Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#67
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#61
Pace63.8#277
Improvement+5.2#16

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#22
Improvement-0.8#224

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#158
Improvement+6.0#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2013 69   @ St. Mary's L 65-78 41%     0 - 1 -2.9 +5.7 -10.7
  Nov 18, 2013 75   Southern Miss L 69-70 64%     0 - 2 +3.1 +1.4 +1.7
  Nov 20, 2013 119   @ Western Michigan W 83-74 56%     1 - 2 +15.1 +11.9 +3.0
  Nov 24, 2013 255   @ North Dakota L 77-95 82%     1 - 3 -20.2 -7.1 -11.3
  Nov 29, 2013 152   @ Santa Clara W 91-85 64%     2 - 3 +9.9 +18.8 -8.9
  Nov 30, 2013 215   Rider W 87-70 84%     3 - 3 +14.0 +16.3 -1.1
  Dec 07, 2013 210   @ Bryant W 66-62 76%     4 - 3 +4.2 -6.1 +10.4
  Dec 11, 2013 88   @ Notre Dame W 73-69 46%     5 - 3 +12.8 +4.6 +8.4
  Dec 14, 2013 18   @ Ohio St. L 62-79 19%     5 - 4 +0.2 +8.4 -10.0
  Dec 16, 2013 114   Delaware W 85-66 74%     6 - 4 +19.9 +10.3 +9.7
  Dec 21, 2013 138   Towson W 90-82 79%     7 - 4 +7.2 +14.4 -7.1
  Dec 23, 2013 200   @ Utah Valley W 74-70 75%     8 - 4 +4.6 +14.0 -8.7
  Jan 09, 2014 141   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-82 62%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -6.4 +2.2 -9.1
  Jan 11, 2014 327   @ IUPUI W 87-64 93%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +13.7 +13.7 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2014 170   Nebraska Omaha W 91-69 85%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +18.9 +10.8 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2014 263   Western Illinois W 65-52 93%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +4.5 +8.9 -1.1
  Jan 25, 2014 131   @ South Dakota St. W 85-77 59%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +13.4 +17.1 -3.5
  Jan 30, 2014 241   @ South Dakota W 66-63 81%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +1.4 -1.2 +2.9
  Feb 01, 2014 142   @ Denver L 63-67 62%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +0.6 +4.5 -5.0
  Feb 06, 2014 327   IUPUI W 66-60 97%     14 - 6 6 - 2 -8.9 -4.1 -3.8
  Feb 08, 2014 141   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-58 80%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +10.0 +1.1 +10.0
  Feb 13, 2014 263   @ Western Illinois W 56-52 84%     16 - 6 8 - 2 +1.1 -6.7 +8.4
  Feb 15, 2014 170   @ Nebraska Omaha W 75-59 70%     17 - 6 9 - 2 +18.4 -0.7 +18.3
  Feb 22, 2014 131   South Dakota St. W 74-59 78%     18 - 6 10 - 2 +14.8 +6.8 +9.1
  Feb 27, 2014 241   South Dakota W 82-54 91%     19 - 6 11 - 2 +20.8 +10.9 +11.8
  Mar 01, 2014 142   Denver W 78-68 80%     20 - 6 12 - 2 +9.0 +15.1 -4.3
  Mar 10, 2014 142   Denver W 83-48 72%     21 - 6 +36.8 +33.9 +14.2
  Mar 11, 2014 141   Purdue Fort Wayne W 60-57 72%     22 - 6 +4.8 -3.5 +8.8
Projected Record 22.0 - 6.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.3 0.0 1.1 65.4 32.9 0.6
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 1.1 65.4 32.9 0.6