Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
67 North Dakota St. 100.0%   12   22 - 6 12 - 2 22 - 6 12 - 2 +7.7      +7.4 22 +0.3 158 63.8 277 +9.0 61 +8.9 1
131 South Dakota St. 0.0%   16 - 12 10 - 4 16 - 12 10 - 4 +2.6      +1.3 141 +1.3 139 68.4 160 +1.7 140 +4.7 3
141 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   21 - 10 10 - 4 21 - 10 10 - 4 +1.8      +2.3 120 -0.5 185 68.9 149 +3.2 123 +4.9 2
142 Denver 0.0%   15 - 15 8 - 6 15 - 15 8 - 6 +1.8      +5.1 52 -3.3 258 53.4 351 +0.9 150 +0.6 4
170 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   13 - 14 5 - 9 13 - 14 5 - 9 -0.4      -0.1 184 -0.2 176 85.7 4 -1.6 187 -5.1 6
241 South Dakota 0.0%   9 - 18 6 - 8 9 - 18 6 - 8 -4.4      -1.8 224 -2.6 238 69.8 128 -3.5 222 -2.3 5
263 Western Illinois 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 10 7 - 20 4 - 10 -5.7      -7.0 323 +1.3 137 60.2 334 -7.8 285 -6.4 7
327 IUPUI 0.0%   3 - 26 1 - 13 3 - 26 1 - 13 -12.1      -5.4 299 -6.7 329 66.8 201 -13.5 331 -14.8 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 2.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 2.0 100.0
Denver 4.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 6.0 100.0
South Dakota 5.0 100.0
Western Illinois 7.0 100.0
IUPUI 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
North Dakota St. 12 - 2 100.0
South Dakota St. 10 - 4 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 10 - 4 100.0
Denver 8 - 6 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 5 - 9 100.0
South Dakota 6 - 8 100.0
Western Illinois 4 - 10 100.0
IUPUI 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota St.
Purdue Fort Wayne
Denver
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
Western Illinois
IUPUI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 1.1 65.4 32.9 0.6
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.9% 7.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 25.9% 0.3 74.1 25.9
Sweet Sixteen 7.4% 0.1 92.6 7.4
Elite Eight 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0