Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#124
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#145
Pace57.5#346
Improvement+3.3#48

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
Improvement-0.9#226

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#84
Improvement+4.1#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 137   @ George Mason L 60-63 43%     0 - 1 +1.8 -5.0 +6.6
  Nov 14, 2013 322   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63-61 OT 94%     1 - 1 -12.2 -19.8 +7.4
  Nov 20, 2013 18   @ Ohio St. L 52-63 10%     1 - 2 +6.2 -8.3 +14.5
  Nov 23, 2013 211   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-68 61%     1 - 3 -4.0 +0.1 -4.8
  Nov 26, 2013 134   @ Columbia L 47-61 42%     1 - 4 -9.1 -12.4 +0.2
  Nov 30, 2013 307   @ St. Francis (PA) W 75-43 82%     2 - 4 +25.2 +13.3 +17.7
  Dec 04, 2013 332   Howard W 76-53 95%     3 - 4 +7.2 +3.5 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2013 162   Brown L 67-72 70%     3 - 5 -7.5 +7.4 -15.7
  Dec 19, 2013 69   @ St. Mary's L 44-59 25%     3 - 6 -4.9 -14.7 +6.1
  Dec 22, 2013 81   @ San Francisco L 69-77 28%     3 - 7 +1.2 +10.5 -10.6
  Dec 29, 2013 336   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-58 89%     4 - 7 +2.4 -4.9 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2014 168   @ Bucknell W 67-57 51%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +12.7 +5.7 +8.2
  Jan 05, 2014 165   @ Holy Cross W 69-54 50%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +17.9 +3.6 +15.3
  Jan 08, 2014 288   Loyola Maryland W 65-51 90%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +3.1 -7.0 +11.1
  Jan 11, 2014 190   @ Colgate W 69-62 57%     8 - 7 4 - 0 +8.2 +13.0 -2.8
  Jan 15, 2014 252   @ Lehigh W 65-63 69%     9 - 7 5 - 0 +0.0 +3.0 -2.8
  Jan 18, 2014 253   Lafayette W 66-61 84%     10 - 7 6 - 0 -2.6 -8.7 +6.6
  Jan 22, 2014 128   Boston University W 86-56 62%     11 - 7 7 - 0 +29.9 +21.1 +11.2
  Jan 25, 2014 221   @ Army W 84-74 63%     12 - 7 8 - 0 +9.5 +12.5 -2.6
  Jan 29, 2014 298   Navy W 74-52 91%     13 - 7 9 - 0 +10.2 +11.3 +2.6
  Feb 01, 2014 165   Holy Cross W 63-57 71%     14 - 7 10 - 0 +3.3 +6.7 -1.8
  Feb 05, 2014 288   @ Loyola Maryland L 58-62 79%     14 - 8 10 - 1 -9.3 -1.9 -8.4
  Feb 08, 2014 190   Colgate L 60-63 76%     14 - 9 10 - 2 -7.4 -8.4 +0.5
  Feb 12, 2014 252   Lehigh W 64-44 84%     15 - 9 11 - 2 +12.4 -4.7 +18.7
  Feb 15, 2014 253   @ Lafayette L 62-74 69%     15 - 10 11 - 3 -14.0 -4.7 -11.8
  Feb 19, 2014 128   @ Boston University L 62-71 40%     15 - 11 11 - 4 -3.5 -2.7 -1.5
  Feb 22, 2014 221   Army W 58-54 80%     16 - 11 12 - 4 -2.1 -12.6 +11.0
  Feb 26, 2014 298   @ Navy W 64-55 81%     17 - 11 13 - 4 +2.8 -1.0 +4.8
  Mar 01, 2014 168   Bucknell L 51-56 71%     17 - 12 13 - 5 -7.9 -15.3 +6.9
  Mar 05, 2014 190   Colgate W 59-50 76%     18 - 12 +4.6 -12.2 +17.9
  Mar 08, 2014 165   Holy Cross W 57-46 71%     19 - 12 +8.3 -0.3 +11.6
  Mar 12, 2014 128   @ Boston University W 55-36 40%     20 - 12 +24.5 -1.6 +30.4
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.9 0.1 6.9 92.8 0.2
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 6.9 92.8 0.2