Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#324
Achievement Rating-4.1#222
Pace67.9#233
Improvement+2.5#31

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#326
First Shot-5.7#313
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#221
Layup/Dunks-2.9#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#345
Freethrows+2.2#71
Improvement-0.5#220

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#289
First Shot-1.5#217
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#317
Layups/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
Freethrows+1.3#108
Improvement+2.9#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 11.8% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 15.3% 35.6% 14.1%
.500 or above in Conference 63.9% 74.3% 63.3%
Conference Champion 5.5% 8.1% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.9% 3.6%
First Four5.9% 9.3% 5.6%
First Round2.7% 6.7% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Texas (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 74   @ San Diego St. L 60-76 4%     0 - 1 -6.0 -9.7 +3.6
  Nov 10, 2018 211   @ Colorado St. L 67-92 16%     0 - 2 -25.0 -3.2 -23.9
  Nov 17, 2018 122   @ Southern Illinois L 48-78 6%     0 - 3 -23.4 -20.2 -3.5
  Nov 19, 2018 136   @ Massachusetts L 60-92 8%     0 - 4 -26.8 -15.7 -8.8
  Nov 23, 2018 237   California Baptist W 115-107 28%     1 - 4 +3.4 +6.9 -5.7
  Nov 24, 2018 245   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 75-66 21%     2 - 4 +7.0 +2.3 +4.7
  Nov 27, 2018 29   @ Cincinnati L 49-105 2%     2 - 5 -40.5 -18.7 -16.6
  Dec 05, 2018 12   @ Texas Tech L 47-65 1%     2 - 6 +0.5 -11.7 +11.4
  Dec 08, 2018 149   @ UC Santa Barbara L 45-55 9%     2 - 7 -6.1 -16.6 +8.5
  Dec 20, 2018 125   @ North Texas L 60-77 6%    
  Dec 22, 2018 200   @ Missouri St. L 68-79 14%    
  Dec 29, 2018 203   @ Troy L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 05, 2019 349   Mississippi Valley W 75-66 81%    
  Jan 12, 2019 326   Alabama St. W 71-68 63%    
  Jan 14, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 70-60 82%    
  Jan 19, 2019 332   @ Southern L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 21, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. W 68-66 58%    
  Jan 26, 2019 220   Texas Southern L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 28, 2019 287   Prairie View L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 02, 2019 258   @ Grambling St. L 66-74 23%    
  Feb 04, 2019 335   @ Jackson St. L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 09, 2019 326   @ Alabama St. L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 11, 2019 351   @ Alabama A&M W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 332   Southern W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 18, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 23, 2019 220   @ Texas Southern L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 25, 2019 287   @ Prairie View L 69-76 28%    
  Mar 02, 2019 258   Grambling St. L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 04, 2019 335   Jackson St. W 70-65 67%    
  Mar 09, 2019 349   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 11.8 - 18.2 9.4 - 8.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 4.7 1.7 0.2 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 7.1 5.3 1.3 0.1 17.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 7.0 4.8 1.0 0.0 16.5 5th
6th 0.4 3.3 5.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.9 1.5 0.3 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 4.0 6.8 10.1 11.9 14.1 15.1 12.7 9.6 6.3 3.8 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.9% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 82.9% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 52.3% 2.0    1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.7% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
12-6 3.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1
16-2 0.4% 40.5% 40.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
15-3 1.8% 21.1% 21.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.4
14-4 3.8% 17.3% 17.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.1
13-5 6.3% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.5
12-6 9.6% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 1.1 8.5
11-7 12.7% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.0 11.6
10-8 15.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.9 14.2
9-9 14.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 13.6
8-10 11.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.4 11.5
7-11 10.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.9
6-12 6.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 6.2 93.7 0.0%