America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
109 Vermont 51.8%   14   6 - 3 0 - 0 22 - 7 13 - 3 +4.6      +4.3 65 +0.3 160 62.4 336 +9.2 76 0.0 1
165 Stony Brook 19.8%   7 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 9 11 - 5 -0.2      -0.4 178 +0.2 162 69.6 185 +7.6 89 0.0 1
211 Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.8%   5 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 13 9 - 7 -2.9      -4.0 287 +1.1 135 69.4 193 -4.1 221 0.0 1
217 Hartford 9.7%   2 - 7 0 - 0 14 - 16 9 - 7 -3.2      -1.1 204 -2.1 235 69.2 199 -8.4 272 0.0 1
265 Albany 4.3%   2 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 18 8 - 8 -5.8      -3.0 257 -2.8 262 65.7 288 -11.6 305 0.0 1
275 Umass Lowell 3.4%   4 - 7 0 - 0 13 - 16 8 - 8 -6.3      -0.1 172 -6.2 328 76.6 48 -5.6 239 0.0 1
326 Binghamton 0.7%   1 - 7 0 - 0 7 - 22 5 - 11 -10.8      -5.9 322 -4.9 305 67.2 251 -18.1 341 0.0 1
330 Maine 0.6%   1 - 9 0 - 0 6 - 24 5 - 11 -11.4      -8.8 341 -2.6 251 60.4 348 -14.7 326 0.0 1
341 New Hampshire 0.3%   0 - 8 0 - 0 5 - 22 4 - 12 -13.4      -8.8 340 -4.6 301 66.4 268 -21.6 348 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.5 70.7 18.5 6.9 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stony Brook 2.6 23.3 32.5 20.2 12.2 6.5 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.6 9.7 20.1 22.6 19.2 13.6 8.4 4.1 1.7 0.5
Hartford 3.7 9.2 19.1 21.7 19.3 14.2 9.2 4.7 2.0 0.6
Albany 4.8 3.2 9.1 14.3 17.8 19.7 16.9 10.7 5.9 2.4
Umass Lowell 5.0 2.4 7.6 12.9 17.1 19.8 18.5 12.2 6.8 2.7
Binghamton 6.8 0.3 1.3 3.3 6.0 10.6 16.1 22.6 22.7 17.2
Maine 7.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 4.9 9.0 15.0 22.4 25.4 19.9
New Hampshire 7.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 5.2 9.8 17.4 26.5 37.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.9 9.2 15.0 20.1 22.0 17.5 7.6
Stony Brook 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.0 7.2 11.1 15.3 17.4 17.0 13.3 7.8 3.3 0.7
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.8 9.5 13.3 15.9 16.5 14.4 10.3 5.9 2.6 0.7 0.1
Hartford 9 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.4 6.5 10.0 13.6 16.1 15.9 13.7 9.8 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
Albany 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.9 8.7 12.4 15.2 16.2 14.3 11.3 7.2 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.6 9.8 13.8 16.0 16.1 13.8 10.2 6.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 5 - 11 0.7 3.4 8.0 13.2 16.4 16.9 14.9 11.4 7.3 4.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine 5 - 11 1.0 4.3 9.6 14.6 17.5 17.4 14.4 9.9 6.1 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 4 - 12 3.1 9.2 15.7 19.3 17.9 14.2 9.7 5.7 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 70.7% 57.1 11.6 1.7 0.2 0.0
Stony Brook 23.3% 14.1 7.7 1.4 0.2 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.7% 5.0 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
Hartford 9.2% 4.7 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0
Albany 3.2% 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 2.4% 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 51.8% 51.4% 0.3% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.5 11.0 16.2 13.8 5.8 0.7 48.2 0.7%
Stony Brook 19.8% 19.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 6.3 7.3 2.6 80.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 6.9 90.2 0.0%
Hartford 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.8 6.3 90.3 0.0%
Albany 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.0 95.7 0.0%
Umass Lowell 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 96.6 0.0%
Binghamton 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Maine 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 51.8% 0.4% 51.6% 8.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 19.8% 0.7% 19.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.8% 4.0% 8.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 9.7% 3.6% 8.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 4.3% 3.3% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 3.4% 1.9% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
1st Round 92.9% 0.9 7.1 92.8 0.2
2nd Round 10.6% 0.1 89.4 10.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5 0.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0