Arkansas
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#58
Achievement Rating+7.7#83
Pace79.9#18
Improvement-0.6#217

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#67
First Shot+6.7#27
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#308
Layup/Dunks+5.2#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#139
Freethrows+2.0#80
Improvement+1.4#70

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#66
First Shot+5.2#37
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#238
Layups/Dunks+4.9#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#199
Freethrows-2.4#300
Improvement-1.9#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.3% 25.5% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.5% 23.6% 11.2%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.8
.500 or above 82.1% 85.4% 65.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.0% 57.1% 44.8%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.4% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 4.2% 7.5%
First Four5.4% 5.7% 3.8%
First Round20.7% 22.8% 10.4%
Second Round10.0% 11.0% 4.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.2% 3.5% 1.5%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Neutral) - 83.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 46   Texas L 71-73 45%     0 - 1 +7.9 -1.9 +10.0
  Nov 12, 2018 222   UC Davis W 81-58 91%     1 - 1 +16.5 +1.4 +12.7
  Nov 18, 2018 24   Indiana W 73-72 45%     2 - 1 +10.9 +0.5 +10.3
  Nov 21, 2018 313   Montana St. W 90-68 96%     3 - 1 +10.0 -0.4 +8.3
  Nov 23, 2018 252   Texas Arlington W 78-60 93%     4 - 1 +9.7 -4.8 +12.6
  Dec 01, 2018 228   Florida International W 121-89 92%     5 - 1 +24.9 +15.1 +2.0
  Dec 05, 2018 213   @ Colorado St. W 98-74 79%     6 - 1 +24.0 +21.5 +2.3
  Dec 08, 2018 83   Western Kentucky L 77-78 71%     6 - 2 +1.9 +0.8 +1.2
  Dec 15, 2018 188   Texas San Antonio W 85-75 83%    
  Dec 19, 2018 78   Georgia Tech W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 22, 2018 142   Texas St. W 76-66 82%    
  Dec 28, 2018 193   Austin Peay W 86-72 90%    
  Jan 05, 2019 86   @ Texas A&M L 77-78 49%    
  Jan 09, 2019 20   Florida L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 12, 2019 53   LSU W 81-79 59%    
  Jan 15, 2019 11   @ Tennessee L 71-82 15%    
  Jan 19, 2019 65   @ Mississippi L 81-83 43%    
  Jan 23, 2019 81   Missouri W 75-70 69%    
  Jan 26, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 29, 2019 111   Georgia W 82-75 74%    
  Feb 02, 2019 53   @ LSU L 78-82 38%    
  Feb 05, 2019 76   Vanderbilt W 82-77 68%    
  Feb 09, 2019 117   @ South Carolina W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 12, 2019 81   @ Missouri L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 16, 2019 18   Mississippi St. L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 20, 2019 9   @ Auburn L 75-87 13%    
  Feb 23, 2019 86   Texas A&M W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 26, 2019 16   @ Kentucky L 76-85 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 65   Mississippi W 84-80 64%    
  Mar 06, 2019 76   @ Vanderbilt L 79-80 47%    
  Mar 09, 2019 62   Alabama W 79-75 64%    
Projected Record 18.3 - 12.7 8.8 - 9.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.2 3.0 0.7 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.7 1.1 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.5 1.6 0.1 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 5.5 2.3 0.2 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.1 0.3 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.8 0.7 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.4 0.1 5.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.8 8.6 11.6 13.5 14.1 13.1 10.7 8.0 4.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 85.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 56.4% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 27.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 96.2% 15.4% 80.8% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.5%
15-3 1.2% 95.1% 13.1% 82.1% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 94.4%
14-4 2.7% 90.8% 10.3% 80.5% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 89.7%
13-5 4.9% 80.0% 8.0% 72.1% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 78.3%
12-6 8.0% 63.5% 5.4% 58.1% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.9 61.5%
11-7 10.7% 44.6% 3.3% 41.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.9 42.7%
10-8 13.1% 26.0% 2.0% 24.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.7 24.5%
9-9 14.1% 12.2% 1.0% 11.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.4 11.3%
8-10 13.5% 2.4% 0.6% 1.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.1 1.9%
7-11 11.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.2%
6-12 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 23.3% 2.2% 21.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.6 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 76.7 21.5%