America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
83 Vermont 61.6%   13   20 - 5 11 - 1 23 - 6 14 - 2 +6.1      +3.7 73 +2.4 108 64.8 293 +10.1 56 +10.3 1
169 Stony Brook 17.2%   20 - 5 9 - 2 23 - 7 12 - 4 -0.4      -3.4 270 +3.0 91 70.9 126 +6.3 87 +4.3 2
189 Hartford 8.7%   12 - 13 6 - 5 15 - 15 9 - 7 -1.8      +2.0 119 -3.8 274 68.4 196 -2.5 200 -3.6 4
213 Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.6%   14 - 10 9 - 3 16 - 12 11 - 5 -3.3      -5.5 304 +2.1 117 63.4 316 -1.5 190 +2.2 3
240 Umass Lowell 3.1%   12 - 13 6 - 6 14 - 15 8 - 8 -4.6      +0.6 155 -5.2 311 76.6 34 -4.5 231 -5.8 5
292 Albany 1.3%   7 - 17 3 - 7 10 - 20 6 - 10 -7.4      -5.5 307 -1.9 230 65.6 272 -10.4 311 -11.5 7
316 Maine 0.7%   4 - 21 3 - 8 6 - 24 5 - 11 -9.4      -6.1 315 -3.3 258 62.7 326 -13.3 330 -10.7 6
335 Binghamton 0.1%   5 - 19 3 - 8 6 - 23 4 - 12 -12.4      -7.4 332 -5.0 307 65.4 280 -13.9 332 -12.7 8
346 New Hampshire 0.0%   1 - 22 1 - 11 2 - 25 2 - 14 -15.3      -12.4 353 -2.9 248 64.6 296 -25.3 353 -21.6 9






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.0 97.2 2.7 0.1
Stony Brook 2.1 9.6 74.5 14.4 1.5 0.0
Hartford 3.8 3.7 23.2 61.9 10.5 0.7 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.7 1.7 32.5 60.9 4.9 0.0
Umass Lowell 4.7 0.0 1.3 27.5 66.9 4.1 0.2
Albany 6.3 0.0 1.5 10.2 51.9 28.4 7.8 0.2
Maine 6.5 0.3 9.3 42.8 36.3 11.0 0.2
Binghamton 7.4 0.1 1.3 13.3 28.3 56.5 0.6
New Hampshire 8.9 0.1 0.8 6.6 92.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 14 - 2 0.1 1.3 10.5 37.6 50.5
Stony Brook 12 - 4 0.4 4.9 21.9 40.5 27.3 5.0
Hartford 9 - 7 0.3 3.3 14.4 31.3 35.4 15.4
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 2.2 26.0 44.0 23.3 4.6
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 3.6 23.6 42.9 27.1 2.8
Albany 6 - 10 1.8 12.1 29.0 32.4 18.8 5.3 0.6
Maine 5 - 11 3.1 16.5 32.5 32.1 13.9 1.8
Binghamton 4 - 12 26.6 39.9 24.8 7.6 1.1 0.1
New Hampshire 2 - 14 40.9 42.3 14.6 2.2 0.1




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 97.2% 89.1 7.6 0.4
Stony Brook 9.6% 2.6 6.6 0.4
Hartford
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.7% 0.1 1.2 0.4
Umass Lowell
Albany
Maine
Binghamton
New Hampshire


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 61.6% 61.3% 0.3% 13   0.0 0.1 0.9 9.9 26.9 20.2 3.5 0.1 38.4 0.7%
Stony Brook 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.5 7.9 7.3 0.4 82.8 0.0%
Hartford 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 4.5 3.4 91.3 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.3 92.4 0.0%
Umass Lowell 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.6 96.9 0.0%
Albany 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Maine 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 61.6% 0.3% 61.4% 11.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 17.2% 0.0% 17.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 8.7% 0.7% 8.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.6% 1.1% 7.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 3.1% 1.3% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3
1st Round 97.5% 1.0 2.5 97.4 0.1
2nd Round 12.8% 0.1 87.2 12.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.8% 0.0 97.2 2.8
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0