Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#239
Achievement Rating-10.0#290
Pace73.7#99
Improvement-1.1#259

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#273
First Shot-0.9#207
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#321
Layup/Dunks+7.0#14
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#327
Freethrows-1.8#269
Improvement+0.1#157

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#205
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#135
Layups/Dunks+0.3#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#322
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement-1.2#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.5% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 8.3% 20.2% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 28.8% 39.4% 27.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.3% 12.0% 19.3%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round1.2% 2.2% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 278   @ Tennessee St. W 83-67 45%     1 - 0 +12.6 +6.8 +4.8
  Nov 16, 2018 10   @ Nevada L 59-87 2%     1 - 1 -7.3 -11.5 +6.4
  Nov 19, 2018 120   @ Tulsa L 78-88 14%     1 - 2 -3.4 -1.8 -0.3
  Nov 23, 2018 289   Howard W 97-76 69%     2 - 2 +11.0 +1.8 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2018 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-75 80%     2 - 3 -22.6 -12.3 -10.2
  Nov 28, 2018 279   @ Central Arkansas L 65-78 45%     2 - 4 -16.6 -15.6 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2018 291   Sam Houston St. W 79-52 70%     3 - 4 +16.8 +7.5 +11.0
  Dec 04, 2018 128   Bradley L 62-68 33%     3 - 5 -6.2 -7.9 +1.5
  Dec 08, 2018 279   Central Arkansas L 82-85 68%     3 - 6 -12.6 +3.2 -15.8
  Dec 19, 2018 114   @ Memphis L 72-84 13%    
  Dec 22, 2018 89   @ Georgetown L 72-86 10%    
  Jan 03, 2019 207   @ Louisiana Monroe L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 05, 2019 115   @ Louisiana L 72-84 14%    
  Jan 10, 2019 208   Troy W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 12, 2019 195   South Alabama W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 17, 2019 144   @ Texas St. L 63-72 19%    
  Jan 19, 2019 256   @ Texas Arlington L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 24, 2019 188   Coastal Carolina L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 26, 2019 180   Appalachian St. L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 02, 2019 290   Arkansas St. W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 07, 2019 208   @ Troy L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 09, 2019 195   @ South Alabama L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 14, 2019 256   Texas Arlington W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 16, 2019 144   Texas St. L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 23, 2019 290   @ Arkansas St. L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 28, 2019 129   @ Georgia Southern L 77-88 17%    
  Mar 02, 2019 117   @ Georgia St. L 70-82 15%    
  Mar 07, 2019 115   Louisiana L 75-81 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 207   Louisiana Monroe W 71-70 53%    
Projected Record 10.3 - 18.7 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 4.5 1.3 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.6 3.9 0.4 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 5.3 5.1 0.9 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.6 5.5 1.4 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.4 4.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 12.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.3 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.3 8.7 11.9 14.0 14.4 13.3 10.8 7.8 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 82.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 56.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 28.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 18.1% 18.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 15.1% 15.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.5% 8.9% 8.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 2.9% 6.6% 6.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.7
11-7 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 15.6 0.1 0.2 4.7
10-8 7.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.6
9-9 10.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.6
8-10 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.2
7-11 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.3
6-12 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
4-14 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
3-15 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
2-16 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%