Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Kentucky 100.0%   1   34 - 0 18 - 0 34 - 0 18 - 0 +24.3      +12.1 1 +12.1 1 63.7 249 +31.3 1 +27.5 1
26 Arkansas 100.0%   5   26 - 8 13 - 5 26 - 8 13 - 5 +12.1      +6.1 26 +6.1 26 77.8 13 +14.0 19 +13.3 2
35 Georgia 93.7%   9   21 - 11 11 - 7 21 - 11 11 - 7 +10.6      +5.3 35 +5.3 35 65.6 184 +11.3 33 +11.9 3
36 LSU 96.2%   9   22 - 10 11 - 7 22 - 10 11 - 7 +10.5      +5.2 36 +5.2 36 77.8 12 +10.1 43 +10.9 6
39 Florida 0.0%   16 - 17 8 - 10 16 - 17 8 - 10 +10.2      +5.1 39 +5.1 39 61.7 286 +7.4 66 +8.0 8
44 Mississippi 70.2%   11   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 +9.8      +4.9 44 +4.9 44 70.4 78 +9.1 48 +11.2 4
45 Vanderbilt 2.6%   18 - 13 9 - 9 18 - 13 9 - 9 +9.7      +4.9 45 +4.9 45 62.2 273 +7.2 70 +8.0 7
53 Texas A&M 30.8%   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +9.1      +4.6 53 +4.6 53 65.2 201 +9.4 46 +11.0 5
57 South Carolina 0.0%   16 - 16 6 - 12 16 - 16 6 - 12 +8.1      +4.1 57 +4.1 57 66.8 154 +6.7 76 +4.8 11
58 Alabama 0.2%   17 - 14 8 - 10 17 - 14 8 - 10 +8.1      +4.1 58 +4.1 58 61.3 292 +8.0 60 +7.5 9
81 Tennessee 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 16 - 16 7 - 11 +5.8      +2.9 81 +2.9 81 58.7 329 +6.9 73 +5.9 10
126 Auburn 0.0%   14 - 20 4 - 14 14 - 20 4 - 14 +2.5      +1.3 126 +1.3 126 72.9 34 +4.0 105 +0.6 13
138 Mississippi St. 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 +1.8      +0.9 138 +0.9 138 65.2 200 +0.8 154 +4.4 12
166 Missouri 0.0%   8 - 23 3 - 15 8 - 23 3 - 15 -0.2      -0.1 166 -0.1 166 61.5 289 -0.8 178 -1.1 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Arkansas 2.0 100.0
Georgia 3.0 100.0
LSU 3.0 100.0
Florida 8.0 100.0
Mississippi 3.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 7.0 100.0
Texas A&M 3.0 100.0
South Carolina 11.0 100.0
Alabama 8.0 100.0
Tennessee 10.0 100.0
Auburn 13.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 11.0 100.0
Missouri 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 18 - 0 100.0
Arkansas 13 - 5 100.0
Georgia 11 - 7 100.0
LSU 11 - 7 100.0
Florida 8 - 10 100.0
Mississippi 11 - 7 100.0
Vanderbilt 9 - 9 100.0
Texas A&M 11 - 7 100.0
South Carolina 6 - 12 100.0
Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
Tennessee 7 - 11 100.0
Auburn 4 - 14 100.0
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 100.0
Missouri 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Arkansas
Georgia
LSU
Florida
Mississippi
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
South Carolina
Alabama
Tennessee
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Missouri


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   90.9 9.1 0.0
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   2.1 20.7 42.2 28.6 6.1 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Georgia 93.7% 0.0% 93.7% 9   0.1 0.5 3.6 17.1 36.6 29.8 6.1 0.0 6.3 93.7%
LSU 96.2% 0.0% 96.2% 9   0.0 2.0 24.0 46.5 22.3 1.4 3.8 96.2%
Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 70.2% 0.0% 70.2% 11   0.0 1.2 7.7 29.4 30.5 1.4 29.8 70.2%
Vanderbilt 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 0.7 1.9 0.0 97.4 2.6%
Texas A&M 30.8% 0.0% 30.8% 0.1 1.9 17.4 11.4 0.0 69.2 30.8%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Alabama 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.1% 88.9% 76.2% 57.3% 40.4% 27.9%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 67.9% 30.6% 7.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Georgia 93.7% 0.9% 93.2% 43.5% 8.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
LSU 96.2% 0.1% 96.2% 44.7% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 70.2% 12.3% 64.2% 25.7% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 30.8% 24.8% 18.3% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.9 0.0 1.5 23.0 56.2 18.9 0.4
1st Round 100.0% 4.7 0.0 2.4 32.2 55.2 10.1 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 2.9 0.1 6.8 28.3 39.1 21.6 4.1 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 94.9% 1.4 5.1 53.3 34.6 6.5 0.5 0.0
Elite Eight 81.0% 0.9 19.0 70.3 10.4 0.4 0.0
Final Four 59.6% 0.6 40.4 57.7 1.9 0.0
Final Game 41.2% 0.4 58.8 40.9 0.3
Champion 28.0% 0.3 72.0 28.0