Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#216
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#199
Pace75.4#36
Improvement+0.0#178

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#164
Improvement-1.1#236

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#263
Improvement+1.1#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 68   @ Boise St. L 87-116 11%     0 - 1 -18.9 +3.6 -18.5
  Nov 12, 2013 319   Samford W 88-75 84%     1 - 1 -0.9 -2.3 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2013 93   Cleveland St. L 73-83 29%     1 - 2 -7.2 -6.0 -0.4
  Nov 19, 2013 19   @ Kentucky L 76-105 4%     1 - 3 -11.9 +5.7 -15.5
  Nov 21, 2013 197   @ Robert Morris L 81-88 35%     1 - 4 -6.1 +3.8 -9.6
  Nov 23, 2013 126   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-74 21%     1 - 5 +0.6 +10.2 -10.0
  Nov 29, 2013 38   @ Texas L 69-72 7%     1 - 6 +10.6 +0.2 +10.6
  Dec 14, 2013 344   @ Houston Baptist W 80-70 80%     2 - 6 -1.9 +2.1 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2013 27   @ Oklahoma L 89-91 5%     2 - 7 +14.1 +12.6 +1.6
  Dec 21, 2013 223   Cal St. Bakersfield W 79-75 OT 62%     3 - 7 -2.2 -7.2 +4.4
  Jan 02, 2014 161   Arkansas St. L 66-82 48%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -18.4 -11.7 -6.1
  Jan 04, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock L 70-72 62%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -8.2 -7.7 -0.4
  Jan 09, 2014 243   Louisiana Monroe W 83-79 OT 66%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -3.3 +6.3 -9.7
  Jan 11, 2014 122   @ Louisiana L 70-90 20%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -14.1 -7.6 -5.0
  Jan 18, 2014 276   @ Texas St. W 56-48 52%     5 - 10 2 - 3 +4.5 -11.7 +16.7
  Jan 23, 2014 248   Troy W 59-56 66%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -4.5 -12.8 +8.7
  Jan 25, 2014 250   South Alabama W 73-65 67%     7 - 10 4 - 3 +0.5 +3.0 -1.9
  Jan 30, 2014 181   @ Western Kentucky L 72-77 32%     7 - 11 4 - 4 -3.2 +2.4 -5.7
  Feb 01, 2014 72   @ Georgia St. L 91-101 OT 12%     7 - 12 4 - 5 +0.0 +4.8 -3.1
  Feb 06, 2014 122   Louisiana L 89-92 37%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -2.7 +1.0 -3.2
  Feb 13, 2014 243   @ Louisiana Monroe W 85-74 45%     8 - 13 5 - 6 +9.3 +10.4 -1.6
  Feb 15, 2014 276   Texas St. W 69-62 72%     9 - 13 6 - 6 -2.1 +0.2 -1.8
  Feb 20, 2014 161   @ Arkansas St. L 60-83 28%     9 - 14 6 - 7 -19.9 -10.6 -9.7
  Feb 22, 2014 222   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 75-71 41%     10 - 14 7 - 7 +3.4 +0.8 +2.4
  Feb 27, 2014 72   Georgia St. L 49-77 24%     10 - 15 7 - 8 -23.6 -16.7 -11.4
  Mar 01, 2014 181   Western Kentucky W 80-73 53%     11 - 15 8 - 8 +3.2 +1.8 +1.0
  Mar 06, 2014 248   @ Troy W 87-86 2OT 45%     12 - 15 9 - 8 -0.9 +2.0 -3.0
  Mar 08, 2014 250   @ South Alabama L 73-78 46%     12 - 16 9 - 9 -7.0 -4.3 -2.4
  Mar 13, 2014 243   Louisiana Monroe W 68-65 55%     13 - 16 -1.5 -0.5 -0.8
  Mar 14, 2014 122   Louisiana L 85-91 28%     13 - 17 -2.9 +6.9 -9.5
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%