.0
James Madison 6 - 10 100.0
UNC Wilmington 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Delaware 100.0% 100.0
Towson
Drexel
William & Mary
College of Charleston
Northeastern
Hofstra
James Madison
UNC Wilmington


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Delaware 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.2 13.3 77.0 9.5
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Delaware 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.2% 0.1 88.8 11.2
Sweet Sixteen 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0