Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#119
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#91
Pace68.6#155
Improvement+4.4#29

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#131
Improvement+4.1#25

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#127
Improvement+0.3#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 85   New Mexico St. W 70-64 39%     1 - 0 +12.2 +6.8 +6.1
  Nov 10, 2013 135   @ Hawaii L 68-78 44%     1 - 1 -5.1 -3.1 -2.3
  Nov 11, 2013 290   Tennessee St. W 63-52 86%     2 - 1 +2.6 -14.9 +17.7
  Nov 17, 2013 310   Alabama A&M W 73-69 92%     3 - 1 -8.6 -0.2 -8.3
  Nov 20, 2013 67   North Dakota St. L 74-83 44%     3 - 2 -4.0 -1.0 -2.9
  Nov 26, 2013 185   Oakland W 99-88 76%     4 - 2 +6.9 +12.0 -6.0
  Nov 29, 2013 334   Cornell W 83-70 95%     5 - 2 -3.1 -0.9 -2.0
  Dec 07, 2013 116   @ Northwestern L 35-51 38%     5 - 3 -9.6 -23.9 +12.5
  Dec 15, 2013 65   @ Missouri L 60-66 24%     5 - 4 +4.8 -8.2 +12.8
  Dec 18, 2013 176   @ Drake L 68-71 56%     5 - 5 -1.1 -0.2 -1.1
  Dec 21, 2013 329   Prairie View W 92-53 95%     6 - 5 +23.9 +7.4 +14.5
  Jan 08, 2014 107   Toledo W 87-76 58%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +12.2 +4.0 +7.5
  Jan 11, 2014 208   @ Miami (OH) W 78-77 OT 62%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +1.3 +11.2 -9.9
  Jan 14, 2014 126   @ Eastern Michigan L 37-56 41%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -13.4 -23.1 +7.8
  Jan 19, 2014 201   Bowling Green L 64-69 79%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -10.0 -4.1 -5.9
  Jan 23, 2014 186   @ Kent St. W 75-59 57%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +17.5 +2.3 +14.9
  Jan 26, 2014 287   Ball St. W 62-53 90%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -1.9 -14.8 +12.9
  Jan 29, 2014 99   @ Buffalo L 63-84 34%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -13.5 -9.8 -2.9
  Feb 01, 2014 282   Central Michigan W 75-72 89%     11 - 8 5 - 3 -6.8 -0.3 -6.2
  Feb 05, 2014 125   Ohio W 90-74 62%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +16.2 +16.3 -0.2
  Feb 09, 2014 196   @ Northern Illinois W 74-71 59%     13 - 8 7 - 3 +4.0 +12.6 -8.5
  Feb 12, 2014 136   Akron W 57-54 65%     14 - 8 8 - 3 +2.2 -9.3 +11.7
  Feb 15, 2014 208   Miami (OH) W 68-57 79%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +5.7 -7.5 +12.8
  Feb 19, 2014 125   @ Ohio W 73-63 41%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +15.8 +7.5 +8.9
  Feb 23, 2014 126   Eastern Michigan W 75-67 63%     17 - 8 11 - 3 +8.0 +7.7 +0.2
  Feb 26, 2014 287   @ Ball St. W 88-81 OT 79%     18 - 8 12 - 3 +1.7 +5.3 -4.3
  Mar 01, 2014 107   @ Toledo L 85-96 OT 37%     18 - 9 12 - 4 -4.2 +2.3 -5.4
  Mar 04, 2014 196   Northern Illinois W 61-56 77%     19 - 9 13 - 4 +0.4 -2.8 +3.6
  Mar 07, 2014 282   @ Central Michigan W 78-64 76%     20 - 9 14 - 4 +9.8 +10.0 +2.0
  Mar 14, 2014 136   Akron W 64-60 OT 55%     21 - 9 +6.0 +2.2 +4.3
  Mar 15, 2014 107   Toledo W 98-77 47%     22 - 9 +25.0 +16.6 +7.2
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.4 0.1 57.5 41.8 0.6
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.1 57.5 41.8 0.6