Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#193
Achievement Rating-3.1#202
Pace73.7#100
Improvement+0.4#143

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#205
First Shot-2.2#244
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#100
Layup/Dunks-6.2#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#323
Freethrows+4.4#17
Improvement-1.2#282

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#190
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#271
Layups/Dunks-3.3#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#103
Freethrows+0.9#128
Improvement+1.6#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 6.9% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 70.3% 78.8% 56.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.9% 86.0% 77.7%
Conference Champion 6.1% 7.2% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.1%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round5.7% 6.7% 4.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 18   @ Mississippi St. L 67-95 5%     0 - 1 -11.1 -1.9 -7.2
  Nov 12, 2018 191   @ South Florida L 70-74 38%     0 - 2 -2.8 -8.9 +6.6
  Nov 16, 2018 260   Central Connecticut St. W 80-78 64%     1 - 2 -3.8 +6.2 -9.9
  Nov 18, 2018 243   Campbell L 72-78 61%     1 - 3 -10.9 -5.8 -5.2
  Nov 24, 2018 152   @ Ohio L 82-85 29%     1 - 4 +0.7 -1.8 +3.0
  Nov 29, 2018 206   @ Troy W 79-74 41%     2 - 4 +5.3 -4.2 +8.9
  Dec 01, 2018 352   @ Alabama A&M W 73-61 87%     3 - 4 -2.4 -10.5 +7.0
  Dec 15, 2018 201   Purdue Fort Wayne W 82-79 62%    
  Dec 21, 2018 243   Campbell W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 28, 2018 58   @ Arkansas L 72-86 10%    
  Jan 03, 2019 275   Eastern Kentucky W 88-81 75%    
  Jan 05, 2019 286   Morehead St. W 80-72 77%    
  Jan 10, 2019 273   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 12, 2019 295   @ Tennessee Martin W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 17, 2019 327   @ SIU Edwardsville W 79-73 71%    
  Jan 19, 2019 318   @ Eastern Illinois W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 24, 2019 280   Tennessee St. W 78-70 75%    
  Jan 26, 2019 90   Belmont L 80-85 33%    
  Jan 31, 2019 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 02, 2019 145   @ Jacksonville St. L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 07, 2019 327   SIU Edwardsville W 82-70 86%    
  Feb 09, 2019 318   Eastern Illinois W 78-67 83%    
  Feb 14, 2019 102   Murray St. L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 16, 2019 286   @ Morehead St. W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 21, 2019 273   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 23, 2019 295   Tennessee Martin W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 28, 2019 275   @ Eastern Kentucky W 85-84 55%    
  Mar 02, 2019 102   @ Murray St. L 65-75 19%    
Projected Record 15.4 - 12.6 11.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.7 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 4.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.1 6.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 20.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.2 8.5 7.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 24.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.8 7.4 10.5 13.1 14.5 14.7 12.3 9.0 5.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-2 76.4% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 37.5% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 11.6% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 36.3% 36.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 29.8% 29.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.6% 24.3% 24.3% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0
15-3 5.3% 18.5% 18.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.3
14-4 9.0% 13.6% 13.6% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 7.8
13-5 12.3% 8.8% 8.8% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 11.2
12-6 14.7% 5.7% 5.7% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 13.8
11-7 14.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 14.0
10-8 13.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.9
9-9 10.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.4
8-10 7.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
7-11 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
6-12 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 1.4 94.1 0.0%