Albany
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#274
Achievement Rating-11.4#300
Pace66.0#278
Improvement+0.8#109

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#248
First Shot-4.3#290
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#82
Layup/Dunks-8.6#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#87
Freethrows+2.4#61
Improvement+1.9#39

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#279
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#329
Layups/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#225
Freethrows+1.1#125
Improvement-1.1#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.1% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 12.9% 30.4% 11.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 63.7% 50.0%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.5% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 3.3% 5.7%
First Four2.8% 2.9% 2.8%
First Round2.4% 3.7% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 198   @ Iona L 68-72 25%     0 - 1 -3.2 -8.9 +5.9
  Nov 14, 2018 187   Boston University L 61-71 43%     0 - 2 -14.5 -5.0 -10.6
  Nov 17, 2018 226   @ Canisius W 75-66 31%     1 - 2 +8.0 +3.5 +4.5
  Nov 20, 2018 157   Holy Cross L 65-69 36%     1 - 3 -6.6 -6.0 -0.7
  Nov 23, 2018 282   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-79 40%     1 - 4 -12.8 +2.6 -16.1
  Nov 29, 2018 244   LIU Brooklyn L 77-80 45%     1 - 5 -8.0 -9.0 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2018 247   Dartmouth L 77-91 45%     1 - 6 -19.1 -0.3 -18.8
  Dec 08, 2018 304   Monmouth W 82-63 68%     2 - 6 +7.8 +8.6 -0.3
  Dec 11, 2018 91   @ Yale L 67-82 8%    
  Dec 15, 2018 247   Dartmouth W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 18, 2018 72   @ Providence L 61-77 6%    
  Dec 20, 2018 310   Manhattan W 63-58 69%    
  Dec 28, 2018 143   @ Kent St. L 67-78 15%    
  Dec 31, 2018 241   @ Niagara L 72-76 34%    
  Jan 05, 2019 110   Vermont L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 12, 2019 330   Maine W 67-59 77%    
  Jan 16, 2019 268   @ Umass Lowell L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 19, 2019 192   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-71 25%    
  Jan 23, 2019 165   Stony Brook L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 26, 2019 216   Hartford L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 30, 2019 343   @ New Hampshire W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 02, 2019 325   Binghamton W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 09, 2019 110   @ Vermont L 61-75 11%    
  Feb 13, 2019 268   Umass Lowell W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 17, 2019 330   @ Maine W 64-62 57%    
  Feb 21, 2019 165   @ Stony Brook L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 23, 2019 192   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 27, 2019 343   New Hampshire W 73-62 83%    
  Mar 05, 2019 325   @ Binghamton W 70-68 56%    
  Mar 02, 2019 216   @ Hartford L 68-74 29%    
Projected Record 11.5 - 18.5 7.6 - 8.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.4 7.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 16.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 7.2 8.0 2.8 0.2 0.0 20.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 7.3 6.7 1.9 0.1 18.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.9 9.6 13.3 15.8 15.9 13.8 10.0 6.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 90.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
13-3 64.0% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.0
12-4 28.0% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-5 4.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 30.5% 30.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 25.2% 25.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.4% 15.8% 15.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
12-4 3.3% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.9
11-5 6.1% 9.6% 9.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5
10-6 10.0% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 9.4
9-7 13.8% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.2
8-8 15.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.5 15.5
7-9 15.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 15.4
6-10 13.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.2
5-11 9.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.5
4-12 5.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-13 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.4 96.3 0.0%