Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 Florida 100.0%   1   32 - 2 18 - 0 32 - 2 18 - 0 +18.3      +8.1 16 +10.2 8 60.9 328 +24.3 2 +28.2 1
16 Tennessee 73.4%   11   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 +14.5      +6.8 29 +7.7 19 61.6 318 +9.7 57 +9.8 4
19 Kentucky 99.9%   6   24 - 10 12 - 6 24 - 10 12 - 6 +14.3      +7.7 20 +6.6 31 67.6 180 +13.0 29 +11.8 2
46 Arkansas 33.9%   21 - 11 10 - 8 21 - 11 10 - 8 +10.3      +4.9 57 +5.4 52 81.2 8 +9.2 60 +9.0 5
63 LSU 2.3%   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +8.2      +3.8 78 +4.4 62 76.7 24 +8.3 66 +7.6 7
65 Missouri 40.1%   11   22 - 11 9 - 9 22 - 11 9 - 9 +8.0      +6.7 30 +1.3 138 67.6 179 +10.4 48 +7.8 6
74 Georgia 3.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 +7.0      +2.5 115 +4.6 60 64.1 272 +7.3 72 +11.7 3
86 Alabama 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 11 12 - 19 7 - 11 +6.2      +2.0 123 +4.2 65 62.5 299 +3.8 117 +5.1 11
87 Mississippi 0.0%   19 - 14 9 - 9 19 - 14 9 - 9 +6.0      +3.7 85 +2.3 106 76.0 27 +6.5 77 +7.0 8
105 Vanderbilt 0.0%   15 - 16 7 - 11 15 - 16 7 - 11 +4.0      -0.7 193 +4.8 57 62.8 293 +4.9 101 +5.3 10
112 Texas A&M 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 10 17 - 15 8 - 10 +3.9      -1.8 219 +5.7 46 62.4 302 +3.8 116 +5.5 9
113 South Carolina 0.0%   14 - 20 5 - 13 14 - 20 5 - 13 +3.9      +1.7 134 +2.2 109 69.2 140 +3.2 124 +1.4 13
117 Auburn 0.0%   14 - 16 6 - 12 14 - 16 6 - 12 +3.5      +3.4 92 +0.2 167 71.6 88 +3.1 126 +3.3 12
192 Mississippi St. 0.0%   14 - 19 3 - 15 14 - 19 3 - 15 -1.7      -2.6 242 +0.9 147 70.9 98 -0.1 168 -1.7 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Arkansas 5.0 100.0
LSU 6.0 100.0
Missouri 6.0 100.0
Georgia 2.0 100.0
Alabama 10.0 100.0
Mississippi 6.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 10.0 100.0
Texas A&M 9.0 100.0
South Carolina 13.0 100.0
Auburn 12.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 18 - 0 100.0
Tennessee 11 - 7 100.0
Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Arkansas 10 - 8 100.0
LSU 9 - 9 100.0
Missouri 9 - 9 100.0
Georgia 12 - 6 100.0
Alabama 7 - 11 100.0
Mississippi 9 - 9 100.0
Vanderbilt 7 - 11 100.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 100.0
South Carolina 5 - 13 100.0
Auburn 6 - 12 100.0
Mississippi St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Tennessee
Kentucky
Arkansas
LSU
Missouri
Georgia
Alabama
Mississippi
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
South Carolina
Auburn
Mississippi St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   88.6 11.3 0.1
Tennessee 73.4% 0.0% 73.4% 11   0.0 1.1 4.2 20.3 42.6 5.2 26.6 73.4%
Kentucky 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 6   0.0 0.3 5.2 24.5 38.3 27.1 4.3 0.2 0.1 99.9%
Arkansas 33.9% 0.0% 33.9% 0.1 1.5 19.0 13.3 66.1 33.9%
LSU 2.3% 0.0% 2.3% 0.3 2.0 97.7 2.3%
Missouri 40.1% 0.0% 40.1% 11   0.0 0.2 2.8 23.7 13.3 59.9 40.1%
Georgia 3.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.4 2.6 0.0 97.0 3.0%
Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.9% 72.5% 46.6% 28.3% 15.9% 8.2%
Tennessee 73.4% 23.4% 65.4% 37.6% 17.5% 8.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5%
Kentucky 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 65.6% 30.7% 14.2% 6.0% 2.4% 0.9%
Arkansas 33.9% 27.0% 20.4% 8.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
LSU 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 40.1% 30.2% 22.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 3.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.5 0.0 8.4 41.0 40.6 9.5 0.4 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 3.1 0.0 19.1 54.1 24.5 2.3 0.0
2nd Round 99.7% 2.2 0.3 17.0 51.5 27.9 3.2 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 85.4% 1.3 14.6 50.2 30.5 4.5 0.1
Elite Eight 59.5% 0.7 40.6 48.8 10.2 0.5
Final Four 36.1% 0.4 63.9 34.0 2.1 0.0
Final Game 19.4% 0.2 80.6 19.1 0.3
Champion 9.7% 0.1 90.3 9.7