Akron
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#126
Achievement Rating+0.6#157
Pace65.6#277
Improvement-1.9#271

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#269
First Shot-2.3#251
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#240
Layup/Dunks-1.9#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#145
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement-5.5#338

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#29
First Shot+6.3#22
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks-1.0#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#70
Freethrows+2.2#47
Improvement+3.5#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.8% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.0
.500 or above 67.1% 89.0% 56.4%
.500 or above in Conference 63.5% 87.5% 51.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.6% 4.8% 3.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 283   Youngstown St. W 98-69 83%     1 - 0 +22.2 +20.9 +1.7
  Nov 16, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 87-46 98%     2 - 0 +18.3 -3.0 +18.3
  Nov 19, 2018 30   Clemson L 69-72 19%     2 - 1 +9.4 +5.8 +3.5
  Nov 20, 2018 165   Illinois St. L 68-73 63%     2 - 2 -5.2 -2.7 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2018 133   St. Bonaventure W 61-49 54%     3 - 2 +14.3 +4.2 +12.5
  Nov 28, 2018 320   Alabama St. W 86-54 92%     4 - 2 +19.2 +10.5 +9.8
  Dec 01, 2018 260   Detroit Mercy W 71-59 86%     5 - 2 +3.6 -5.0 +9.1
  Dec 05, 2018 181   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-68 57%     5 - 3 -1.5 -12.6 +11.2
  Dec 15, 2018 202   Marshall L 74-75 79%     5 - 4 -6.2 -3.2 -3.0
  Dec 18, 2018 312   Tennessee St. W 82-60 91%     6 - 4 +10.4 +0.1 +9.1
  Dec 22, 2018 13   @ Nevada L 62-68 8%     6 - 5 +12.9 +3.0 +9.4
  Jan 05, 2019 263   Western Michigan W 56-48 86%     7 - 5 1 - 0 -0.6 -20.1 +19.7
  Jan 08, 2019 147   @ Central Michigan L 86-88 46%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +2.1 +6.9 -4.7
  Jan 12, 2019 150   @ Northern Illinois L 56-73 49%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -13.5 -10.3 -5.1
  Jan 15, 2019 149   Eastern Michigan W 51-49 68%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +0.4 -11.0 +11.8
  Jan 19, 2019 144   @ Miami (OH) L 61-68 45%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -2.5 -4.3 +1.2
  Jan 22, 2019 147   Central Michigan W 70-67 67%     9 - 8 3 - 3 +1.6 -8.9 +10.4
  Jan 26, 2019 150   Northern Illinois W 67-65 69%     10 - 8 4 - 3 +0.0 -6.4 +6.5
  Feb 02, 2019 209   @ Ohio W 65-53 63%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +11.9 +4.6 +8.9
  Feb 05, 2019 67   @ Toledo L 52-63 26%     11 - 9 5 - 4 -1.1 -15.2 +14.0
  Feb 08, 2019 142   Kent St. W 72-53 66%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +18.0 +0.3 +18.6
  Feb 12, 2019 28   Buffalo L 70-76 25%     12 - 10 6 - 5 +4.1 -2.5 +7.0
  Feb 16, 2019 120   @ Ball St. L 56-57 38%     12 - 11 6 - 6 +5.4 -14.8 +20.3
  Feb 19, 2019 100   @ Bowling Green L 65-69 33%    
  Feb 23, 2019 144   Miami (OH) W 65-61 66%    
  Feb 26, 2019 28   @ Buffalo L 65-77 12%    
  Mar 02, 2019 209   Ohio W 68-59 80%    
  Mar 05, 2019 100   Bowling Green W 67-66 55%    
  Mar 08, 2019 142   @ Kent St. L 67-68 44%    
Projected Record 14.9 - 14.1 8.9 - 9.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.4 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 2.0 11.1 4.6 0.1 17.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 14.0 9.7 0.4 25.2 5th
6th 0.1 7.4 13.8 1.1 0.0 22.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 11.5 2.8 0.0 15.6 7th
8th 0.0 4.0 4.8 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.6 3.7 0.5 4.8 9th
10th 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.5 9.8 25.2 32.8 22.6 7.3 0.8 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.8% 11.3% 11.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 7.3% 8.5% 8.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.7
10-8 22.6% 5.4% 5.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 21.3
9-9 32.8% 3.2% 3.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 31.7
8-10 25.2% 1.9% 1.9% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 24.7
7-11 9.8% 1.3% 1.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.7
6-12 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.7 0.0 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.1 1.1 22.2 44.4 30.0 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.8%