Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
229 Texas Southern 36.1%   16   10 - 11 7 - 3 16 - 13 13 - 5 -4.3      -0.8 202 -3.5 267 81.7 12 -3.3 210 -5.9 2
276 Grambling St. 20.6%   10 - 11 7 - 4 15 - 13 12 - 6 -6.5      -7.8 336 +1.3 132 72.9 83 -6.7 267 -8.1 3
283 Prairie View 22.7%   10 - 12 9 - 1 16 - 14 15 - 3 -6.8      -4.0 283 -2.9 249 75.1 53 -4.2 221 +4.2 1
319 Alabama St. 8.3%   7 - 13 7 - 4 11 - 16 11 - 7 -10.1      -6.0 314 -4.1 279 67.7 213 -10.4 312 -8.4 4
331 Jackson St. 4.9%   7 - 15 6 - 5 11 - 18 10 - 8 -11.6      -10.7 347 -0.9 197 65.8 267 -11.6 321 -9.9 5
332 Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.4%   8 - 15 6 - 5 11 - 19 9 - 9 -11.8      -6.4 322 -5.4 313 67.9 207 -9.2 296 -10.0 6
340 Southern 1.5%   3 - 20 3 - 8 6 - 24 6 - 12 -13.5      -6.4 320 -7.1 339 68.4 198 -19.8 346 -18.1 9
347 Alabama A&M 0.8%   5 - 20 4 - 7 7 - 25 6 - 12 -15.3      -11.2 350 -4.1 280 66.2 253 -17.2 340 -17.1 8
349 Alcorn St. 0.7%   4 - 15 4 - 7 6 - 20 6 - 12 -16.3      -10.6 346 -5.8 326 64.1 306 -16.7 339 -15.4 7
350 Mississippi Valley 0.1%   2 - 22 1 - 10 4 - 27 3 - 15 -18.8      -11.1 349 -7.7 343 71.1 119 -23.4 352 -25.9 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 2.0 27.3 53.0 14.7 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0
Grambling St. 2.9 8.6 25.5 41.1 15.9 6.6 2.1 0.1
Prairie View 1.2 84.5 12.5 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Alabama St. 3.9 2.4 9.6 23.7 34.5 20.5 8.4 0.8 0.1
Jackson St. 4.8 0.4 3.5 12.5 24.4 27.0 27.9 3.7 0.5 0.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.8 0.4 2.4 10.4 23.2 32.4 26.5 4.0 0.7 0.1
Southern 7.6 0.0 0.3 2.1 8.6 37.0 30.3 19.5 2.2
Alabama A&M 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 7.0 30.3 30.7 28.5 1.4
Alcorn St. 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 8.9 36.2 30.8 20.1 1.2
Mississippi Valley 9.8 0.0 0.0 1.1 4.1 11.9 82.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 13 - 5 0.0 0.3 2.0 7.8 19.6 30.6 28.0 11.6
Grambling St. 12 - 6 0.1 0.7 4.0 12.7 24.0 29.3 21.9 7.4
Prairie View 15 - 3 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.0 14.5 25.9 29.5 18.6 5.3
Alabama St. 11 - 7 0.9 5.7 16.4 26.2 26.1 16.9 6.7 1.2
Jackson St. 10 - 8 1.0 5.9 16.4 25.8 26.1 17.1 6.6 1.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 - 9 0.8 5.2 16.5 28.5 27.9 15.9 4.7 0.5
Southern 6 - 12 1.6 8.7 22.2 30.5 23.7 10.8 2.4 0.2
Alabama A&M 6 - 12 12.9 27.5 30.0 19.3 7.7 2.3 0.3 0.0
Alcorn St. 6 - 12 7.7 23.6 31.3 23.2 10.9 2.9 0.4 0.0
Mississippi Valley 3 - 15 9.8 27.1 32.1 20.9 8.1 1.8 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern 27.3% 11.2 13.4 2.4 0.2 0.0
Grambling St. 8.6% 2.2 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0
Prairie View 84.5% 65.6 16.2 2.5 0.2 0.0
Alabama St. 2.4% 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
Jackson St. 0.4% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Southern
Alabama A&M
Alcorn St.
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 36.1% 36.1% 0.0% 16   0.6 5.3 30.2 63.9 0.0%
Grambling St. 20.6% 20.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 20.1 79.4 0.0%
Prairie View 22.7% 22.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 21.8 77.3 0.0%
Alabama St. 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0 8.3 91.7 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 4.9 95.1 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 4.4 95.6 0.0%
Southern 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Texas Southern 36.1% 20.1% 26.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 20.6% 17.9% 11.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 22.7% 18.8% 12.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 8.3% 8.2% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 59.0% 0.6 41.0 59.0
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0