Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#289
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#310
Pace66.1#174
Improvement+0.6#150

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#289
Improvement-0.4#202

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#289
Improvement+1.0#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2014 44   Mississippi L 64-74 10%     0 - 1 -3.1 +3.5 +3.5
  Nov 21, 2014 35   @ Georgia L 60-82 4%     0 - 2 -8.6 +6.7 +6.7
  Nov 25, 2014 303   @ Southern Miss L 70-72 44%     0 - 3 -7.4 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 02, 2014 347   Alcorn St. W 72-51 88%     1 - 3 +1.6 -9.7 -9.7
  Dec 06, 2014 349   Central Arkansas W 85-73 91%     2 - 3 -9.8 -10.9 -10.9
  Dec 15, 2014 317   @ Austin Peay L 70-73 51%     2 - 4 -10.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2014 328   @ Nicholls St. W 65-64 59%     3 - 4 -8.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 30, 2014 230   Texas St. L 46-57 49%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -17.6 -3.3 -3.3
  Jan 03, 2015 135   @ Louisiana L 64-91 14%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -22.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 05, 2015 203   Texas Arlington W 71-66 43%     4 - 6 1 - 2 +0.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 10, 2015 80   @ Georgia St. L 72-77 8%     4 - 7 1 - 3 +3.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 15, 2015 176   @ Louisiana Monroe L 54-63 20%     4 - 8 1 - 4 -6.9 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 17, 2015 151   Georgia Southern W 75-71 32%     5 - 8 2 - 4 +2.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 19, 2015 291   Appalachian St. L 64-69 61%     5 - 9 2 - 5 -14.7 -4.9 -4.9
  Jan 22, 2015 234   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-73 29%     5 - 10 2 - 6 -9.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 24, 2015 298   Arkansas St. L 55-64 65%     5 - 11 2 - 7 -19.7 -5.3 -5.3
  Jan 29, 2015 176   Louisiana Monroe L 55-58 OT 38%     5 - 12 2 - 8 -6.7 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 31, 2015 203   @ Texas Arlington W 55-54 23%     6 - 12 3 - 8 +1.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 05, 2015 298   @ Arkansas St. W 69-64 43%     7 - 12 4 - 8 +0.1 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 07, 2015 291   @ Appalachian St. L 62-65 39%     7 - 13 4 - 9 -7.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Feb 12, 2015 296   South Alabama L 67-71 64%     7 - 14 4 - 10 -14.4 -5.2 -5.2
  Feb 14, 2015 135   Louisiana L 80-84 OT 29%     7 - 15 4 - 11 -5.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 19, 2015 151   @ Georgia Southern W 65-62 16%     8 - 15 5 - 11 +6.8 +1.9 +1.9
  Feb 21, 2015 234   Arkansas Little Rock L 58-63 50%     8 - 16 5 - 12 -11.7 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 26, 2015 230   @ Texas St. L 61-67 28%     8 - 17 5 - 13 -6.8 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 28, 2015 80   Georgia St. L 64-75 18%     8 - 18 5 - 14 -8.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Mar 07, 2015 296   @ South Alabama L 93-96 42%     8 - 19 5 - 15 -7.6 -2.3 -2.3
Projected Record 8.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%