Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
121 Belmont 0.0%   23 - 9 14 - 2 23 - 9 14 - 2 +3.1      +5.5 44 -2.4 233 72.1 79 +5.5 90 +6.2 1
144 Eastern Kentucky 100.0%   15   22 - 9 11 - 5 22 - 9 11 - 5 +1.6      +4.5 63 -2.9 249 66.7 205 +2.3 133 -0.6 3
167 Murray St. 0.0%   16 - 11 13 - 3 16 - 11 13 - 3 0.0      +2.0 124 -1.9 223 69.7 131 -0.5 175 +2.8 2
184 Morehead St. 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 6 18 - 13 10 - 6 -1.2      -1.5 214 +0.3 162 73.6 56 -0.4 174 -1.7 4
234 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 8 16 - 14 8 - 8 -4.2      +1.8 128 -6.0 323 76.5 25 -4.7 250 -6.1 6
275 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   15 - 16 9 - 7 15 - 16 9 - 7 -6.2      -3.4 265 -2.8 246 70.7 101 -3.9 231 -2.8 5
289 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 9 9 - 20 7 - 9 -8.4      -3.2 261 -5.2 304 70.2 116 -9.6 303 -6.9 7
290 Tennessee St. 0.0%   4 - 25 4 - 12 4 - 25 4 - 12 -8.4      -2.0 229 -6.4 327 65.1 248 -13.7 335 -11.1 10
292 Austin Peay 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 10 10 - 18 6 - 10 -8.5      -3.5 266 -5.0 303 76.8 23 -8.5 293 -8.9 9
299 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 9 9 - 19 7 - 9 -9.0      -4.1 277 -4.9 295 66.7 203 -7.7 280 -7.0 8
309 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   8 - 21 4 - 12 8 - 21 4 - 12 -9.7      -5.4 298 -4.3 283 61.3 321 -10.3 313 -11.3 11
320 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   6 - 23 3 - 13 6 - 23 3 - 13 -11.2      -1.2 207 -10.0 347 73.8 52 -13.7 334 -14.2 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Belmont 1.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Murray St. 2.0 100.0
Morehead St. 4.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 6.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 5.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 7.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 10.0 100.0
Austin Peay 9.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 10.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Belmont 14 - 2 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 11 - 5 100.0
Murray St. 13 - 3 100.0
Morehead St. 10 - 6 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 8 - 8 100.0
Tennessee Tech 9 - 7 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 7 - 9 100.0
Tennessee St. 4 - 12 100.0
Austin Peay 6 - 10 100.0
Eastern Illinois 7 - 9 100.0
Jacksonville St. 4 - 12 100.0
Tennessee Martin 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Belmont 100.0% 100.0
Eastern Kentucky
Murray St.
Morehead St.
Southeast Missouri St.
Tennessee Tech
SIU Edwardsville
Tennessee St.
Austin Peay
Eastern Illinois
Jacksonville St.
Tennessee Martin


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.9 46.3 51.8
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.3% 0.1 92.7 7.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0