Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Ohio Valley
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#149
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#132
Pace71.1#60
Improvement+1.9#93

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#149
Improvement+3.9#17

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
Improvement-2.0#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round4.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 253   @ Wright St. L 70-73 63%     0 - 1 -5.1 -1.1 -1.1
  Nov 17, 2014 294   @ Lipscomb W 87-62 70%     1 - 1 +20.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 22, 2014 144   @ Western Kentucky W 64-63 38%     2 - 1 +5.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Nov 24, 2014 294   Lipscomb W 82-77 85%     3 - 1 -5.1 -5.0 -5.0
  Nov 26, 2014 220   Denver W 78-57 76%     4 - 1 +15.0 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 29, 2014 224   @ Ohio W 83-81 56%     5 - 1 +1.7 -0.2 -0.2
  Dec 02, 2014 150   Middle Tennessee W 63-59 62%     6 - 1 +2.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 09, 2014 133   Evansville L 62-65 58%     6 - 2 -3.8 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 11, 2014 253   Wright St. L 71-79 81%     6 - 3 -15.9 -4.0 -4.0
  Dec 16, 2014 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 51-78 13%     6 - 4 -13.3 +6.8 +6.8
  Dec 20, 2014 293   @ Fairfield W 73-61 70%     7 - 4 +7.8 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 28, 2014 20   @ Butler L 56-67 9%     7 - 5 +5.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 01, 2015 235   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-77 78%     8 - 5 1 - 0 -5.8 -3.4 -3.4
  Jan 07, 2015 251   SIU Edwardsville W 73-69 81%     9 - 5 2 - 0 -3.8 -3.9 -3.9
  Jan 10, 2015 233   @ Eastern Illinois L 73-84 58%     9 - 6 2 - 1 -11.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 15, 2015 78   @ Murray St. L 77-92 23%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -6.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Jan 17, 2015 317   @ Austin Peay W 89-83 79%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -1.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Jan 22, 2015 187   Tennessee Martin W 72-67 70%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +0.7 -2.1 -2.1
  Jan 25, 2015 331   @ Tennessee St. W 63-55 84%     12 - 7 5 - 2 -1.4 -4.7 -4.7
  Jan 29, 2015 310   Jacksonville St. W 103-82 89%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +9.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Jan 31, 2015 250   Tennessee Tech W 71-53 81%     14 - 7 7 - 2 +10.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 05, 2015 146   @ Eastern Kentucky L 69-81 38%     14 - 8 7 - 3 -7.7 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 07, 2015 153   @ Morehead St. L 71-73 41%     14 - 9 7 - 4 +1.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 11, 2015 310   @ Jacksonville St. L 70-72 76%     14 - 10 7 - 5 -8.1 -3.0 -3.0
  Feb 14, 2015 153   Morehead St. W 58-57 63%     15 - 10 8 - 5 -1.2 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 19, 2015 146   Eastern Kentucky W 66-61 60%     16 - 10 9 - 5 +3.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Feb 21, 2015 250   @ Tennessee Tech W 88-82 63%     17 - 10 10 - 5 +3.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 28, 2015 331   Tennessee St. W 88-62 93%     18 - 10 11 - 5 +10.9 -7.6 -7.6
  Mar 05, 2015 233   Eastern Illinois W 97-64 69%     19 - 10 +29.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Mar 06, 2015 146   Eastern Kentucky W 53-52 49%     20 - 10 +2.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Mar 07, 2015 78   Murray St. W 88-87 32%     21 - 10 +7.1 +3.1 +3.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 1.2 28.5 63.6 6.6
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 1.2 28.5 63.6 6.6