Air Force
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#239
Achievement Rating-4.0#222
Pace65.5#279
Improvement+0.5#164

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#266
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#287
Layup/Dunks-1.7#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#254
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#217
First Shot-2.1#233
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#118
Layups/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#306
Freethrows+2.1#49
Improvement+0.7#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 12.0% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 124   @ Texas St. L 57-67 16%     0 - 1 -4.0 -6.5 +1.7
  Nov 16, 2018 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-77 45%     0 - 2 -8.3 -10.5 +3.0
  Nov 18, 2018 231   South Dakota W 65-62 49%     1 - 2 -1.4 -7.0 +5.6
  Nov 19, 2018 225   High Point L 62-69 47%     1 - 3 -10.9 -2.3 -9.5
  Nov 24, 2018 66   Colorado L 56-93 20%     1 - 4 -32.6 -17.0 -13.4
  Nov 28, 2018 148   Missouri St. W 88-69 38%     2 - 4 +17.5 +17.3 +0.8
  Dec 01, 2018 187   @ Pacific L 69-82 29%     2 - 5 -11.8 +4.6 -17.8
  Dec 05, 2018 297   Denver W 73-65 72%     3 - 5 -2.5 -4.9 +2.6
  Dec 08, 2018 246   Army L 61-66 62%     3 - 6 -12.8 -15.0 +2.3
  Dec 22, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 50-71 2%     3 - 7 -0.8 -4.8 +1.9
  Dec 28, 2018 311   UC Riverside W 72-60 75%     4 - 7 +0.5 -1.0 +2.7
  Jan 02, 2019 155   New Mexico L 58-65 41%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -9.2 -15.4 +6.1
  Jan 05, 2019 49   @ Utah St. L 62-79 7%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -4.9 +1.4 -8.1
  Jan 08, 2019 178   @ Colorado St. L 64-87 27%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -21.4 -5.7 -17.5
  Jan 12, 2019 115   San Diego St. W 62-48 29%     5 - 10 1 - 3 +15.2 -3.1 +20.0
  Jan 16, 2019 151   UNLV W 106-88 40%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +15.9 +28.4 -12.7
  Jan 19, 2019 13   @ Nevada L 52-67 3%     6 - 11 2 - 4 +3.9 -13.7 +18.0
  Jan 22, 2019 125   Boise St. W 74-60 31%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +14.5 +4.7 +10.5
  Jan 26, 2019 338   @ San Jose St. W 73-71 71%     8 - 11 4 - 4 -8.4 -16.0 +7.3
  Jan 30, 2019 115   @ San Diego St. L 51-66 15%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -8.3 -15.8 +6.6
  Feb 02, 2019 178   Colorado St. L 53-85 47%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -35.9 -21.0 -17.0
  Feb 06, 2019 298   Wyoming W 81-76 72%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -5.6 +3.8 -9.4
  Feb 12, 2019 151   @ UNLV L 72-77 22%     9 - 14 5 - 7 -1.5 +3.2 -5.0
  Feb 16, 2019 49   Utah St. L 62-76 15%     9 - 15 5 - 8 -7.4 -5.6 -2.4
  Feb 20, 2019 59   @ Fresno St. L 61-76 7%    
  Feb 23, 2019 338   San Jose St. W 72-61 86%    
  Mar 02, 2019 298   @ Wyoming W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 05, 2019 13   Nevada L 62-80 5%    
  Mar 09, 2019 125   @ Boise St. L 62-73 16%    
Projected Record 10.6 - 18.4 6.6 - 11.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 0.8 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.6 10.2 6.8 0.1 17.7 7th
8th 0.4 14.9 26.5 1.4 43.2 8th
9th 4.8 22.6 5.9 0.0 33.3 9th
10th 0.6 0.2 0.8 10th
11th 11th
Total 5.9 38.2 42.8 11.8 1.3 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 1.3
8-10 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 11.8
7-11 42.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 42.8
6-12 38.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 38.2
5-13 5.9% 5.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%