Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#113
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#141
Pace64.3#227
Improvement+0.8#139

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#113
Improvement-2.7#310

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#113
Improvement+3.6#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 19   @ Wichita St. L 54-71 13%     0 - 1 -1.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Nov 18, 2014 60   @ St. Mary's L 71-83 24%     0 - 2 -1.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Nov 19, 2014 257   Northern Colorado W 86-65 86%     1 - 2 +12.8 -4.1 -4.1
  Nov 22, 2014 99   @ UTEP L 76-77 36%     1 - 3 +6.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Nov 24, 2014 333   Stetson W 88-68 95%     2 - 3 +4.3 -7.8 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2014 350   Florida A&M W 78-33 99%     3 - 3 +21.0 -12.0 -12.0
  Nov 29, 2014 112   @ Wyoming L 75-78 39%     3 - 4 +3.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Dec 03, 2014 141   @ New Mexico L 47-62 46%     3 - 5 -10.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Dec 06, 2014 99   UTEP W 71-64 58%     4 - 5 +8.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 13, 2014 215   @ Oral Roberts L 83-86 62%     4 - 6 -2.7 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 17, 2014 14   @ Baylor L 55-66 9%     4 - 7 +7.6 +9.3 +9.3
  Dec 20, 2014 141   New Mexico L 67-69 68%     4 - 8 -3.2 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 27, 2014 63   Colorado St. L 57-58 OT 46%     4 - 9 +3.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Dec 30, 2014 219   Texas Southern W 54-52 81%     5 - 9 -3.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 03, 2015 102   UC Irvine W 70-67 59%     6 - 9 +4.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 10, 2015 283   UMKC W 63-45 88%     7 - 9 1 - 0 +8.6 -4.7 -4.7
  Jan 15, 2015 254   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-54 71%     8 - 9 2 - 0 +13.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 17, 2015 276   @ Seattle L 52-58 74%     8 - 10 2 - 1 -9.1 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 22, 2015 261   Grand Canyon W 85-63 87%     9 - 10 3 - 1 +13.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 24, 2015 322   Utah Valley W 69-44 94%     10 - 10 4 - 1 +11.4 -6.8 -6.8
  Jan 31, 2015 332   UT Rio Grande Valley W 53-48 95%     11 - 10 5 - 1 -10.3 -7.7 -7.7
  Feb 05, 2015 326   @ Chicago St. W 69-61 OT 87%     12 - 10 6 - 1 -0.5 -4.3 -4.3
  Feb 07, 2015 283   @ UMKC W 77-63 75%     13 - 10 7 - 1 +10.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Feb 12, 2015 276   Seattle W 73-47 87%     14 - 10 8 - 1 +17.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Feb 14, 2015 254   Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-58 86%     15 - 10 9 - 1 +8.1 -4.0 -4.0
  Feb 19, 2015 322   @ Utah Valley W 51-38 86%     16 - 10 10 - 1 +5.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 21, 2015 261   @ Grand Canyon W 72-55 72%     17 - 10 11 - 1 +14.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Mar 04, 2015 332   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 69-48 89%     18 - 10 12 - 1 +11.4 -4.8 -4.8
  Mar 07, 2015 326   Chicago St. W 61-57 94%     19 - 10 13 - 1 -10.3 -7.2 -7.2
  Mar 13, 2015 254   Cal St. Bakersfield W 57-53 79%     20 - 10 -1.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Mar 14, 2015 276   Seattle W 80-61 82%     21 - 10 +13.0 -3.0 -3.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.3 6.1 55.5 37.2 1.2
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.3 6.1 55.5 37.2 1.2