Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2016-17 - 2017-18 - 2018-19


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Virginia Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Villanova Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Kansas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Xavier At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Duke At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Cincinnati Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Purdue At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Michigan Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Michigan St. At-Large 97.1% 97.1% 97.1%
Texas Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Auburn At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
West Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Clemson At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
Arizona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Wichita St. At-Large 98.5% 98.5% 98.5%
Ohio St. At-Large 96.8% 96.8% 96.8%
Houston At-Large 99.0% 99.0% 99.0%
Florida At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
Arkansas At-Large 98.5% 98.5% 98.5%
Texas A&M At-Large 99.1% 99.1% 99.1%
Nevada At-Large 92.2% 92.2% 92.2%
TCU At-Large 97.4% 97.4% 97.4%
Seton Hall At-Large 94.5% 94.5% 94.5%
Providence At-Large 94.2% 94.2% 94.2%
Miami (FL) At-Large 83.5% 83.5% 83.5%
Butler At-Large 91.7% 91.7% 91.7%
Creighton At-Large 82.8% 82.8% 82.8%
North Carolina St. At-Large 87.0% 87.0% 87.0%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Alabama At-Large 94.4% 94.4% 94.4%
Kansas St. At-Large 80.7% 80.7% 80.7%
Missouri At-Large 81.8% 81.8% 81.8%
Florida St. At-Large 79.4% 79.4% 79.4%
10  UCLA At-Large 77.2% 77.2% 77.2%
10  Virginia Tech At-Large 80.1% 80.1% 80.1%
10  Texas At-Large 76.4% 76.4% 76.4%
10  Oklahoma At-Large 82.9% 82.9% 82.9%
11  Rhode Island At-Large 73.2% 73.2% 73.2%
11  St. Bonaventure At-Large 65.6% 65.6% 65.6%
11  USC At-Large 57.8% 57.8% 57.8%
11  Baylor At-Large 45.5% 45.5% 45.5%
11  Loyola Chicago Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  San Diego St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  New Mexico St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Davidson Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  South Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Buffalo Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Murray St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  UNC Greensboro Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Marshall Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  College of Charleston Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Montana Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Bucknell Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Stephen F. Austin Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Wright St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Penn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Lipscomb Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Georgia St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Iona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Maryland Baltimore Co. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Radford Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Cal St. Fullerton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  NC Central Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  LIU Brooklyn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Texas Southern Auto 100.0% 100.0%



First Teams Out of Tournament

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
St. Mary's 40.7% 40.7% 40.7%
Marquette 40.7% 40.7% 40.7%
Louisville 38.4% 38.4% 38.4%
Oklahoma St. 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%
Syracuse 31.9% 31.9% 31.9%
Middle Tennessee 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Penn St. 23.9% 23.9% 23.9%
Arizona St. 22.9% 22.9% 22.9%
Nebraska 18.7% 18.7% 18.7%
Mississippi St. 18.2% 18.2% 18.2%
Western Kentucky 16.1% 16.1% 16.1%
Notre Dame 15.2% 15.2% 15.2%
LSU 13.6% 13.6% 13.6%
Utah 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%
Boise St. 10.1% 10.1% 10.1%
Georgia 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Oregon 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Temple 5.7% 5.7% 5.7%
Washington 5.6% 5.6% 5.6%
BYU 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Maryland 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Stanford 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Louisiana 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Colorado 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
South Carolina 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Old Dominion 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Vermont 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Belmont 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Boston College 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Northeastern 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Wyoming 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Last At-Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Baylor 45.5% 45.5% 45.5%
USC 57.8% 57.8% 57.8%
St. Bonaventure 65.6% 65.6% 65.6%
Rhode Island 73.2% 73.2% 73.2%
Texas 76.4% 76.4% 76.4%
UCLA 77.2% 77.2% 77.2%
Florida St. 79.4% 79.4% 79.4%
Virginia Tech 80.1% 80.1% 80.1%
Kansas St. 80.7% 80.7% 80.7%
Missouri 81.8% 81.8% 81.8%
Creighton 82.8% 82.8% 82.8%
Oklahoma 82.9% 82.9% 82.9%
Miami (FL) 83.5% 83.5% 83.5%
North Carolina St. 87.0% 87.0% 87.0%
Butler 91.7% 91.7% 91.7%
Nevada 92.2% 92.2% 92.2%
Providence 94.2% 94.2% 94.2%
Alabama 94.4% 94.4% 94.4%
Seton Hall 94.5% 94.5% 94.5%
Ohio St. 96.8% 96.8% 96.8%
Michigan St. 97.1% 97.1% 97.1%
TCU 97.4% 97.4% 97.4%
Arkansas 98.5% 98.5% 98.5%
Wichita St. 98.5% 98.5% 98.5%
Houston 99.0% 99.0% 99.0%