Air Force
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#230
Achievement Rating-4.5#230
Pace64.9#302
Improvement+0.8#104

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#236
First Shot+2.0#121
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#346
Layup/Dunks+1.8#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#213
Freethrows+1.0#118
Improvement+1.5#62

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#240
First Shot-3.8#290
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#78
Layups/Dunks-0.5#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#293
Freethrows-0.7#215
Improvement-0.6#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 4.1% 5.5% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.8% 11.2% 6.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 14.6% 20.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 142   @ Texas St. L 57-67 20%     0 - 1 -5.3 -6.6 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2018 192   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-77 41%     0 - 2 -6.9 -10.9 +4.9
  Nov 18, 2018 170   South Dakota W 65-62 36%     1 - 2 +2.5 -3.1 +5.7
  Nov 19, 2018 246   High Point L 62-69 53%     1 - 3 -12.0 -4.2 -8.7
  Nov 24, 2018 59   Colorado L 56-93 18%     1 - 4 -31.4 -17.0 -12.3
  Nov 28, 2018 194   Missouri St. W 88-69 53%     2 - 4 +14.0 +14.6 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2018 163   @ Pacific L 69-82 24%     2 - 5 -10.0 +3.8 -15.2
  Dec 05, 2018 261   Denver W 73-65 67%     3 - 5 -0.8 -2.6 +2.1
  Dec 08, 2018 276   Army W 73-68 69%    
  Dec 22, 2018 3   @ Michigan L 51-77 1%    
  Dec 28, 2018 293   UC Riverside W 68-62 72%    
  Jan 02, 2019 146   New Mexico L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 05, 2019 51   @ Utah St. L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 08, 2019 213   @ Colorado St. L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 12, 2019 70   San Diego St. L 67-75 22%    
  Jan 16, 2019 136   UNLV L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 19, 2019 6   @ Nevada L 62-87 1%    
  Jan 22, 2019 127   Boise St. L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 26, 2019 323   @ San Jose St. W 68-64 62%    
  Jan 30, 2019 70   @ San Diego St. L 64-78 10%    
  Feb 02, 2019 213   Colorado St. W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 06, 2019 210   Wyoming W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 12, 2019 136   @ UNLV L 66-75 20%    
  Feb 16, 2019 51   Utah St. L 66-77 17%    
  Feb 20, 2019 61   @ Fresno St. L 62-77 9%    
  Feb 23, 2019 323   San Jose St. W 71-61 80%    
  Mar 02, 2019 210   @ Wyoming L 70-74 35%    
  Mar 05, 2019 6   Nevada L 65-84 4%    
  Mar 09, 2019 127   @ Boise St. L 64-74 19%    
Projected Record 9.9 - 19.1 5.5 - 12.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 8.3 4.9 0.8 0.0 18.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 6.2 9.3 4.9 0.8 0.0 22.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.6 7.5 7.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 21.9 10th
11th 0.4 2.1 3.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.2 11th
Total 0.4 2.3 6.1 11.3 15.4 17.3 16.2 12.8 8.6 5.2 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 30.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 14.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 2.4% 2.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 3.2% 3.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 2.7
9-9 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
8-10 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-11 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-12 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 16.2
5-13 17.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.3
4-14 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.4
3-15 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.3
2-16 6.1% 6.1
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%