Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
192 Rider 22.3%   16   13 - 13 8 - 6 16 - 14 11 - 7 -1.9      -1.4 218 -0.5 186 80.9 13 -3.8 216 -3.9 5
214 Quinnipiac 15.7%   13 - 11 8 - 5 16 - 13 11 - 7 -3.4      -0.1 183 -3.2 257 66.0 261 -3.6 213 -2.5 4
215 Iona 13.9%   10 - 15 8 - 6 12 - 17 10 - 8 -3.4      +0.6 156 -4.0 276 77.0 30 -6.3 261 -4.1 6
239 Canisius 12.9%   12 - 13 9 - 4 15 - 15 12 - 6 -4.5      -1.6 224 -2.9 251 70.3 142 -2.2 197 +0.7 1
244 Marist 7.2%   11 - 14 6 - 7 14 - 16 9 - 9 -4.9      -1.4 217 -3.5 266 63.1 321 -5.8 251 -6.8 7
247 Siena 11.0%   13 - 13 8 - 5 16 - 15 11 - 7 -5.0      -3.3 267 -1.7 221 55.8 352 -3.2 209 -2.5 3
260 Monmouth 9.1%   10 - 17 9 - 5 12 - 19 11 - 7 -5.8      -6.8 327 +1.0 140 68.8 184 -4.4 226 -0.9 2
286 Fairfield 2.9%   7 - 19 4 - 10 9 - 21 6 - 12 -7.0      -5.2 298 -1.8 223 70.8 130 -11.4 319 -11.5 10
298 Niagara 2.0%   11 - 15 4 - 9 13 - 18 6 - 12 -7.8      -1.0 209 -6.9 337 73.4 74 -8.0 283 -11.1 9
307 St. Peter's 1.5%   6 - 18 3 - 9 8 - 22 5 - 13 -8.7      -7.6 334 -1.1 202 61.3 339 -12.4 325 -12.7 11
311 Manhattan 1.5%   8 - 17 6 - 7 10 - 20 8 - 10 -8.9      -9.6 343 +0.7 150 60.7 344 -9.3 297 -6.9 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Rider 3.4 11.4 22.1 22.3 18.4 13.8 8.9 2.8 0.3 0.0
Quinnipiac 3.0 24.0 24.5 16.3 13.3 11.3 8.0 2.1 0.4 0.0
Iona 4.4 6.0 11.7 14.3 16.8 19.6 22.8 7.2 1.6 0.0
Canisius 1.8 60.4 18.8 9.9 5.9 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
Marist 6.4 0.5 2.1 3.7 6.8 9.7 17.7 39.2 15.3 4.1 0.8 0.0
Siena 3.2 22.2 20.2 17.3 15.5 13.7 7.6 3.1 0.4
Monmouth 2.5 32.9 24.0 17.3 12.9 8.4 3.4 1.0 0.1
Fairfield 9.2 0.0 0.5 8.1 18.5 30.1 27.1 15.7
Niagara 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.2 15.7 31.0 28.6 18.5
St. Peter's 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.2 9.8 21.6 27.2 36.4
Manhattan 7.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.8 10.4 26.0 40.3 13.3 2.5 0.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Rider 11 - 7 1.6 11.7 30.9 37.9 17.9
Quinnipiac 11 - 7 1.4 9.3 24.0 34.0 24.1 7.1
Iona 10 - 8 6.8 25.2 37.7 24.5 5.8
Canisius 12 - 6 1.2 9.0 25.0 35.0 23.2 6.6
Marist 9 - 9 3.2 15.9 30.7 30.2 16.2 3.8
Siena 11 - 7 2.2 11.7 26.9 32.7 20.9 5.6
Monmouth 11 - 7 5.2 21.0 35.6 28.4 9.8
Fairfield 6 - 12 5.7 22.6 37.0 26.6 8.0
Niagara 6 - 12 8.3 25.9 34.4 22.7 7.9 0.9
St. Peter's 5 - 13 5.2 17.9 30.0 27.4 14.4 4.5 0.7
Manhattan 8 - 10 13.8 32.0 32.5 16.6 4.6 0.6




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Rider 11.4% 1.0 3.7 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
Quinnipiac 24.0% 7.6 8.8 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Iona 6.0% 0.7 2.0 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Canisius 60.4% 33.1 16.2 7.7 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
Marist 0.5% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Siena 22.2% 7.1 7.5 4.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
Monmouth 32.9% 11.9 11.2 6.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
Fairfield
Niagara
St. Peter's
Manhattan 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Rider 22.3% 22.3% 0.0% 16   0.2 5.2 17.0 77.7 0.0%
Quinnipiac 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.1 2.7 12.9 84.3 0.0%
Iona 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 13.0 86.1 0.0%
Canisius 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 0.1 2.1 10.7 87.1 0.0%
Marist 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 0.5 6.8 92.8 0.0%
Siena 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 9.6 89.0 0.0%
Monmouth 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 8.7 90.9 0.0%
Fairfield 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 2.9 97.1 0.0%
Niagara 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Manhattan 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Rider 22.3% 6.9% 19.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 15.7% 6.2% 13.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 13.9% 9.2% 10.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 12.9% 5.2% 10.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 7.2% 4.6% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 11.0% 5.5% 8.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 9.1% 7.3% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 2.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.1% 0.8 22.9 77.1
2nd Round 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0