Arizona
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#51
Achievement Rating+9.4#64
Pace69.6#189
Improvement-4.4#350

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#77
First Shot+5.1#46
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#251
Layup/Dunks+4.2#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#138
Freethrows+1.3#111
Improvement-1.9#308

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#38
First Shot+8.3#7
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#318
Layups/Dunks+2.2#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#77
Freethrows+2.2#66
Improvement-2.5#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.5% 3.0% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.4% 53.7% 34.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.2% 46.6% 27.8%
Average Seed 8.6 8.5 9.5
.500 or above 94.1% 96.0% 87.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.0% 83.4% 77.0%
Conference Champion 14.3% 15.7% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four6.6% 6.3% 7.4%
First Round45.9% 50.3% 30.6%
Second Round22.2% 24.4% 14.4%
Sweet Sixteen6.9% 7.8% 3.9%
Elite Eight2.8% 3.0% 1.8%
Final Four0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 283   Houston Baptist W 90-60 95%     1 - 0 +20.3 +5.4 +13.8
  Nov 11, 2018 306   Cal Poly W 82-61 96%     2 - 0 +9.9 -0.6 +9.4
  Nov 14, 2018 217   UTEP W 79-46 92%     3 - 0 +26.8 +6.3 +20.9
  Nov 19, 2018 23   Iowa St. W 71-66 37%     4 - 0 +18.1 +2.6 +15.4
  Nov 20, 2018 3   Gonzaga L 74-91 20%     4 - 1 +1.3 -0.8 +3.6
  Nov 21, 2018 11   Auburn L 57-73 24%     4 - 2 +0.8 -3.2 +2.3
  Nov 29, 2018 132   Georgia Southern W 100-70 83%     5 - 2 +29.6 +12.8 +13.1
  Dec 02, 2018 84   @ Connecticut W 76-72 51%     6 - 2 +13.2 +2.0 +11.0
  Dec 06, 2018 130   Utah Valley W 80-69 82%     7 - 2 +10.7 +6.0 +4.5
  Dec 09, 2018 63   @ Alabama L 73-76 45%     7 - 3 +7.9 +3.1 +4.9
  Dec 15, 2018 68   Baylor L 49-58 69%     7 - 4 -4.5 -12.5 +6.6
  Dec 19, 2018 110   Montana W 75-67 78%    
  Dec 22, 2018 222   UC Davis W 72-56 93%    
  Jan 03, 2019 59   Colorado W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 05, 2019 140   Utah W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 09, 2019 100   @ Stanford W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 12, 2019 192   @ California W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 17, 2019 33   Oregon W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 19, 2019 69   Oregon St. W 70-65 69%    
  Jan 24, 2019 96   @ USC W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 26, 2019 49   @ UCLA L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 31, 2019 38   @ Arizona St. L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 07, 2019 54   Washington W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 09, 2019 177   Washington St. W 84-70 89%    
  Feb 14, 2019 140   @ Utah W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 17, 2019 59   @ Colorado L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 21, 2019 192   California W 78-63 91%    
  Feb 24, 2019 100   Stanford W 74-67 75%    
  Feb 28, 2019 69   @ Oregon St. L 67-68 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 33   @ Oregon L 66-71 31%    
  Mar 09, 2019 38   Arizona St. W 75-74 54%    
Projected Record 19.6 - 11.4 10.9 - 7.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.5 3.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 14.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.6 6.1 3.1 0.7 0.0 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.0 6.4 2.8 0.3 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.4 3.0 0.4 13.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 6.2 2.9 0.3 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.1 8.4 11.5 13.7 14.8 14.9 12.1 7.9 4.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 98.0% 1.9    1.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 84.7% 3.9    2.8 1.0 0.1
14-4 57.0% 4.5    2.2 1.8 0.5 0.0
13-5 23.1% 2.8    0.6 1.3 0.7 0.2
12-6 4.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.3% 14.3 7.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 100.0% 42.0% 58.0% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.0% 99.0% 31.8% 67.2% 5.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.5%
15-3 4.6% 97.8% 33.1% 64.7% 6.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 96.7%
14-4 7.9% 92.0% 21.7% 70.3% 7.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 89.8%
13-5 12.1% 85.3% 21.0% 64.3% 8.4 0.3 0.8 2.0 2.4 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 81.4%
12-6 14.9% 71.0% 14.8% 56.1% 9.3 0.3 1.0 1.6 2.8 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 4.3 65.9%
11-7 14.8% 52.0% 10.8% 41.1% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 7.1 46.1%
10-8 13.7% 29.4% 5.9% 23.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.7 25.0%
9-9 11.5% 16.0% 5.6% 10.5% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.6 11.1%
8-10 8.4% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.9 2.0%
7-11 5.1% 2.6% 2.4% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.2%
6-12 2.8% 1.8% 1.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 49.4% 12.4% 37.0% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.4 4.0 5.9 6.7 8.8 8.1 7.0 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 50.6 42.2%