Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
46 Stephen F. Austin 100.0%   12   26 - 4 17 - 1 26 - 4 17 - 1 +9.7      +4.9 46 +4.9 46 69.1 105 +10.9 34 +11.5 1
104 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   21 - 8 15 - 3 21 - 8 15 - 3 +4.0      +2.0 104 +2.0 104 66.1 172 +3.3 117 +4.2 2
208 Northwestern St. 0.0%   15 - 12 13 - 5 15 - 12 13 - 5 -2.2      -1.1 208 -1.1 208 84.3 4 -1.1 186 -0.2 4
223 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   17 - 13 13 - 5 17 - 13 13 - 5 -3.2      -1.6 223 -1.6 223 62.0 276 -2.9 220 +1.0 3
225 Incarnate Word 0.0%   14 - 10 10 - 8 14 - 10 10 - 8 -3.3      -1.6 225 -1.6 225 72.0 51 -1.4 191 -5.4 5
277 Lamar 0.0%   11 - 15 9 - 9 11 - 15 9 - 9 -6.1      -3.0 277 -3.0 277 70.4 77 -6.0 271 -5.8 6
300 McNeese St. 0.0%   11 - 16 8 - 10 11 - 16 8 - 10 -7.9      -4.0 300 -4.0 300 63.5 257 -6.8 284 -9.1 8
309 New Orleans 0.0%   8 - 18 6 - 12 8 - 18 6 - 12 -8.8      -4.4 309 -4.4 309 73.0 32 -10.6 319 -12.2 10
314 SE Louisiana 0.0%   8 - 23 6 - 12 8 - 23 6 - 12 -9.4      -4.7 314 -4.7 314 69.8 92 -12.2 329 -12.8 11
316 Houston Baptist 0.0%   8 - 16 7 - 11 8 - 16 7 - 11 -9.9      -4.9 316 -4.9 316 69.9 90 -7.7 296 -8.1 7
328 Nicholls St. 0.0%   7 - 19 7 - 11 7 - 19 7 - 11 -12.0      -6.0 328 -6.0 328 70.0 86 -11.6 326 -10.0 9
338 Abilene Christian 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 14 7 - 21 4 - 14 -13.4      -6.7 338 -6.7 338 64.1 237 -11.5 324 -13.7 12
349 Central Arkansas 0.0%   2 - 27 2 - 16 2 - 27 2 - 16 -18.9      -9.5 349 -9.5 349 77.0 16 -19.8 347 -18.4 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 2.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 3.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 3.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 5.0 100.0
Lamar 6.0 100.0
McNeese St. 7.0 100.0
New Orleans 10.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 10.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 8.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 8.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 12.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Stephen F. Austin 17 - 1 100.0
Sam Houston St. 15 - 3 100.0
Northwestern St. 13 - 5 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 13 - 5 100.0
Incarnate Word 10 - 8 100.0
Lamar 9 - 9 100.0
McNeese St. 8 - 10 100.0
New Orleans 6 - 12 100.0
SE Louisiana 6 - 12 100.0
Houston Baptist 7 - 11 100.0
Nicholls St. 7 - 11 100.0
Abilene Christian 4 - 14 100.0
Central Arkansas 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
Sam Houston St.
Northwestern St.
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Incarnate Word
Lamar
McNeese St.
New Orleans
SE Louisiana
Houston Baptist
Nicholls St.
Abilene Christian
Central Arkansas


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 1.3 7.1 41.5 48.4 1.7
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 37.7% 12.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 37.7% 0.4 62.3 37.7
Sweet Sixteen 12.8% 0.1 87.2 12.8
Elite Eight 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Final Four 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0