Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.3#347
Achievement Rating-17.2#340
Pace66.2#252
Improvement+0.8#137

Offense
Total Offense-11.2#350
First Shot-10.8#350
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#199
Layup/Dunks-4.6#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#321
Freethrows-4.7#351
Improvement+1.8#92

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#279
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#225
Layups/Dunks-4.1#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#255
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement-1.0#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.5% 8.0% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 1.4% 7.2%
First Four1.0% 1.7% 0.9%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Away) - 21.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 118   @ South Florida L 63-80 3%     0 - 1 -10.5 -4.5 -5.6
  Nov 10, 2018 20   @ Houston L 54-101 1%     0 - 2 -29.8 -9.0 -21.8
  Nov 12, 2018 248   @ Rice L 59-73 12%     0 - 3 -16.4 -15.4 -1.3
  Nov 17, 2018 75   @ BYU L 60-91 2%     0 - 4 -21.8 -11.3 -10.1
  Nov 23, 2018 333   @ Northwestern St. L 66-70 29%     0 - 5 -13.6 -14.0 +0.8
  Nov 25, 2018 236   @ Fordham L 46-77 11%     0 - 6 -32.8 -22.8 -13.0
  Nov 29, 2018 164   UAB L 57-67 13%     0 - 7 -12.8 -13.7 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2018 139   Austin Peay L 61-73 9%     0 - 8 -12.5 -19.6 +8.1
  Dec 09, 2018 175   Samford L 59-77 13%     0 - 9 -21.4 -15.7 -5.0
  Dec 19, 2018 219   @ South Alabama L 67-79 9%     0 - 10 -12.8 -9.1 -3.3
  Dec 21, 2018 195   La Salle L 57-80 11%     0 - 11 -25.0 -18.9 -4.8
  Dec 22, 2018 291   Tulane W 67-59 22%     1 - 11 +1.0 -6.3 +7.5
  Dec 29, 2018 171   @ Hawaii L 63-71 6%     1 - 12 -5.8 -7.5 +1.6
  Dec 31, 2018 163   @ Pepperdine L 64-100 6%     1 - 13 -33.6 -9.3 -23.2
  Jan 05, 2019 331   Jackson St. L 51-54 46%     1 - 14 0 - 1 -17.3 -20.4 +2.9
  Jan 07, 2019 277   Grambling St. W 65-60 28%     2 - 14 1 - 1 -4.2 -11.2 +6.9
  Jan 12, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley L 63-72 53%     2 - 15 1 - 2 -25.1 -12.2 -13.4
  Jan 14, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 49-50 27%     2 - 16 1 - 3 -10.1 -21.9 +11.7
  Jan 19, 2019 319   Alabama St. L 54-72 40%     2 - 17 1 - 4 -30.8 -21.1 -10.7
  Jan 26, 2019 340   Southern W 68-62 54%     3 - 17 2 - 4 -10.2 -15.5 +5.1
  Jan 28, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 71-62 64%     4 - 17 3 - 4 -10.0 -7.7 -2.2
  Feb 02, 2019 283   @ Prairie View L 65-81 15%     4 - 18 3 - 5 -20.1 +0.5 -23.0
  Feb 04, 2019 230   @ Texas Southern L 74-84 11%     4 - 19 3 - 6 -11.6 -4.0 -7.4
  Feb 09, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 78-63 72%     5 - 19 4 - 6 -6.5 -6.0 -0.9
  Feb 11, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 60-69 47%     5 - 20 4 - 7 -23.5 -13.5 -10.9
  Feb 16, 2019 319   @ Alabama St. L 61-69 22%    
  Feb 23, 2019 340   @ Southern L 64-68 32%    
  Feb 25, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. L 61-63 43%    
  Mar 02, 2019 283   Prairie View L 65-71 30%    
  Mar 04, 2019 230   Texas Southern L 69-77 23%    
  Mar 07, 2019 331   @ Jackson St. L 57-63 26%    
  Mar 09, 2019 277   @ Grambling St. L 58-70 13%    
Projected Record 6.9 - 25.1 5.9 - 12.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 7.3 3.1 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 1.5 12.1 8.9 0.7 0.0 23.2 7th
8th 0.4 12.2 13.4 1.7 0.0 27.7 8th
9th 11.0 14.5 2.6 0.0 28.1 9th
10th 1.0 0.2 1.2 10th
Total 12.4 28.3 29.9 19.1 7.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
9-9 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.0
8-10 7.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 7.7
7-11 19.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.4 18.7
6-12 29.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.3 29.6
5-13 28.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 28.2
4-14 12.4% 12.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.3%