Albany
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#293
Achievement Rating-10.4#311
Pace65.6#273
Improvement-0.3#202

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#308
First Shot-5.2#308
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#194
Layup/Dunks-6.4#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#65
Freethrows+0.1#173
Improvement-2.0#273

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#224
First Shot-1.8#226
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#190
Layups/Dunks-2.7#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+1.6#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.5% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.0% 11.9% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.3% 2.5%
First Four1.3% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Away) - 45.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 222   @ Iona L 68-72 26%     0 - 1 -4.7 -10.3 +5.8
  Nov 14, 2018 232   Boston University L 61-71 49%     0 - 2 -17.2 -10.0 -8.3
  Nov 17, 2018 247   @ Canisius W 75-66 31%     1 - 2 +6.7 +0.1 +6.6
  Nov 20, 2018 234   Holy Cross L 65-69 49%     1 - 3 -11.2 -9.3 -2.1
  Nov 23, 2018 304   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-79 43%     1 - 4 -14.5 -0.1 -15.1
  Nov 29, 2018 270   LIU Brooklyn L 77-80 46%     1 - 5 -9.3 -9.0 +0.1
  Nov 30, 2018 203   Dartmouth L 77-91 32%     1 - 6 -16.5 +0.3 -16.8
  Dec 08, 2018 271   Monmouth W 82-63 56%     2 - 6 +10.0 +10.6 -0.1
  Dec 11, 2018 88   @ Yale L 63-71 8%     2 - 7 +0.6 -5.3 +5.9
  Dec 15, 2018 203   Dartmouth L 52-61 42%     2 - 8 -14.2 -20.5 +5.3
  Dec 18, 2018 80   @ Providence L 43-73 7%     2 - 9 -21.0 -23.3 +2.9
  Dec 20, 2018 308   Manhattan W 77-67 64%     3 - 9 -1.2 +5.7 -6.6
  Dec 28, 2018 142   @ Kent St. L 68-70 13%     3 - 10 +2.5 -2.7 +5.1
  Dec 31, 2018 299   @ Niagara W 79-74 41%     4 - 10 -0.1 -1.1 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 81   Vermont L 51-80 16%     4 - 11 0 - 1 -25.6 -16.5 -11.4
  Jan 12, 2019 314   Maine L 62-66 68%     4 - 12 0 - 2 -16.1 -9.9 -6.5
  Jan 16, 2019 236   @ Umass Lowell L 72-84 29%     4 - 13 0 - 3 -13.8 +3.5 -18.6
  Jan 19, 2019 219   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-65 26%     4 - 14 0 - 4 -1.6 -2.0 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2019 170   Stony Brook L 66-67 34%     4 - 15 0 - 5 -4.1 -3.8 -0.3
  Jan 26, 2019 188   Hartford W 84-77 39%     5 - 15 1 - 5 +2.5 +2.0 +0.1
  Jan 30, 2019 347   @ New Hampshire W 62-42 69%     6 - 15 2 - 5 +7.5 -6.1 +15.6
  Feb 02, 2019 336   Binghamton W 64-50 77%     7 - 15 3 - 5 -1.2 -10.9 +10.7
  Feb 09, 2019 81   @ Vermont L 49-67 7%     7 - 16 3 - 6 -9.1 -13.4 +2.0
  Feb 13, 2019 236   Umass Lowell L 54-86 50%     7 - 17 3 - 7 -39.3 -26.1 -12.8
  Feb 17, 2019 314   @ Maine L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 21, 2019 170   @ Stony Brook L 61-71 17%    
  Feb 23, 2019 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-62 46%    
  Feb 27, 2019 347   New Hampshire W 67-56 85%    
  Mar 05, 2019 336   @ Binghamton W 66-64 58%    
  Mar 02, 2019 188   @ Hartford L 66-74 21%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 20.3 5.7 - 10.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 0.5 1.5 4th
5th 0.8 5.8 3.6 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.2 10.7 26.8 12.9 0.8 51.5 6th
7th 7.0 16.9 4.5 0.1 28.5 7th
8th 1.5 5.4 1.0 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 1.7 12.6 28.6 32.2 18.9 5.4 0.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6
8-8 5.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.3
7-9 18.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 18.6
6-10 32.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.5 31.7
5-11 28.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 28.4
4-12 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.5
3-13 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 1.7%