Army
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#246
Achievement Rating-5.8#252
Pace74.1#65
Improvement+2.2#84

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#300
First Shot-2.3#254
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#345
Layup/Dunks+0.3#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#87
Freethrows-2.6#323
Improvement-0.7#223

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#168
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#21
Layups/Dunks-2.0#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#228
Freethrows+1.8#62
Improvement+2.9#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.7% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.9% 7.3% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 53.3% 88.0% 43.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four3.3% 3.0% 3.3%
First Round3.0% 4.4% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 21.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 235   Marist W 73-69 58%     1 - 0 -3.2 +0.2 -3.2
  Nov 11, 2018 1   @ Duke L 72-94 1%     1 - 1 +5.4 +5.1 +2.1
  Nov 16, 2018 255   Sacred Heart L 78-79 52%     1 - 2 -6.5 -5.4 -1.1
  Nov 17, 2018 236   Umass Lowell L 85-92 48%     1 - 3 -11.6 -1.2 -9.6
  Nov 18, 2018 154   @ Brown L 66-86 21%     1 - 4 -16.7 -6.8 -8.4
  Nov 24, 2018 144   @ Miami (OH) L 55-85 18%     1 - 5 -25.5 -17.0 -7.9
  Nov 28, 2018 336   Binghamton W 67-56 83%     2 - 5 -4.2 -5.4 +2.4
  Dec 01, 2018 286   Fairfield W 63-60 68%     3 - 5 -6.8 -16.2 +9.3
  Dec 04, 2018 197   @ NJIT L 72-77 29%     3 - 6 -4.4 -1.6 -2.5
  Dec 08, 2018 239   @ Air Force W 66-61 38%     4 - 6 +3.2 -9.2 +12.2
  Dec 12, 2018 250   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 84-93 40%     4 - 7 -11.5 -1.9 -8.7
  Dec 22, 2018 299   Niagara L 66-78 70%     4 - 8 -22.6 -23.7 +2.6
  Jan 02, 2019 146   Bucknell L 63-64 35%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -2.2 -12.2 +10.0
  Jan 05, 2019 295   Lafayette W 77-69 69%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -2.3 -5.4 +2.8
  Jan 09, 2019 232   @ Boston University W 86-82 37%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +2.3 +5.5 -3.4
  Jan 12, 2019 281   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-66 46%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -6.0 -13.6 +7.7
  Jan 16, 2019 153   Colgate W 91-81 39%     7 - 10 3 - 2 +7.8 +12.7 -5.1
  Jan 19, 2019 301   Navy W 72-61 71%     8 - 10 4 - 2 +0.3 -1.5 +2.3
  Jan 23, 2019 234   Holy Cross W 76-57 58%     9 - 10 5 - 2 +11.8 +11.8 +3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 295   @ Lafayette W 69-63 49%     10 - 10 6 - 2 +1.2 -9.5 +10.6
  Jan 30, 2019 153   @ Colgate L 56-76 21%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -16.7 -10.7 -8.3
  Feb 02, 2019 158   Lehigh L 70-75 40%     10 - 12 6 - 4 -7.5 -8.4 +1.0
  Feb 06, 2019 234   @ Holy Cross L 42-56 37%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -15.7 -29.5 +13.1
  Feb 09, 2019 208   @ American L 68-71 31%     10 - 14 6 - 6 -3.0 -2.4 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2019 232   Boston University W 71-61 58%     11 - 14 7 - 6 +2.8 -4.3 +7.5
  Feb 16, 2019 301   @ Navy L 68-79 50%     11 - 15 7 - 7 -16.2 -6.7 -9.2
  Feb 20, 2019 158   @ Lehigh L 74-82 22%    
  Feb 24, 2019 208   American W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 27, 2019 281   Loyola Maryland W 76-72 67%    
  Mar 02, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 70-79 18%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 17.4 8.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 0.8 2.2 3rd
4th 5.4 28.1 12.4 0.8 46.7 4th
5th 0.5 23.7 9.3 0.2 33.7 5th
6th 5.4 6.3 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 4.5 0.2 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.6 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 11.1 35.6 37.7 13.8 1.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.8% 9.7% 9.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
10-8 13.8% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.1 0.8 12.9
9-9 37.7% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 1.9 35.8
8-10 35.6% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 1.3 34.3
7-11 11.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.9
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.2 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.5 1.1 48.3 50.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 6.1%