Arizona
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#84
Achievement Rating+5.4#102
Pace67.3#228
Improvement-10.6#353

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#118
First Shot+2.1#124
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#170
Layup/Dunks+3.8#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-3.1#304

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#70
First Shot+6.0#30
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#333
Layups/Dunks+1.2#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#60
Freethrows+2.0#51
Improvement-7.5#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 5.2% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 12.9
.500 or above 89.9% 92.6% 61.4%
.500 or above in Conference 23.2% 25.1% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.1%
First Round4.5% 4.7% 2.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Home) - 91.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 288   Houston Baptist W 90-60 92%     1 - 0 +20.0 +8.1 +10.9
  Nov 11, 2018 329   Cal Poly W 82-61 96%     2 - 0 +6.9 -1.1 +6.8
  Nov 14, 2018 266   UTEP W 79-46 91%     3 - 0 +24.3 +8.1 +16.6
  Nov 19, 2018 12   Iowa St. W 71-66 17%     4 - 0 +21.2 +3.5 +17.7
  Nov 20, 2018 2   Gonzaga L 74-91 6%     4 - 1 +7.1 +3.1 +5.5
  Nov 21, 2018 14   Auburn L 57-73 18%     4 - 2 -0.4 -3.6 +1.5
  Nov 29, 2018 128   Georgia Southern W 100-70 71%     5 - 2 +30.3 +14.2 +12.4
  Dec 02, 2018 83   @ Connecticut W 76-72 39%     6 - 2 +12.8 +1.4 +11.1
  Dec 06, 2018 114   Utah Valley W 80-69 68%     7 - 2 +12.2 +5.6 +6.5
  Dec 09, 2018 44   @ Alabama L 73-76 27%     7 - 3 +9.3 +3.1 +6.3
  Dec 15, 2018 33   Baylor L 49-58 39%     7 - 4 -0.1 -13.1 +11.8
  Dec 19, 2018 109   Montana W 61-42 67%     8 - 4 +20.5 -10.2 +31.2
  Dec 22, 2018 207   UC Davis W 70-68 86%     9 - 4 -3.5 +6.0 -9.3
  Jan 03, 2019 66   Colorado W 64-56 56%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +12.4 -2.5 +15.3
  Jan 05, 2019 95   Utah W 84-81 64%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +5.4 +3.7 +1.5
  Jan 09, 2019 92   @ Stanford W 75-70 42%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +13.1 +3.8 +9.1
  Jan 12, 2019 257   @ California W 87-65 80%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +19.2 +14.2 +6.1
  Jan 17, 2019 55   Oregon L 54-59 51%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +0.7 -7.2 +7.2
  Jan 19, 2019 75   Oregon St. W 82-71 58%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +14.8 +14.7 +0.8
  Jan 24, 2019 78   @ USC L 57-80 38%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -14.0 -14.5 +1.7
  Jan 26, 2019 94   @ UCLA L 69-90 42%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -13.0 -2.5 -9.4
  Jan 31, 2019 54   @ Arizona St. L 88-95 30%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +4.5 +16.8 -11.9
  Feb 07, 2019 36   Washington L 60-67 40%     14 - 9 5 - 5 +1.6 -3.5 +4.7
  Feb 09, 2019 167   Washington St. L 55-69 80%     14 - 10 5 - 6 -17.0 -20.0 +2.4
  Feb 14, 2019 95   @ Utah L 76-83 42%     14 - 11 5 - 7 +0.9 +3.1 -2.2
  Feb 17, 2019 66   @ Colorado L 60-67 35%     14 - 12 5 - 8 +2.9 +4.7 -3.1
  Feb 21, 2019 257   California W 79-65 91%    
  Feb 24, 2019 92   Stanford W 73-70 63%    
  Feb 28, 2019 75   @ Oregon St. L 68-71 37%    
  Mar 02, 2019 55   @ Oregon L 62-67 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 54   Arizona St. L 73-74 51%    
Projected Record 16.7 - 14.3 7.7 - 10.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 0.9 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 6.9 0.2 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 7.0 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.4 11.6 2.4 14.5 8th
9th 0.5 9.5 16.8 0.2 27.1 9th
10th 0.6 9.0 19.5 4.1 0.0 33.1 10th
11th 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.0 10.9 30.1 34.9 19.2 4.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 4.0% 22.0% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 12.3%
9-9 19.2% 8.3% 5.7% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 17.6 2.7%
8-10 34.9% 3.7% 3.6% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 33.6 0.1%
7-11 30.1% 3.0% 3.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 29.2
6-12 10.9% 2.5% 2.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.6
5-13 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 4.0% 1.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 95.0 1.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 9.7 2.0 9.8 33.0 30.8 22.5 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5% 32.5% 11.1 2.2 6.8 12.9 8.5 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2% 16.3% 11.6 0.1 1.1 6.0 7.0 2.0 0.1
Lose Out 0.6%