Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Horizon
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#75
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#53
Pace63.9#242
Improvement-0.3#182

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#75
Improvement-1.2#240

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#75
Improvement+0.9#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round23.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 228   East Tennessee St. W 90-76 88%     1 - 0 +7.7 -3.2 -3.2
  Nov 16, 2014 166   @ Missouri L 41-56 64%     1 - 1 -12.3 +1.4 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2014 325   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 59-46 94%     2 - 1 +1.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Nov 23, 2014 345   Maine W 93-70 96%     3 - 1 +8.3 -7.4 -7.4
  Nov 28, 2014 245   Drake W 66-46 85%     4 - 1 +15.3 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 29, 2014 78   Murray St. W 93-58 51%     5 - 1 +41.1 +3.1 +3.1
  Nov 30, 2014 119   Portland W 70-55 63%     6 - 1 +18.1 +1.5 +1.5
  Dec 03, 2014 146   @ Eastern Kentucky W 72-66 58%     7 - 1 +10.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 06, 2014 141   New Mexico L 46-63 77%     7 - 2 -18.2 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 13, 2014 249   Ball St. W 65-62 90%     8 - 2 -4.8 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 20, 2014 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-72 68%     9 - 2 +4.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Dec 29, 2014 209   @ James Madison W 79-52 71%     10 - 2 +27.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 02, 2015 157   @ Oakland L 75-89 OT 62%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -10.7 +1.6 +1.6
  Jan 04, 2015 285   Youngstown St. W 79-64 92%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +5.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Jan 08, 2015 279   Illinois-Chicago W 85-56 92%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +19.9 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 10, 2015 114   Cleveland St. W 58-56 71%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +2.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 17, 2015 253   @ Wright St. W 66-56 79%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +7.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 20, 2015 285   @ Youngstown St. W 77-62 83%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +11.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2015 79   @ Green Bay L 50-51 41%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +7.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 26, 2015 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-48 86%     16 - 4 6 - 2 +19.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 31, 2015 279   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-65 82%     17 - 4 7 - 2 +1.7 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 04, 2015 190   Detroit Mercy W 78-70 84%     18 - 4 8 - 2 +3.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 08, 2015 157   Oakland W 82-76 80%     19 - 4 9 - 2 +3.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 13, 2015 79   Green Bay W 63-59 63%     20 - 4 10 - 2 +7.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Feb 15, 2015 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 62-55 72%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +7.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Feb 21, 2015 253   Wright St. W 55-48 90%     22 - 4 12 - 2 -0.9 -4.0 -4.0
  Feb 25, 2015 190   @ Detroit Mercy L 60-63 69%     22 - 5 12 - 3 -1.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 27, 2015 114   @ Cleveland St. W 56-53 50%     23 - 5 13 - 3 +9.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 07, 2015 114   Cleveland St. W 60-55 71%     24 - 5 +5.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 10, 2015 79   Green Bay W 54-44 63%     25 - 5 +13.0 +1.5 +1.5
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.7 43.5 55.3 0.6
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.7 43.5 55.3 0.6