Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
11 Kansas 100.0%   2   26 - 8 13 - 5 26 - 8 13 - 5 +16.5      +8.3 11 +8.3 11 71.0 63 +18.3 9 +17.7 1
12 Oklahoma 100.0%   4   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +16.5      +8.2 12 +8.2 12 73.0 33 +14.7 16 +16.1 3
13 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   25 - 8 12 - 6 25 - 8 12 - 6 +16.1      +8.0 13 +8.0 13 75.7 19 +17.0 11 +16.1 2
14 Baylor 100.0%   3   23 - 9 11 - 7 23 - 9 11 - 7 +15.7      +7.9 14 +7.9 14 61.0 301 +15.3 14 +14.7 5
18 Texas 55.6%   20 - 13 8 - 10 20 - 13 8 - 10 +13.4      +6.7 18 +6.7 18 63.0 265 +11.5 31 +10.7 8
23 West Virginia 100.0%   5   23 - 9 11 - 7 23 - 9 11 - 7 +12.9      +6.4 23 +6.4 23 74.7 24 +14.6 17 +15.0 4
33 Oklahoma St. 81.2%   10   17 - 13 8 - 10 17 - 13 8 - 10 +10.8      +5.4 33 +5.4 33 64.1 238 +10.8 36 +11.0 7
52 TCU 0.0%   18 - 15 4 - 14 18 - 15 4 - 14 +9.2      +4.6 52 +4.6 52 65.3 194 +7.8 63 +4.6 9
66 Kansas St. 0.3%   15 - 17 8 - 10 15 - 17 8 - 10 +7.2      +3.6 66 +3.6 66 61.9 278 +7.8 62 +11.4 6
124 Texas Tech 0.0%   13 - 19 3 - 15 13 - 19 3 - 15 +2.7      +1.4 124 +1.4 124 61.2 294 +3.1 122 +3.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Oklahoma 2.0 100.0
Iowa St. 2.0 100.0
Baylor 4.0 100.0
Texas 6.0 100.0
West Virginia 4.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 6.0 100.0
TCU 9.0 100.0
Kansas St. 6.0 100.0
Texas Tech 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 13 - 5 100.0
Oklahoma 12 - 6 100.0
Iowa St. 12 - 6 100.0
Baylor 11 - 7 100.0
Texas 8 - 10 100.0
West Virginia 11 - 7 100.0
Oklahoma St. 8 - 10 100.0
TCU 4 - 14 100.0
Kansas St. 8 - 10 100.0
Texas Tech 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Oklahoma
Iowa St.
Baylor
Texas
West Virginia
Oklahoma St.
TCU
Kansas St.
Texas Tech


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   14.9 65.9 19.0 0.1 100.0%
Oklahoma 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 0.8 37.3 54.4 7.3 0.2 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3   2.3 32.7 61.5 3.6 0.0
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   0.5 7.0 57.8 33.0 1.6 0.0 100.0%
Texas 55.6% 0.0% 55.6% 0.1 0.8 5.4 32.8 16.5 0.0 44.4 55.6%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 1.8 19.4 41.8 28.1 8.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Oklahoma St. 81.2% 0.0% 81.2% 10   0.1 1.1 11.5 29.2 31.7 7.6 0.0 18.8 81.2%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.3%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.7% 64.6% 36.3% 15.1% 5.9% 2.1%
Oklahoma 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.7% 60.5% 25.4% 11.5% 4.7% 1.6%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.8% 61.0% 29.5% 11.3% 4.5% 1.5%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.8% 58.2% 23.7% 9.7% 3.8% 1.2%
Texas 55.6% 41.2% 42.0% 21.9% 9.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 70.4% 33.0% 9.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Oklahoma St. 81.2% 1.1% 80.7% 37.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.4 7.3 48.5 44.1 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 6.2 10.3 56.7 33.0 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 4.9 0.0 0.7 5.8 23.3 41.9 24.7 3.7
Sweet Sixteen 99.0% 2.9 1.0 8.0 24.3 36.2 23.8 6.2 0.5 0.0
Elite Eight 81.7% 1.3 18.4 43.0 29.6 8.2 0.8 0.0
Final Four 44.6% 0.5 55.4 37.3 6.9 0.4 0.0
Final Game 19.3% 0.2 80.7 18.6 0.7
Champion 6.7% 0.1 93.4 6.7