Pre-tourney Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#163
Pace65.4#191
Improvement-2.7#287

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#191
Improvement-1.6#260

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#191
Improvement-1.1#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.3% n/a n/a
First Round93.8% n/a n/a
Second Round1.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 182   @ Robert Morris W 77-50 38%     1 - 0 +28.7 +0.9 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2014 23   @ West Virginia L 56-83 6%     1 - 1 -11.3 +7.9 +7.9
  Nov 19, 2014 156   Princeton W 83-66 53%     2 - 1 +14.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2014 280   @ Penn W 83-77 57%     3 - 1 +2.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Nov 26, 2014 89   @ Yale L 60-82 18%     3 - 2 -14.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Nov 30, 2014 320   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-61 72%     4 - 2 +13.5 -3.7 -3.7
  Dec 06, 2014 306   Wagner W 97-84 82%     5 - 2 +1.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Dec 08, 2014 243   Sacred Heart W 82-81 72%     6 - 2 -6.5 -3.8 -3.8
  Dec 20, 2014 11   @ Kansas L 69-96 4%     6 - 3 -7.6 +9.7 +9.7
  Dec 28, 2014 181   NJIT W 76-71 60%     7 - 3 +1.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2014 269   @ Army W 92-78 55%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +11.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 03, 2015 266   Navy L 65-69 75%     8 - 4 1 - 1 -12.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 07, 2015 201   @ Bucknell L 69-79 41%     8 - 5 1 - 2 -9.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 10, 2015 239   @ Boston University W 63-62 50%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -0.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 14, 2015 301   Loyola Maryland W 69-65 81%     10 - 5 3 - 2 -6.9 -5.5 -5.5
  Jan 17, 2015 196   American L 76-78 62%     10 - 6 3 - 3 -6.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 21, 2015 241   @ Holy Cross L 73-74 50%     10 - 7 3 - 4 -2.6 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 24, 2015 199   Lehigh L 71-75 62%     10 - 8 3 - 5 -8.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Jan 28, 2015 183   @ Colgate W 59-54 38%     11 - 8 4 - 5 +6.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 31, 2015 266   @ Navy W 74-65 54%     12 - 8 5 - 5 +6.3 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 04, 2015 201   Bucknell W 84-74 OT 63%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +5.1 -2.4 -2.4
  Feb 09, 2015 239   Boston University L 60-74 71%     13 - 9 6 - 6 -21.3 -3.6 -3.6
  Feb 11, 2015 301   @ Loyola Maryland L 43-62 64%     13 - 10 6 - 7 -24.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 14, 2015 196   @ American L 77-88 40%     13 - 11 6 - 8 -9.9 +0.6 +0.6
  Feb 18, 2015 241   Holy Cross W 89-81 71%     14 - 11 7 - 8 +0.6 -3.7 -3.7
  Feb 22, 2015 199   @ Lehigh W 63-61 40%     15 - 11 8 - 8 +3.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 25, 2015 183   Colgate L 83-95 60%     15 - 12 8 - 9 -16.1 -2.1 -2.1
  Feb 28, 2015 269   Army W 74-64 75%     16 - 12 9 - 9 +1.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Mar 05, 2015 239   Boston University W 89-64 71%     17 - 12 +17.7 -3.6 -3.6
  Mar 08, 2015 201   @ Bucknell W 80-74 41%     18 - 12 +6.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 11, 2015 196   American W 65-63 62%     19 - 12 -2.7 -2.3 -2.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.5 0.0 2.9 41.0 56.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 2.9 41.0 56.1