Akron
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#131
Achievement Rating-0.9#183
Pace66.6#262
Improvement-1.7#297

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#173
First Shot+0.6#167
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#202
Layup/Dunks-3.3#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#123
Freethrows+1.5#101
Improvement-2.9#344

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#88
First Shot+3.8#60
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#244
Layups/Dunks+0.8#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#101
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement+1.2#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 73.6% 81.9% 60.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.1% 71.3% 60.4%
Conference Champion 4.0% 4.9% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.5% 4.8%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round5.3% 6.2% 3.8%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 331   Youngstown St. W 98-69 91%     1 - 0 +17.2 +18.8 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2018 349   Chicago St. W 87-46 97%     2 - 0 +21.4 -2.3 +20.7
  Nov 19, 2018 50   Clemson L 69-72 25%     2 - 1 +6.6 +1.8 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2018 150   Illinois St. L 68-73 58%     2 - 2 -4.3 -3.0 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2018 153   St. Bonaventure W 61-49 58%     3 - 2 +12.5 +2.6 +12.3
  Nov 28, 2018 321   Alabama St. W 86-54 92%     4 - 2 +18.7 +9.4 +10.4
  Dec 01, 2018 303   Detroit Mercy W 71-59 89%     5 - 2 +1.2 -6.9 +8.6
  Dec 05, 2018 199   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-68 58%     5 - 3 -2.3 -11.3 +9.1
  Dec 15, 2018 130   Marshall W 77-74 61%    
  Dec 18, 2018 278   Tennessee St. W 74-62 87%    
  Dec 22, 2018 10   @ Nevada L 64-82 5%    
  Jan 05, 2019 223   Western Michigan W 73-64 80%    
  Jan 08, 2019 173   @ Central Michigan W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 12, 2019 162   @ Northern Illinois L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 15, 2019 183   Eastern Michigan W 69-62 74%    
  Jan 19, 2019 151   @ Miami (OH) L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 22, 2019 173   Central Michigan W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 26, 2019 162   Northern Illinois W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 02, 2019 152   @ Ohio L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 05, 2019 76   @ Toledo L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 09, 2019 143   Kent St. W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 12, 2019 23   Buffalo L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 16, 2019 103   @ Ball St. L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 19, 2019 202   @ Bowling Green W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 23, 2019 151   Miami (OH) W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 26, 2019 23   @ Buffalo L 68-81 12%    
  Mar 02, 2019 152   Ohio W 73-68 67%    
  Mar 05, 2019 202   Bowling Green W 74-66 77%    
  Mar 08, 2019 143   @ Kent St. L 70-72 44%    
Projected Record 16.2 - 12.8 9.7 - 8.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.9 2.7 0.8 0.1 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.8 5.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.4 5.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.9 5.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 4.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.4 0.2 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.5 6.0 8.9 11.7 13.7 14.5 13.3 10.6 7.4 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 85.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 59.2% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.5% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 65.0% 30.0% 35.0% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
17-1 0.2% 55.7% 24.5% 31.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 41.3%
16-2 0.7% 40.5% 25.0% 15.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 20.7%
15-3 2.1% 26.5% 19.6% 6.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 8.6%
14-4 4.4% 17.0% 14.8% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 2.6%
13-5 7.4% 12.5% 11.8% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.5 0.8%
12-6 10.6% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.1%
11-7 13.3% 5.8% 5.8% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.5
10-8 14.5% 3.7% 3.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 14.0
9-9 13.7% 2.1% 2.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.4
8-10 11.7% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.5
7-11 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.9
5-13 3.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.5
4-14 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.0% 0.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 94.5 0.5%