Alabama
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#63
Achievement Rating+8.1#81
Pace71.2#148
Improvement+1.1#93

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#79
First Shot+2.7#105
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#104
Layup/Dunks-2.3#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#190
Freethrows+3.4#28
Improvement+1.6#55

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#64
First Shot+1.5#125
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#23
Layups/Dunks+2.4#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#102
Freethrows-0.6#215
Improvement-0.4#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 2.4% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.8% 35.8% 22.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.6% 34.5% 21.1%
Average Seed 8.5 8.3 8.8
.500 or above 57.3% 65.7% 42.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 40.5% 32.3%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.2% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 7.7% 11.8%
First Four4.7% 5.3% 3.6%
First Round28.2% 32.8% 20.1%
Second Round13.8% 16.1% 9.7%
Sweet Sixteen4.2% 5.2% 2.5%
Elite Eight1.4% 1.8% 0.8%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Neutral) - 63.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 332   Southern W 82-62 97%     1 - 0 +5.0 -3.9 +8.1
  Nov 11, 2018 191   Appalachian St. W 81-73 88%     2 - 0 +3.1 -1.0 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2018 91   Northeastern L 52-68 58%     2 - 1 -10.1 -12.9 +0.1
  Nov 16, 2018 107   Ball St. W 79-61 62%     3 - 1 +22.7 +5.8 +16.7
  Nov 18, 2018 117   Wichita St. W 90-86 65%     4 - 1 +7.9 +21.1 -13.2
  Nov 26, 2018 66   Murray St. W 78-72 63%     5 - 1 +10.5 +3.6 +6.5
  Nov 29, 2018 42   @ Central Florida L 64-70 30%     5 - 2 +7.3 +0.9 +6.2
  Dec 04, 2018 118   Georgia St. L 80-83 75%     5 - 3 -2.2 -0.4 -1.5
  Dec 09, 2018 51   Arizona W 76-73 55%     6 - 3 +9.6 +4.6 +4.8
  Dec 18, 2018 111   Liberty W 70-67 64%    
  Dec 21, 2018 58   Penn St. W 69-67 58%    
  Dec 30, 2018 159   @ Stephen F. Austin W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 05, 2019 17   Kentucky L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 08, 2019 47   @ LSU L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 12, 2019 86   Texas A&M W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 16, 2019 85   @ Missouri L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 19, 2019 7   @ Tennessee L 67-80 12%    
  Jan 22, 2019 61   Mississippi W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 68   @ Baylor L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 29, 2019 14   Mississippi St. L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 02, 2019 11   @ Auburn L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 06, 2019 108   Georgia W 76-70 72%    
  Feb 09, 2019 81   @ Vanderbilt L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 12, 2019 14   @ Mississippi St. L 66-76 20%    
  Feb 16, 2019 18   Florida L 66-68 41%    
  Feb 19, 2019 86   @ Texas A&M L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 23, 2019 81   Vanderbilt W 77-73 66%    
  Feb 26, 2019 120   @ South Carolina W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 47   LSU W 77-76 54%    
  Mar 05, 2019 11   Auburn L 72-78 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 55   @ Arkansas L 75-79 35%    
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 7.7 - 10.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.9 0.2 4.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.5 0.2 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.6 2.4 0.3 7.2 5th
6th 0.6 3.5 3.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.1 5.0 1.4 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 2.3 6.1 2.3 0.1 10.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 5.0 3.7 0.4 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.7 0.8 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.4 2.8 5.0 1.6 0.1 9.8 11th
12th 0.3 1.9 4.2 2.0 0.1 8.5 12th
13th 0.3 1.5 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.4 6.5 9.9 12.4 14.1 14.3 12.1 10.1 6.9 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 88.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 68.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 11.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.0% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 4.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.3% 96.9% 7.0% 89.9% 5.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.7%
12-6 4.6% 93.9% 7.0% 86.9% 6.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 93.4%
11-7 6.9% 83.1% 3.8% 79.3% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 82.5%
10-8 10.1% 72.0% 2.5% 69.5% 9.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.8 71.3%
9-9 12.1% 49.8% 1.7% 48.1% 9.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 49.0%
8-10 14.3% 20.4% 1.0% 19.4% 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 11.4 19.6%
7-11 14.1% 5.0% 0.4% 4.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 13.4 4.6%
6-12 12.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 12.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.3 0.3%
5-13 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 6.5% 6.5
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 30.8% 1.7% 29.2% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.2 2.8 3.9 4.0 5.0 4.6 3.7 2.2 0.6 0.1 69.2 29.6%