Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
88 Yale 44.8%   13   16 - 4 7 - 1 20 - 6 11 - 3 +5.8      +2.8 95 +3.0 93 75.6 48 +11.7 43 +13.4 1
119 Harvard 23.8%   11 - 8 5 - 2 15 - 11 9 - 5 +3.5      -0.3 188 +3.8 73 67.3 230 +3.7 124 +4.2 3
126 Penn 14.3%   14 - 8 3 - 4 18 - 11 7 - 7 +3.1      +1.4 133 +1.7 124 70.5 137 +5.8 99 -1.4 5
155 Brown 3.9%   12 - 9 2 - 5 16 - 12 6 - 8 +0.6      -2.7 255 +3.3 84 75.4 50 +1.0 157 -4.1 6
160 Princeton 11.1%   10 - 8 4 - 3 14 - 11 8 - 6 +0.1      -3.0 263 +3.1 89 67.5 223 +3.0 132 +4.4 2
209 Dartmouth 0.7%   9 - 12 2 - 5 11 - 17 4 - 10 -2.8      +1.1 143 -3.8 272 66.2 251 -4.9 237 -6.8 7
210 Cornell 3.3%   11 - 11 5 - 3 13 - 15 7 - 7 -3.0      -1.5 219 -1.6 217 69.4 166 -0.4 174 +2.9 4
241 Columbia 0.0%   4 - 15 1 - 6 6 - 20 3 - 11 -4.7      -2.8 257 -1.8 227 69.5 163 -11.1 317 -12.1 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.1 92.6 6.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
Harvard 2.5 14.3 51.0 18.0 10.3 4.7 1.7 0.1
Penn 3.6 1.9 21.7 26.3 25.2 14.8 8.1 1.8 0.2
Brown 5.0 0.1 4.7 11.6 17.4 23.6 28.3 11.6 2.7
Princeton 3.2 4.8 28.9 33.0 17.5 9.6 4.7 1.4 0.1
Dartmouth 6.5 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.0 9.6 19.5 48.5 14.5
Cornell 4.3 0.7 9.5 18.8 24.6 27.8 16.1 2.5 0.0
Columbia 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 7.3 26.3 63.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.6 4.1 14.5 30.8 34.4 15.6
Harvard 9 - 5 0.6 3.8 12.0 23.0 27.2 21.5 9.9 2.1
Penn 7 - 7 0.1 1.2 6.0 15.9 27.2 28.0 16.9 4.7
Brown 6 - 8 0.4 2.5 9.9 21.1 28.2 24.3 11.2 2.4
Princeton 8 - 6 0.4 3.1 10.9 21.8 28.5 22.7 10.6 2.0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 6.2 18.6 28.0 25.6 14.8 5.4 1.2 0.1
Cornell 7 - 7 10.6 30.2 32.4 19.1 6.5 1.2 0.1
Columbia 3 - 11 10.4 27.0 30.6 20.5 8.8 2.3 0.4 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 92.6% 80.5 10.6 1.3 0.2 0.0
Harvard 14.3% 5.4 7.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
Penn 1.9% 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Brown 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Princeton 4.8% 1.1 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cornell 0.7% 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 44.8% 42.8% 2.0% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1 7.0 18.1 15.6 2.7 0.1 55.2 3.4%
Harvard 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 7.2 11.4 3.2 0.1 76.2 0.0%
Penn 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.9 6.9 3.6 0.2 85.7 0.0%
Brown 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 1.3 0.0 96.1 0.0%
Princeton 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.8 4.6 0.4 88.9 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 99.3 0.0%
Cornell 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.8 96.7 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Yale 44.8% 1.9% 43.7% 8.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 23.8% 0.0% 23.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 14.3% 0.0% 14.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 3.9% 0.0% 3.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 11.1% 0.0% 11.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 3.3% 0.1% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.0 2.0
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.1 0.9
2nd Round 14.0% 0.1 86.0 14.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0