Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
113 New Mexico St. 100.0%   14   21 - 10 13 - 1 21 - 10 13 - 1 +3.6      +1.8 113 +1.8 113 64.3 227 +1.9 141 +6.4 1
254 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 7 11 - 19 7 - 7 -5.0      -2.5 254 -2.5 254 58.7 328 -8.5 304 -7.3 5
261 Grand Canyon 0.0%   15 - 14 8 - 6 15 - 14 8 - 6 -5.5      -2.8 261 -2.8 261 66.8 153 -5.4 255 -5.3 3
276 Seattle 0.0%   14 - 15 7 - 7 14 - 15 7 - 7 -6.0      -3.0 276 -3.0 276 61.1 296 -5.7 262 -7.1 4
283 UMKC 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 6 12 - 19 8 - 6 -6.5      -3.3 283 -3.3 283 65.5 187 -7.1 291 -5.1 2
322 Utah Valley 0.0%   9 - 19 5 - 9 9 - 19 5 - 9 -10.7      -5.3 322 -5.3 322 61.0 300 -9.0 307 -10.1 6
326 Chicago St. 0.0%   5 - 24 4 - 10 5 - 24 4 - 10 -11.4      -5.7 326 -5.7 326 63.8 247 -12.4 330 -12.0 8
332 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 10 7 - 21 4 - 10 -12.4      -6.2 332 -6.2 332 66.3 169 -10.7 321 -11.8 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
New Mexico St. 1.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 4.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 2.0 100.0
Seattle 4.0 100.0
UMKC 2.0 100.0
Utah Valley 6.0 100.0
Chicago St. 7.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
New Mexico St. 13 - 1 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 7 - 7 100.0
Grand Canyon 8 - 6 100.0
Seattle 7 - 7 100.0
UMKC 8 - 6 100.0
Utah Valley 5 - 9 100.0
Chicago St. 4 - 10 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield
Grand Canyon
Seattle
UMKC
Utah Valley
Chicago St.
UT Rio Grande Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   6.1 55.5 37.2 1.2
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.2% 0.1 90.8 9.2
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0