Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
137 Radford 36.2%   15   15 - 7 10 - 1 18 - 9 13 - 3 +2.3      +3.2 90 -0.9 198 63.3 317 +5.9 96 +9.6 1
173 Winthrop 18.6%   14 - 8 9 - 3 16 - 10 11 - 5 -0.7      +2.3 113 -2.9 250 80.9 14 +1.8 145 +1.6 3
211 Campbell 10.1%   12 - 10 8 - 3 15 - 12 11 - 5 -3.0      +1.2 140 -4.2 286 65.9 266 -1.6 193 +2.0 2
217 Presbyterian 8.2%   12 - 12 7 - 5 14 - 14 9 - 7 -3.4      +2.6 103 -6.0 331 67.2 233 -3.2 206 -2.5 5
220 Charleston Southern 6.1%   7 - 13 5 - 6 10 - 15 8 - 8 -3.5      -0.7 200 -2.8 244 74.1 63 -7.5 276 -6.1 8
222 Gardner-Webb 7.5%   13 - 10 6 - 5 16 - 12 9 - 7 -3.6      +0.6 157 -4.2 282 67.8 209 -1.2 183 -3.0 6
225 High Point 7.3%   11 - 11 6 - 4 14 - 14 9 - 7 -3.8      -4.4 287 +0.6 156 61.0 341 -3.0 205 -1.7 4
230 Hampton 5.2%   7 - 14 5 - 6 10 - 16 8 - 8 -4.3      +0.7 153 -5.0 308 76.8 32 -7.9 282 -5.6 7
299 Longwood 0.7%   10 - 13 3 - 8 12 - 16 5 - 11 -8.0      -5.8 310 -2.2 238 68.5 193 -8.1 284 -11.6 9
336 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   3 - 21 1 - 11 4 - 24 2 - 14 -12.5      -7.4 333 -5.1 310 71.2 117 -18.7 345 -22.2 11
341 UNC Asheville 0.0%   2 - 21 2 - 10 3 - 24 3 - 13 -13.8      -6.3 318 -7.5 341 59.6 350 -18.5 344 -15.4 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Radford 1.1 92.3 5.8 1.7 0.2 0.0
Winthrop 2.4 12.9 51.6 25.2 7.3 2.5 0.6 0.0
Campbell 2.7 10.7 42.8 26.2 11.4 6.5 2.0 0.4 0.0
Presbyterian 4.3 0.2 10.5 19.8 27.3 21.9 12.0 6.2 2.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 6.4 0.0 0.7 2.8 7.6 14.1 21.6 30.6 22.1 0.5
Gardner-Webb 4.7 0.2 8.6 15.0 21.7 21.3 19.3 9.6 4.2 0.2
High Point 4.5 1.3 12.0 16.7 22.6 20.5 14.2 8.3 4.3 0.2
Hampton 6.6 0.0 0.5 2.1 6.3 13.3 20.2 27.4 27.6 2.6 0.0
Longwood 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.0 9.6 82.9 3.2 0.2
South Carolina Upstate 10.6 0.0 5.0 31.6 63.4
UNC Asheville 10.0 0.0 0.2 10.5 78.5 10.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Radford 13 - 3 0.6 4.8 17.0 31.7 32.0 13.9
Winthrop 11 - 5 5.9 24.4 37.3 26.1 6.4
Campbell 11 - 5 2.1 11.4 27.1 32.9 21.0 5.5
Presbyterian 9 - 7 2.9 16.3 34.2 34.0 12.5
Charleston Southern 8 - 8 0.6 6.9 29.5 37.6 21.0 4.5
Gardner-Webb 9 - 7 1.2 7.8 22.5 34.1 26.3 8.2
High Point 9 - 7 1.0 6.7 19.5 30.1 26.8 13.0 2.8
Hampton 8 - 8 2.1 11.8 28.9 34.2 19.4 3.6
Longwood 5 - 11 6.7 28.4 36.1 21.5 6.5 0.8
South Carolina Upstate 2 - 14 35.1 40.8 19.4 4.3 0.4
UNC Asheville 3 - 13 39.2 40.3 16.9 3.4 0.2




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Radford 92.3% 78.8 11.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 12.9% 3.7 6.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Campbell 10.7% 2.7 5.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0
Gardner-Webb 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
High Point 1.3% 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Hampton 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Longwood
South Carolina Upstate
UNC Asheville


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Radford 36.2% 36.2% 0.0% 15   0.1 1.8 8.7 17.2 8.1 0.3 63.8 0.0%
Winthrop 18.6% 18.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.9 12.0 3.4 81.4 0.0%
Campbell 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 3.9 5.8 89.9 0.0%
Presbyterian 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.7 5.4 91.8 0.0%
Charleston Southern 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 5.2 93.9 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.1 92.5 0.0%
High Point 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.0 92.7 0.0%
Hampton 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 4.8 94.8 0.0%
Longwood 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Radford 36.2% 0.0% 36.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 18.6% 0.2% 18.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 10.1% 1.3% 9.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 8.2% 1.7% 7.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 6.1% 3.2% 4.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.5% 1.0% 7.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 7.3% 1.6% 6.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 5.2% 3.6% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.3% 0.9 5.7 94.3
2nd Round 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0