Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
83 South Dakota St. 56.7%   15   8 - 3 0 - 0 23 - 7 13 - 3 +6.4      +6.7 29 -0.3 173 73.6 103 +2.4 144 0.0 1
171 South Dakota 13.6%   3 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 13 10 - 6 -0.7      -3.3 264 +2.6 91 68.3 223 -7.4 261 0.0 1
199 Purdue Fort Wayne 8.5%   4 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 14 9 - 7 -2.3      +0.5 157 -2.8 263 79.2 28 -3.6 211 0.0 1
206 North Dakota St. 7.7%   3 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 7 -2.6      +1.3 137 -3.9 287 66.2 267 -5.9 245 0.0 1
232 Nebraska Omaha 4.7%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 17 8 - 8 -4.3      -0.6 187 -3.7 283 72.6 117 -8.0 269 0.0 1
251 Denver 3.6%   3 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 18 7 - 9 -5.2      -1.2 209 -4.0 288 66.5 263 -7.9 268 0.0 1
268 Western Illinois 2.9%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 17 7 - 9 -6.0      -4.5 294 -1.5 214 68.7 214 -13.6 320 0.0 1
292 North Dakota 1.9%   2 - 5 0 - 0 8 - 17 6 - 10 -7.3      -5.9 319 -1.4 213 76.1 58 -9.7 286 0.0 1
319 Oral Roberts 0.6%   1 - 9 0 - 0 6 - 23 4 - 12 -9.8      -3.4 265 -6.4 334 69.4 195 -14.9 327 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 1.3 79.4 13.8 4.2 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Dakota 3.3 13.9 29.1 19.7 13.8 9.4 6.5 4.2 2.3 0.9
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0 7.4 20.0 19.7 16.6 12.9 10.1 7.0 4.2 2.0
North Dakota St. 4.1 6.5 18.7 19.0 16.7 13.6 10.7 7.7 4.8 2.2
Nebraska Omaha 4.9 3.3 11.6 14.6 15.5 15.2 13.9 12.0 8.8 5.1
Denver 5.3 2.2 8.7 12.2 14.3 15.3 15.2 13.9 11.2 6.9
Western Illinois 5.7 1.6 6.7 9.8 12.4 14.1 15.4 15.7 14.4 10.2
North Dakota 6.3 1.0 4.3 6.8 9.6 11.8 14.3 16.8 18.8 16.6
Oral Roberts 7.4 0.2 1.2 2.5 4.4 7.0 10.6 15.5 23.0 35.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 4.3 8.5 14.2 20.2 22.8 18.5 8.3
South Dakota 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.4 8.3 11.8 14.7 15.9 14.8 11.6 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.2
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.3 8.8 12.2 14.8 15.8 14.5 11.3 7.3 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
North Dakota St. 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.8 9.3 13.0 15.2 15.7 14.0 10.5 6.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.1 5.9 9.7 13.1 15.3 15.3 13.5 10.3 6.7 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Denver 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.2 7.8 11.7 14.6 15.8 14.8 11.9 8.2 4.9 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Western Illinois 7 - 9 0.2 1.0 3.0 6.1 10.0 13.6 15.5 15.0 13.2 9.9 6.4 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
North Dakota 6 - 10 0.5 2.2 5.4 9.4 13.1 15.5 15.3 13.4 10.4 7.1 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 1.6 5.8 11.6 16.1 17.9 16.1 12.9 8.5 5.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 79.4% 67.8 10.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Dakota 13.9% 7.9 5.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.4% 3.8 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
North Dakota St. 6.5% 3.3 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 3.3% 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Denver 2.2% 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 1.6% 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
North Dakota 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 56.7% 56.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 4.0 13.1 20.8 15.0 3.1 43.3 0.1%
South Dakota 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.0 8.6 86.4 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 5.1 91.5 0.0%
North Dakota St. 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.2 92.3 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 95.3 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.1 96.4 0.0%
Western Illinois 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.7 97.1 0.0%
North Dakota 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 98.1 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
South Dakota St. 56.7% 0.7% 56.5% 10.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 13.6% 5.0% 11.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 8.5% 2.8% 7.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 7.7% 3.0% 6.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.7% 2.4% 3.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 2.4% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 2.9% 2.4% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 91.4% 0.9 8.6 91.4 0.0
2nd Round 11.3% 0.1 88.7 11.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.4% 0.0 96.7 3.4
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0