Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.8#351
Achievement Rating-23.7#353
Pace67.4#248
Improvement+1.2#87

Offense
Total Offense-12.0#353
First Shot-10.4#347
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#270
Layup/Dunks-3.9#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#335
Freethrows-3.4#319
Improvement-0.7#234

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#323
First Shot-5.7#328
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#185
Layups/Dunks-6.2#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#255
Freethrows+1.0#128
Improvement+2.0#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.0% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.4% 16.4% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 42.9% 29.7% 43.5%
First Four0.4% 1.0% 0.4%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 193   @ South Florida L 63-80 5%     0 - 1 -15.9 -8.4 -7.1
  Nov 10, 2018 33   @ Houston L 54-101 1%     0 - 2 -32.0 -8.9 -24.1
  Nov 12, 2018 315   @ Rice L 59-73 14%     0 - 3 -20.3 -15.8 -4.9
  Nov 17, 2018 65   @ BYU L 60-91 1%     0 - 4 -20.6 -9.4 -10.8
  Nov 23, 2018 347   @ Northwestern St. L 66-70 33%     0 - 5 -17.2 -15.8 -1.0
  Nov 25, 2018 250   @ Fordham L 46-77 8%     0 - 6 -33.2 -21.2 -14.9
  Nov 29, 2018 216   UAB L 57-67 14%     0 - 7 -16.2 -14.6 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2018 194   Austin Peay L 61-73 12%     0 - 8 -17.0 -19.5 +3.5
  Dec 09, 2018 189   Samford L 59-77 11%     0 - 9 -22.7 -18.7 -3.2
  Dec 19, 2018 195   @ South Alabama L 56-75 4%    
  Dec 21, 2018 258   La Salle L 67-79 12%    
  Dec 22, 2018 282   Towson L 59-70 15%    
  Dec 29, 2018 185   @ Hawaii L 55-74 4%    
  Dec 31, 2018 225   @ Pepperdine L 64-81 6%    
  Jan 05, 2019 336   Jackson St. L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 07, 2019 287   Grambling St. L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 12, 2019 346   @ Mississippi Valley L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 14, 2019 322   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 61-71 17%    
  Jan 19, 2019 328   Alabama St. L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 26, 2019 333   Southern L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 28, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 02, 2019 289   @ Prairie View L 63-77 11%    
  Feb 04, 2019 220   @ Texas Southern L 65-82 6%    
  Feb 09, 2019 346   Mississippi Valley W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 11, 2019 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 16, 2019 328   @ Alabama St. L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 23, 2019 333   @ Southern L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 25, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. L 62-67 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 289   Prairie View L 66-74 25%    
  Mar 04, 2019 220   Texas Southern L 68-79 16%    
  Mar 07, 2019 336   @ Jackson St. L 61-69 23%    
  Mar 09, 2019 287   @ Grambling St. L 62-76 11%    
Projected Record 5.4 - 26.6 5.0 - 13.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.1 5.0 1.5 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 5.9 6.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 16.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.2 8.2 7.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 23.4 9th
10th 1.2 4.5 8.4 9.3 5.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 30.9 10th
Total 1.2 4.5 9.2 13.7 15.8 16.0 13.8 10.4 6.9 4.2 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 65.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 26.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.3
9-9 4.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.1
8-10 6.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.8
7-11 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.3
6-12 13.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
4-14 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.8
3-15 13.7% 13.7
2-16 9.2% 9.2
1-17 4.5% 4.5
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%