Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
132 Radford 38.5%   15   4 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 10 12 - 4 +2.6      +1.7 127 +1.0 139 63.5 326 +5.5 111 0.0 1
180 Winthrop 16.3%   2 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 6 -1.3      +0.3 161 -1.6 222 83.6 10 -3.6 212 0.0 1
191 Gardner-Webb 14.9%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 12 10 - 6 -1.7      +1.0 146 -2.7 257 64.7 309 -6.2 250 0.0 1
232 Charleston Southern 7.6%   2 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 14 9 - 7 -4.3      -3.2 260 -1.1 203 74.5 86 -10.5 294 0.0 1
239 Hampton 6.0%   1 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 16 8 - 8 -4.9      -3.5 268 -1.4 215 77.0 43 -14.3 323 0.0 1
241 Campbell 6.4%   3 - 4 0 - 0 12 - 14 8 - 8 -5.0      +0.6 153 -5.6 319 68.0 232 -3.8 219 0.0 1
245 High Point 5.7%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 8 -5.1      -3.7 276 -1.4 212 60.3 349 -2.4 193 0.0 1
299 Longwood 2.2%   5 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 15 7 - 9 -7.7      -8.5 336 +0.8 149 66.8 257 -4.4 227 0.0 1
305 Presbyterian 2.0%   2 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -8.2      -0.9 197 -7.3 345 70.4 166 -10.5 293 0.0 1
331 South Carolina Upstate 0.5%   1 - 8 0 - 0 7 - 21 5 - 11 -11.5      -6.5 325 -5.1 308 71.3 142 -16.2 335 0.0 1
344 UNC Asheville 0.1%   0 - 8 0 - 0 4 - 23 3 - 13 -14.2      -9.1 343 -5.1 310 63.8 324 -21.7 350 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Radford 2.0 54.8 20.1 10.5 6.0 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 3.6 20.6 20.3 16.5 12.9 10.0 7.4 5.2 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3
Gardner-Webb 3.5 18.7 22.7 17.5 13.2 9.9 7.0 4.9 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2
Charleston Southern 4.9 8.8 12.1 13.2 13.4 12.9 11.7 9.8 7.7 5.5 3.4 1.5
Hampton 5.4 5.9 9.3 11.9 12.7 12.9 12.5 11.3 9.7 7.6 4.7 1.6
Campbell 5.2 7.4 10.9 12.6 12.9 12.5 11.6 10.4 8.7 6.9 4.5 1.7
High Point 5.4 5.4 9.1 11.7 13.0 13.3 13.1 11.8 9.8 7.2 4.2 1.6
Longwood 7.0 1.6 3.4 5.5 7.4 9.6 11.5 13.4 14.9 15.0 12.1 5.5
Presbyterian 6.8 1.7 4.2 6.3 8.3 10.1 11.9 13.3 14.1 13.5 10.8 5.9
South Carolina Upstate 8.4 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.3 5.1 7.4 10.0 13.6 17.5 22.3 17.4
UNC Asheville 9.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.8 4.6 7.9 13.3 23.7 44.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Radford 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.1 5.8 9.3 13.4 16.9 18.2 16.1 10.7 3.8
Winthrop 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.1 6.8 10.2 13.4 15.6 15.3 13.5 9.4 5.5 2.3 0.5
Gardner-Webb 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.4 10.0 13.8 16.1 16.4 13.9 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.3
Charleston Southern 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.6 9.0 12.3 14.7 15.0 13.6 10.9 7.3 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
Hampton 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.3 7.5 10.9 13.7 15.4 14.8 12.4 8.8 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0
Campbell 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.0 6.8 9.9 12.8 14.5 14.4 12.8 9.8 6.5 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
High Point 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.0 7.3 11.1 14.4 15.8 15.2 12.4 8.7 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Longwood 7 - 9 0.1 0.8 2.8 6.4 10.4 14.0 15.9 15.6 12.9 9.4 6.1 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.7 9.4 13.2 15.2 15.2 13.5 10.4 6.9 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 0.9 3.6 8.2 13.2 16.5 16.7 14.6 11.1 7.3 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 3 - 13 4.6 12.1 18.2 19.4 17.2 12.4 7.9 4.6 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Radford 54.8% 41.0 11.0 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 20.6% 12.5 6.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 18.7% 10.6 6.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 8.8% 4.7 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Hampton 5.9% 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Campbell 7.4% 3.7 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
High Point 5.4% 2.6 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 1.6% 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 1.7% 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Radford 38.5% 38.4% 0.1% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.8 10.3 12.3 8.1 1.8 61.5 0.2%
Winthrop 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.3 7.0 83.7 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.1 10.0 85.1 0.0%
Charleston Southern 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.8 92.4 0.0%
Hampton 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.4 94.0 0.0%
Campbell 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.4 93.6 0.0%
High Point 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 94.3 0.0%
Longwood 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 97.8 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.6 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Radford 38.5% 0.5% 38.2% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 16.3% 3.2% 14.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 14.9% 5.7% 12.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 7.6% 3.9% 5.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 6.0% 4.3% 4.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 6.4% 2.7% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 5.7% 2.7% 4.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.0% 1.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 88.1% 0.9 11.9 88.0 0.1
2nd Round 6.3% 0.1 93.7 6.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0