Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
143 Eastern Washington 100.0%   13   23 - 8 14 - 4 23 - 8 14 - 4 +1.5      +0.7 143 +0.7 143 73.5 30 +4.4 99 +1.8 1
174 Montana 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 4 18 - 12 14 - 4 -0.6      -0.3 174 -0.3 174 61.1 297 -0.6 172 +1.7 2
202 Northern Arizona 0.0%   18 - 14 13 - 5 18 - 14 13 - 5 -2.0      -1.0 202 -1.0 202 66.8 155 -1.5 193 -0.4 4
216 Sacramento St. 0.0%   18 - 11 13 - 5 18 - 11 13 - 5 -2.6      -1.3 216 -1.3 216 61.9 279 -1.3 189 +0.4 3
240 Idaho 0.0%   11 - 17 8 - 10 11 - 17 8 - 10 -4.4      -2.2 240 -2.2 240 72.5 42 -5.9 270 -6.5 8
257 Northern Colorado 0.0%   13 - 15 10 - 8 13 - 15 10 - 8 -5.3      -2.7 257 -2.7 257 65.3 193 -5.3 253 -4.1 5
264 Portland St. 0.0%   13 - 14 9 - 9 13 - 14 9 - 9 -5.5      -2.8 264 -2.8 264 69.6 97 -3.7 233 -5.0 6
273 Weber St. 0.0%   11 - 17 8 - 10 11 - 17 8 - 10 -5.9      -3.0 273 -3.0 273 62.5 270 -5.8 264 -6.5 7
311 Southern Utah 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 11 9 - 19 7 - 11 -9.0      -4.5 311 -4.5 311 72.5 43 -8.9 306 -8.0 9
312 Idaho St. 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 14 5 - 23 4 - 14 -9.2      -4.6 312 -4.6 312 64.2 233 -13.1 333 -12.2 10
318 North Dakota 0.0%   6 - 22 4 - 14 6 - 22 4 - 14 -10.0      -5.0 318 -5.0 318 72.8 37 -11.6 327 -12.6 12
319 Montana St. 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 14 6 - 23 4 - 14 -10.1      -5.1 319 -5.1 319 68.7 111 -11.6 328 -12.5 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Eastern Washington 1.0 100.0
Montana 1.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 3.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 3.0 100.0
Idaho 7.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 6.0 100.0
Weber St. 7.0 100.0
Southern Utah 9.0 100.0
Idaho St. 10.0 100.0
North Dakota 10.0 100.0
Montana St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Eastern Washington 14 - 4 100.0
Montana 14 - 4 100.0
Northern Arizona 13 - 5 100.0
Sacramento St. 13 - 5 100.0
Idaho 8 - 10 100.0
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 100.0
Portland St. 9 - 9 100.0
Weber St. 8 - 10 100.0
Southern Utah 7 - 11 100.0
Idaho St. 4 - 14 100.0
North Dakota 4 - 14 100.0
Montana St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Eastern Washington 100.0% 100.0
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Northern Arizona
Sacramento St.
Idaho
Northern Colorado
Portland St.
Weber St.
Southern Utah
Idaho St.
North Dakota
Montana St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Eastern Washington 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.4 58.5 40.1 1.0
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Eastern Washington 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.1% 0.1 90.9 9.1
Sweet Sixteen 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0